Daniel Gafford (Dallas Mavericks) Under 8.5 Rebounds (-114)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishingAs the Mavericks gear up to face the Warriors, all eyes should be on Daniel Gafford, particularly regarding his rebound numbers. While he's had a solid run, averaging 11.2 boards in his last five games, his home performances tell a different story. Gafford's average dips to 8.6 rebounds when playing at home, and against the Warriors, he's managed just 8.4 in their recent matchups. With Dallas likely focusing on a high-paced game against Golden State, we could see fewer opportunities for Gafford to crash the boards. His recent form also suggests a regression; he's hit the under in four of his last five games against this opponent. With an expected stat value of just 7.35 and a hit rate that supports this under, taking Gafford for under 8.5 rebounds feels like a savvy play in this matchup.