Daniel Gafford (Dallas Mavericks) Under 8.5 Rebounds (-120)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishingWhen the Dallas Mavericks host the Golden State Warriors, all eyes will be on Daniel Gafford, but betting the under on his rebounds at 8.5 seems intriguing. While Gafford has shown flashes of brilliance with an average of 11.2 rebounds over the last five games, his home performances tell a different story. In fact, he's managed just 8.6 boards per game at home recently, and against the Warriors, he's only pulled down 8.4 rebounds on average in their last encounters.Moreover, with a hit rate of just 66.7% in his last 15 games and a staggering 80% at home, Gafford's numbers suggest he's due for a regression. The Warriors can stretch the floor, limiting Gafford's opportunities to crash the boards effectively. Given these factors, targeting the under on Gafford's rebounds feels like a smart play in this matchup.