Daniel Gafford (Dallas Mavericks) Under 12.5 Rebounds (-667)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishingAs the Dallas Mavericks gear up to take on the Golden State Warriors, Daniel Gafford's rebounding prowess faces a reality check. Sure, he's been a solid contributor, averaging 11.2 rebounds over his last five games, but let's dig deeper. At home, his average dips to 8.6, revealing a pattern that's hard to ignore. Gafford has faced the Warriors before, and his numbers against them at home reflect a similar trend, sitting around 8.4 rebounds. With an impressive hit rate of 19 out of the last 20 games falling under this line at home, the pressure of the matchup may leave him shy of that 12.5 mark. With the Mavericks in a tightly contested environment and Gafford likely to contend against strong rebounding foes, the under looks like the smart play here. Expecting him to land around 7 or 8 rebounds feels much more realistic.