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NBA

DeMar DeRozan

Sacramento Kings

+16.1% Edge
Latest Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 19.5 -102 (1.98)
+16.1% Edge
Los Angeles Clippers @ Sacramento Kings
Golden 1 Center, Sacramento
Mon 6 Apr, 1:00AM
Model Probability
66.6%
Implied Probability
50.5%
Model Edge
+16.1%
Predicted Value
22.5 Pts + Rebs

AI Analysis

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DeMar DeRozan (Sacramento Kings) Over 19.5 Points + Rebounds (-102)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Kings prepare to face off against the Clippers, DeMar DeRozan is primed for a standout performance, making the over on his points + rebounds total of 19.5 an enticing wager. DeRozan has averaged 20.8 points over his last five games, showing a nice rhythm offensively. While his home numbers have dipped slightly, he's proven he can elevate his game against the Clippers, posting an average of 17.4 points in their recent encounters, alongside 4.4 rebounds. With the Kings' playoff hopes on the line, expect DeRozan to take charge, especially since he has hit the over in three of his last four outings. The home court advantage should further energize him, and given that he often steps up in crucial games, this looks like a prime opportunity for DeRozan to exceed that 19.5 mark. It's a solid bet to ride as he pursues a pivotal performance.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (7 picks) 57.1% (4/7)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
24 Mar 26 Sacramento Kings @ Charlotte Hornets Pts + Rebs 18.5 Over -109 ✗ MISS
24 Mar 26 Sacramento Kings @ Charlotte Hornets Assists 5.5 Under -120 ✗ MISS
20 Mar 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Sacramento Kings Rebs + Asts 6.5 Over -147 ✓ HIT
16 Mar 26 Utah Jazz @ Sacramento Kings Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
16 Mar 26 Utah Jazz @ Sacramento Kings Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
16 Mar 26 Utah Jazz @ Sacramento Kings Rebounds — — — Pending

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About This Player

DeMar DeRozan (Sacramento Kings) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 7 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 57.1% (4/7). The latest model pick for DeMar DeRozan is Over 19.5 on Pts + Rebs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.1% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Clippers vs Sacramento Kings on Monday 6 April at Golden 1 Center, Sacramento. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.