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NBA

Jalen Johnson

Atlanta Hawks

+15.3% Edge
🔥 6 Consecutive Hits
Latest Pick
Pts + Rebs Under 32.5 -130 (1.77)
+15.3% Edge
Orlando Magic @ Atlanta Hawks
State Farm Arena, Atlanta
Mon 16 Mar, 11:00PM
Model Probability
71.8%
Implied Probability
56.5%
Model Edge
+15.3%
Predicted Value
28.4 Pts + Rebs

AI Analysis

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Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks) Under 32.5 Points + Rebounds (-130)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Atlanta Hawks get ready to face the Orlando Magic, all eyes should be on Jalen Johnson, but perhaps for the wrong reasons. Targeting the under on his points and rebounds total set at 32.5 makes a lot of sense here. Johnson's recent performance shows a marked decline, averaging just 12.8 points and 8.6 rebounds over his last five games-nowhere near the required total. Even at home, where he usually finds a bit more success with averages of 19 points and 9.8 rebounds, he's struggled against the Magic with just 8.8 points and 5.8 rebounds in their last encounter. Given his overall hit rate of 6/6 recently, the odds are leaning heavily toward him staying under this number. With an expected stat value of 28.45, it looks like a savvy move to bet the under here and ride this trend as the Hawks look to secure a win.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (1 picks) 0.0% (0/1)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
16 Mar 26 Orlando Magic @ Atlanta Hawks Pts + Rebs 32.5 Under -130 ✗ MISS

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