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Model picks & player props
Philadelphia 76ers
VS
Detroit Pistons

Philadelphia 76ers vs Detroit Pistons Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:22AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Indoor
Thu 12 Mar 2026, 11:00PM
13
Game Picks
7
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Under 128.5 (Team Total Points)
For Philadelphia 76ers vs Detroit Pistons (NBA), model win probability 97.8%, fair odds 1.02, book price -526, model edge +13.7%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Thu 12 Mar 2026, 11:00PM at Little Caesars Arena.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Team Total Points
Under
128.5
+ 12 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Detroit PistonsMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Philadelphia 76ers

  • Johni Broome FDay-to-day
  • Labaron Philon Jr. GDay-to-day

Detroit Pistons

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Availability updated Jul 18, 9:00PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Philadelphia 76ers vs Detroit Pistons: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and watch the availability of Johni Broome and Labaron Philon Jr..
FactorThis fixture
Availability2 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Tobias Harris Detroit Pistons Points 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Duncan Robinson Miami Heat Pts + Rebs + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Duncan Robinson Miami Heat Pts + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Marcus Sasser Detroit Pistons Rebounds 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Adem Bona Philadelphia 76ers Points 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsPhiladelphia 76ers @ Detroit PistonsNo line posted

Detroit Pistons and Philadelphia 76ers combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadDetroit Pistons spreadNo line posted

Detroit Pistons (season record) meet Philadelphia 76ers; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineDetroit Pistons to winNo line posted

Detroit Pistons (season record) host or visit Philadelphia 76ers; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Detroit Pistons totalNo line posted

Detroit Pistons averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Philadelphia 76ers; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Philadelphia 76ers totalNo line posted

Philadelphia 76ers averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Detroit Pistons; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Philadelphia 76ers @ Detroit Pistons — model preview

<p>Latest NBA betting preview: Detroit Pistons vs Philadelphia 76ers. Get predictions and top picks. Includes analysis on key players like Tobias Harris. Keywords: NBA predictions, NBA game picks, betting preview, Detroit Pistons vs Philadelphia 76ers stats and odds.</p>

Tobias Harris (Detroit Pistons) Over 11.5 Points (-132)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When you look at Tobias Harris's recent form, it's hard to ignore how well he's been performing, especially at home. Over the last five games, he's been averaging a solid 14.4 points at the Pistons' arena, and against the 76ers-his former team, no less-he's managed 14.7 points on average recently. Moreover, Harris has hit this over in 12 of his last 13 home games, which speaks volumes about his comfort level and ability to step up in front of the home crowd. With an expected stat value of nearly 15 points and a flawless 3-for-3 hit rate in his last outings, it feels almost like a no-brainer to back him for over 11.5 points in this matchup. Given the stakes and his track record, we should see Harris shine under the spotlight once again.

Detroit Pistons vs Philadelphia 76ers : Detroit Pistons Over 108.5 Team Total Points (-714)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Basketball is a game of numbers and momentum, and when it comes to the Detroit Pistons, both are lining up favorably. Our models are forecasting the Pistons to score near 117 points in their upcoming match against the Philadelphia 76ers, well over the alternate team total of 108.5. This isn't a shot in the dark either; it's a well-calculated prediction, with an implied probability of 87.7% for the Pistons to cross this threshold. Now, we all know that projections aren't guarantees, but they're the next best thing. When you consider the Pistons' scoring ability and the 76ers' defensive challenges on the road, it's clear why we're confident enough to bet on Detroit to light up the scoreboard. So, let's get ready for a high-scoring game, and look forward to the Pistons surpassing 108.5 points.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Philadelphia 76ers vs Detroit Pistons in the NBA. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Thursday 12 March 2026 at Little Caesars Arena. The model has generated 13 game picks and 7 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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