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NBA

Aaron Wiggins

Oklahoma City Thunder

+10.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Rebounds Under 4.5 -161 (1.62)
+10.0% Edge
Denver Nuggets @ Oklahoma City Thunder
Paycom Center, Oklahoma City
Mon 9 Mar, 11:30PM
Model Probability
71.7%
Implied Probability
61.7%
Model Edge
+10.0%
Predicted Value
3.1 Rebounds

AI Analysis

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Aaron Wiggins (Oklahoma City Thunder) Under 4.5 Rebounds (-161)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

In the matchup between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Denver Nuggets, targeting Aaron Wiggins to finish with under 4.5 rebounds makes a lot of sense. Wiggins has been consistent, but not necessarily in the rebounding department, averaging just 2.4 boards at home over his last five games. When facing the Nuggets, he's managed a mere 3.6 rebounds per game at home, which gives us a glimpse into how he typically performs against this particular opponent.Looking deeper, Wiggins has hit the under in 13 of his last 14 games, showcasing a remarkable trend that's hard to ignore. The Nuggets present a formidable front line, which could limit his opportunities on the glass. With an expected stat value of just 3.08 and a hit rate of 8 out of 9 at home, betting the under feels like a savvy move for this game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 50.0% (2/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Mar 26 Denver Nuggets @ Oklahoma City Thunder Rebounds 4.5 Under -161 ✓ HIT
08 Mar 26 Golden State Warriors @ Oklahoma City Thunder Pts + Asts 14.5 Under -130 ✓ HIT
22 Feb 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Oklahoma City Thunder Rebs + Asts 6.5 Under -147 ✗ MISS
23 Oct 25 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Indiana Pacers Pts + Rebs Pending

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