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Aaron Wiggins

Atlanta Hawks

Value call

Aaron Wiggins (Atlanta Hawks) has one live pick today: under 9.5 points that pays $265 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
50 in 100
Predicted
9.1 points
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 50.5% · before adjusting for past results 60.7% · the book's price implies 37.7% · gap +12.7%.

Latest Model PickFree
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Atlanta Hawks
State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA · Indoor
Thu 29 Oct, 8:00 PM ET
Aaron Wiggins
under 9.5 points
Points Under 9.5 +165 (2.65) · $100→$265
Value call
LEANWins about 50 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$26.50 Odds+165
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Aaron Wiggins is Under 9.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 50 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 50%, the price says 38%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 31, 10:21AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points60.7%50.5%37.7%1.98+23.0%

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AI Analysis

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Atlanta Hawks vs Cleveland Cavaliers: Aaron Wiggins Under 9.5 Points (+165)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Atlanta Hawks allow a lot of three-point attempts and give up plenty of rebounds, which could make it tough for Aaron Wiggins to find his rhythm. With both teams playing at a fast pace, Wiggins might get some chances, but he could be up against a solid Cavaliers defense that has shown it can limit scoring opportunities. Betting on Wiggins to score under 9.5 points feels like a smart choice here. The risk is that he could get hot early or find his way to the free-throw line, which makes this a tricky pick. Overall, our numbers suggest there's a good chance he stays below that mark tonight at the State Farm Arena.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 6 of last 10(60%)

Aaron Wiggins — 2024-25 season averages

Over 86 games in the 2024-25 season, Aaron Wiggins averaged 11.5 points, 3.7 rebounds and 1.6 assists in 21.8 minutes per game, shooting 48.7% from the field and 38.5% from three-point range.

11.5
PPG
3.7
RPG
1.6
APG
0.7
SPG
0.2
BPG
21.8
MPG
48.7%
FG%
38.5%
3P%

Aaron Wiggins — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Aaron Wiggins has played 13.8 minutes per game and started 0% of them.

13.8
MPG (L5)
7.2
PPG (L5)
0%
Started

Aaron Wiggins — home vs away scoring

At home Aaron Wiggins averages 11.2 points per game; on the road, 11.8. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

11.2
PPG at home
11.8
PPG on the road

Aaron Wiggins — scoring by opponent

Aaron Wiggins scores most against the UTAH, averaging 11.5 points per game in that matchup.

11.5
UTAH
10.5
PHX
10.4
MIN
9.3
MEM
9.2
POR
8.9
NO

Aaron Wiggins — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Aaron Wiggins has averaged 10.2 points, 3.1 rebounds and 1.3 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
13 Mayvs DEN11312
11 May@ DEN161160
9 May@ DEN13722
7 Mayvs DEN151050
5 Mayvs DEN14540
26 Apr@ MEM15920
24 Apr@ MEM7000
22 Aprvs MEM7800
20 Aprvs MEM262142
13 Apr@ NO372877
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Oct 26 Miami Heat @ Atlanta Hawks Points 10.5 Under +170 ✓ HIT
28 Oct 26 Miami Heat @ Atlanta Hawks Pts + Rebs 14.5 Under +135 ✓ HIT
28 Oct 26 Miami Heat @ Atlanta Hawks Pts + Asts 13.5 Under +120 ✓ HIT
29 Oct 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Atlanta Hawks Points — — — Pending
28 Oct 26 Miami Heat @ Atlanta Hawks Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
26 Oct 26 Atlanta Hawks @ Houston Rockets Points — — — Pending

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About This Player

Aaron Wiggins (Atlanta Hawks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Aaron Wiggins is Under 9.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +23.0% on this pick. Their next game is Cleveland Cavaliers vs Atlanta Hawks on Thursday 29 October at State Farm Arena, Atlanta. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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