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NBA

Jalen Johnson

Atlanta Hawks

Value call

Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks) has one live pick today: under 16.5 rebs asts that pays $202 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
75 in 100
Predicted
14.2 Rebs + Asts
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 75.2% · the book's price implies 49.5% · gap +25.7%.

Latest Model PickFree
Atlanta Hawks @ New York Knicks
Madison Square Garden, New York, NY · Indoor
Mon 20 Apr, 8:00 PM ET
Jalen Johnson
under 16.5 rebs asts
Rebs + Asts Under 16.5 +102 (2.02) · $100→$202
Value call
HIGHWins about 75 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$20.20 Odds+102
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jalen Johnson is Under 16.5 on Rebounds + Assists.
On Rebounds + Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 75 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 75%, the price says 50%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 5:32AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebs + Asts75.2%—49.5%1.33+25.7%

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AI Analysis

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Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks) Under 16.5 Rebounds + Assists (+102)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When the Atlanta Hawks face off against the New York Knicks, all eyes will be on Jalen Johnson, but a look at the numbers suggests we should lean towards the Under 16.5 for his combined rebounds and assists. His recent performances show an average of 11.2 rebounds and 5.2 assists over the last five games, which, while impressive, indicates he's been running a bit hot. On the road, Johnson's averages dip significantly to 10 rebounds and 7.4 assists. Against the Knicks, he's managed just 9.8 rebounds and 6 assists in away matchups. With a hit rate of only 5 out of his last 9 away games, it seems the pressure of Madison Square Garden may hinder his production. Given his expected stat value sits at around 14.24, there's a strong case that he'll fall short of that 16.5 mark tonight.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 3(100%)

Jalen Johnson — 2024-25 season averages

Over 36 games in the 2024-25 season, Jalen Johnson averaged 18.9 points, 10.0 rebounds and 5.0 assists in 35.7 minutes per game, shooting 50.0% from the field and 31.2% from three-point range.

18.9
PPG
10.0
RPG
5.0
APG
1.6
SPG
1.0
BPG
35.7
MPG
50.0%
FG%
31.2%
3P%

Jalen Johnson — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Jalen Johnson has played 31.0 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

31.0
MPG (L5)
12.8
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Jalen Johnson — home vs away scoring

At home Jalen Johnson averages 18.8 points per game; on the road, 19.0. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

18.8
PPG at home
19.0
PPG on the road

Jalen Johnson — scoring by opponent

Jalen Johnson scores most against the WSH, averaging 13.0 points per game in that matchup.

13.0
WSH
12.9
CHI
11.2
NY
9.0
BOS
8.2
MIA
7.9
ORL

Jalen Johnson — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Jalen Johnson has averaged 16.7 points, 9.7 rebounds and 4.0 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
23 Janvs TOR11311
22 Janvs DET381794
20 Jan@ NY3511124
18 Jan@ BOS3814133
3 Jan@ LAL331981
29 Dec@ TOR331543
28 Decvs MIA3528135
26 Decvs CHI3930154
23 Decvs MIN3517117
21 Decvs MEM3313118
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Apr 26 Atlanta Hawks @ New York Knicks Rebs + Asts 16.5 Under +102 ✓ HIT
20 Apr 26 Atlanta Hawks @ New York Knicks Rebounds 10.5 Under -127 ✓ HIT
18 Apr 26 Atlanta Hawks @ New York Knicks Rebs + Asts 17.5 Under -101 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jalen Johnson is Under 16.5 on Rebounds + Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +25.7% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Hawks vs New York Knicks on Monday 20 April at Madison Square Garden, New York. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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