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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jalen Johnson is Under 16.5 on Rebounds + Assists.
On Rebounds + Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 75 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 75%, implied 53%, edge +22.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 16, 10:17PM UTC
NBA

Jalen Johnson

Atlanta Hawks

+22.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Rebs + Asts Under 16.5 -112 (1.89) · $100→$189
+22.3% Edge
Atlanta Hawks @ New York Knicks
Madison Square Garden, New York, NY · Indoor
Tue 21 Apr, 12:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
75 in 100
Predicted
14.2 Rebs + Asts
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 75.2% · the book's price implies 52.9% · gap +22.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebs + Asts75.2%—52.9%1.33+22.3%

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AI Analysis

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Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks) Under 16.5 Rebounds + Assists (-112)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Atlanta Hawks gear up to face the New York Knicks, Jalen Johnson's production might take a dip in this matchup. Despite his solid recent averages, with 11.2 rebounds and 5.2 assists over the last five games, his away performances tell a different story. On the road, Johnson's numbers fall to 10 rebounds and 7.4 assists, resulting in a combined total that hovers around 17.4. However, against the Knicks, that average slips even lower to just 9.8 rebounds and 6 assists away, leaving him shy of our target line. Considering his overall hit rate has been solid-3 out of 4 in recent games-this matchup might not play in his favor. With the Knicks' defense tightening up and the pressure of Madison Square Garden, betting the under on Johnson's combined total of 16.5 seems to be a savvy move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Jalen Johnson — 2024-25 season averages

Over 36 games in the 2024-25 season, Jalen Johnson averaged 18.9 points, 10.0 rebounds and 5.0 assists in 35.7 minutes per game, shooting 50.0% from the field and 31.2% from three-point range.

18.9
PPG
10.0
RPG
5.0
APG
1.6
SPG
1.0
BPG
35.7
MPG
50.0%
FG%
31.2%
3P%

Jalen Johnson — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Jalen Johnson has played 31.0 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

31.0
MPG (L5)
12.8
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Jalen Johnson — home vs away scoring

At home Jalen Johnson averages 18.8 points per game; on the road, 19.0. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

18.8
PPG at home
19.0
PPG on the road

Jalen Johnson — scoring by opponent

Jalen Johnson scores most against the WSH, averaging 13.0 points per game in that matchup.

13.0
WSH
12.9
CHI
11.2
NY
9.0
BOS
8.2
MIA
7.9
ORL

Jalen Johnson — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Jalen Johnson has averaged 16.7 points, 9.7 rebounds and 4.0 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
23 Janvs TOR11311
22 Janvs DET381794
20 Jan@ NY3511124
18 Jan@ BOS3814133
3 Jan@ LAL331981
29 Dec@ TOR331543
28 Decvs MIA3528135
26 Decvs CHI3930154
23 Decvs MIN3517117
21 Decvs MEM3313118
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
21 Apr 26 Atlanta Hawks @ New York Knicks Rebs + Asts 16.5 Under -112 ✓ HIT
21 Apr 26 Atlanta Hawks @ New York Knicks Rebounds 10.5 Under -133 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jalen Johnson is Under 16.5 on Rebounds + Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +22.3% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Hawks vs New York Knicks on Tuesday 21 April at Madison Square Garden, New York. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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