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Jalen Johnson

Atlanta Hawks

Value call

Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks) has one live pick today: under 9.5 rebounds that pays $191 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
55 in 100
Predicted
8.5 rebounds
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 55.3% · before adjusting for past results 65.5% · the book's price implies 52.4% · gap +3.0%.

Latest Model PickFree
Houston Rockets @ Atlanta Hawks
State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA · Indoor
Sat 24 Oct, 8:30 PM ET
Jalen Johnson
under 9.5 rebounds
Rebounds Under 9.5 -110 (1.91) · $100→$191
Value call
LEANWins about 55 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$19.10 Odds-110
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jalen Johnson is Under 9.5 on Rebounds.
On Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 55 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 55%, the price says 52%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 31, 10:23AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebounds65.5%55.3%52.4%1.81+13.1%

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AI Analysis

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Atlanta Hawks vs Houston Rockets: Jalen Johnson Under 9.5 Rebounds (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Jalen Johnson has been steady with his rebounds, but he's going up against the Houston Rockets tonight. The Rockets let opponents grab the same number of rebounds as the Hawks do, but they also have players who can really box out and limit second chances. Johnson averages just under 9.2 rebounds at home, and with the Rockets' defense, he might find it tough to reach double digits. Also, keep in mind the Hawks give up a lot of rebounds, which means they're not always the best team to rely on for extra chances. There's a real chance he'll struggle to hit over 9.5 rebounds here given how close both teams are in grabbing boards. This bet has a good chance based on the numbers, but it's not a sure thing.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 5(80%)

Jalen Johnson — 2024-25 season averages

Over 36 games in the 2024-25 season, Jalen Johnson averaged 18.9 points, 10.0 rebounds and 5.0 assists in 35.7 minutes per game, shooting 50.0% from the field and 31.2% from three-point range.

18.9
PPG
10.0
RPG
5.0
APG
1.6
SPG
1.0
BPG
35.7
MPG
50.0%
FG%
31.2%
3P%

Jalen Johnson — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Jalen Johnson has played 31.0 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

31.0
MPG (L5)
12.8
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Jalen Johnson — home vs away scoring

At home Jalen Johnson averages 18.8 points per game; on the road, 19.0. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

18.8
PPG at home
19.0
PPG on the road

Jalen Johnson — scoring by opponent

Jalen Johnson scores most against the WSH, averaging 13.0 points per game in that matchup.

13.0
WSH
12.9
CHI
11.2
NY
9.0
BOS
8.2
MIA
7.9
ORL

Jalen Johnson — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Jalen Johnson has averaged 16.7 points, 9.7 rebounds and 4.0 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
23 Janvs TOR11311
22 Janvs DET381794
20 Jan@ NY3511124
18 Jan@ BOS3814133
3 Jan@ LAL331981
29 Dec@ TOR331543
28 Decvs MIA3528135
26 Decvs CHI3930154
23 Decvs MIN3517117
21 Decvs MEM3313118
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
24 Oct 26 Houston Rockets @ Atlanta Hawks Rebounds 9.5 Under -110 ✓ HIT
21 Oct 26 Atlanta Hawks @ Orlando Magic Rebounds 8.5 Under +205 ✗ MISS
20 Apr 26 Atlanta Hawks @ New York Knicks Rebs + Asts 16.5 Under +102 ✓ HIT
20 Apr 26 Atlanta Hawks @ New York Knicks Rebounds — — — Pending
18 Apr 26 Atlanta Hawks @ New York Knicks Rebs + Asts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jalen Johnson is Under 9.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.1% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks on Saturday 24 October at State Farm Arena, Atlanta. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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