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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jalen Johnson is Under 16.5 on Rebs + Asts.
On the Rebs + Asts market the model assigns a model win probability of 71%, versus the book's implied 50%, for a model edge of +21.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:15AM UTC
NBA

Jalen Johnson

Atlanta Hawks

+21.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Rebs + Asts Under 16.5 +102 (2.02)
+21.7% Edge
Atlanta Hawks @ New York Knicks
Madison Square Garden, New York, NY · Indoor
Tue 21 Apr, 12:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
71.3%
Implied Probability
49.5%
Model Edge
+21.7%
Predicted Value
14.6 Rebs + Asts

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebs + Asts71.3%—49.5%1.40+21.7%

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AI Analysis

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Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks) Under 16.5 Rebounds + Assists (+102)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Atlanta Hawks prepare to clash with the New York Knicks, Jalen Johnson's performance is worth scrutinizing, particularly when it comes to his combined rebounds and assists. Averaging 11.2 rebounds and 5.2 assists over the last five games, he's shown promise, but the road has not been kind to him. On away games, his numbers dip to 10 rebounds and just 7.4 assists, illustrating a clear trend of struggle outside the friendly confines of Atlanta.Against the Knicks, who boast a robust defense, Johnson's away stats fall further-averaging 9.8 rebounds and 6 assists against them. With a recent hit rate of only 5 out of 9 on the road, it's hard to see him clearing that 16.5 mark. Given these factors, betting the under on Johnson's combined rebounds and assists feels like a savvy play as he faces a formidable New York team.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
4.0avg · last 10
L52.6Szn5.0Home5.4Away4.7Best11
1+100%
3+89%
5+50%
7+36%
9+8%
Game log vs O 4.5avg 4 · hi 8 · lo 1
8745313441

Jalen Johnson is averaging 4.0 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 5.0, best 11). He clears 5+ in 50% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
16.7avg · last 10
L512.8Szn18.9Home18.8Away19.0Best30
9+94%
14+83%
19+56%
24+19%
29+8%
Game log vs O 18.5avg 16.7 · hi 30 · lo 3
1317302815191411173

Jalen Johnson is averaging 16.7 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 18.9, best 30). He clears 19+ in 56% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
26.4avg · last 10
L521.4Szn28.9Home28.6Away29.2Best45
19+94%
24+75%
29+53%
34+28%
39+11%
Game log vs O 28.5avg 26.4 · hi 45 · lo 4
2428454119272723264

Jalen Johnson is averaging 26.4 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 28.9, best 45). He clears 29+ in 53% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
9.7avg · last 10
L58.6Szn10.0Home9.8Away10.2Best17
6+86%
8+78%
10+56%
12+36%
14+14%
Game log vs O 9.5avg 9.7 · hi 15 · lo 1
1111151348131291

Jalen Johnson is averaging 9.7 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 10.0, best 17). He clears 10+ in 56% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
13.7avg · last 10
L511.2Szn15.0Home15.2Away14.8Best25
9+92%
12+78%
15+56%
18+36%
21+11%
Game log vs O 14.5avg 13.7 · hi 19 · lo 2
19181918791616132

Jalen Johnson is averaging 13.7 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 15.0, best 25). He clears 15+ in 56% of 2024-25 games.

Steals2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
2.0avg · last 10
L51.6Szn1.6Home1.6Away1.5Best6
1+75%
2+47%
3+17%
4+6%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 2 · hi 6 · lo 0
2220601061

Jalen Johnson is averaging 2.0 steals over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.6, best 6). He clears 2+ in 47% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
21 Apr 26 Atlanta Hawks @ New York Knicks Rebs + Asts 16.5 Under +102 ✓ HIT
21 Apr 26 Atlanta Hawks @ New York Knicks Rebounds 10.5 Under -133 ✓ HIT
18 Apr 26 Atlanta Hawks @ New York Knicks Rebs + Asts 20.5 Under -303 ✓ HIT
18 Apr 26 Atlanta Hawks @ New York Knicks Rebounds — — — Pending
18 Apr 26 Atlanta Hawks @ New York Knicks Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
18 Apr 26 Atlanta Hawks @ New York Knicks Rebounds — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jalen Johnson is Under 16.5 on Rebs + Asts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.7% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Hawks vs New York Knicks on Tuesday 21 April at Madison Square Garden, New York. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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