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NBA

Moussa Diabate

Charlotte Hornets

Value call

Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) has one live pick today: under 7.5 rebounds that pays $265 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
56 in 100
Predicted
6.7 rebounds
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 55.6% · before adjusting for past results 67.0% · the book's price implies 37.7% · gap +17.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Charlotte Hornets @ Phoenix Suns
Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ · Indoor
Thu 12 Nov, 9:00 PM ET
Moussa Diabate
under 7.5 rebounds
Rebounds Under 7.5 +165 (2.65) · $100→$265
Value call
LEANWins about 56 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$26.50 Odds+165
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Moussa Diabate is Under 7.5 on Rebounds.
On Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 56 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 56%, the price says 38%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Nov 12, 11:04PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nba pts + rebs unders: +$2,883 at $100 flat
Our call on Moussa Diabate tonight: — members only · unlock tonight's call1 pick on the board · logged before tip-offSee the picks
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebounds67.0%55.6%37.7%1.80+29.2%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Phoenix Suns vs Charlotte Hornets: Moussa Diabate Under 7.5 Rebounds (+165)

Odds correct at time of publishing

For the Suns to win this bet, Moussa Diabate needs to grab fewer than 8 rebounds tonight. The Suns have been pretty solid at limiting rebounds, allowing about 43.7 per game since 2018, which is right around the league average. Plus, Diabate hasn't been a main rebounder for the Hornets, so he might not get the chances needed to hit that number. The Hornets also give up a lot of three-point shots, which could lead to long rebounds that don't favor Diabate. With both teams having a similar ability to force turnovers, it could mean less possession and fewer rebound opportunities for him. The main risk here is that Diabate could surprise everyone with a bigger role than expected.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 9 of last 10(90%)
Overall Hit Rate (31 picks) 64.5% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Moussa Diabate's lines for Fri 13 Nov

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Rebounds 7.5

Moussa Diabate's rebounds line is 7.5.

Rebs + Asts 9.5

Moussa Diabate's rebs + asts line is 9.5.

Pts + Rebs + Asts 16.5

Moussa Diabate's pts + rebs + asts line is 16.5.

Moussa Diabate — 2024-25 season averages

Over 71 games in the 2024-25 season, Moussa Diabate averaged 5.7 points, 6.2 rebounds and 0.8 assists in 17.5 minutes per game, shooting 59.6% from the field and 0.0% from three-point range.

5.7
PPG
6.2
RPG
0.8
APG
0.6
SPG
0.6
BPG
17.5
MPG
59.6%
FG%
0.0%
3P%

Moussa Diabate — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Moussa Diabate has played 20.2 minutes per game and started 0% of them.

20.2
MPG (L5)
10.2
PPG (L5)
0%
Started

Moussa Diabate — home vs away scoring

At home Moussa Diabate averages 5.8 points per game; on the road, 5.5. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

5.8
PPG at home
5.5
PPG on the road

Moussa Diabate — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Moussa Diabate has averaged 7.6 points, 4.9 rebounds and 0.2 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
13 Apr@ BOS251090
8 Aprvs MEM171022
6 Aprvs CHI23870
4 Aprvs SAC2315110
2 Apr@ IND13830
31 Marvs UTAH9420
30 Mar@ NO17670
28 Mar@ TOR13960
25 Marvs ORL0000
23 Mar@ MIA5620
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Nov 26 Charlotte Hornets @ Brooklyn Nets Rebounds 9.5 Under -127 ✓ HIT
04 Nov 26 Charlotte Hornets @ Brooklyn Nets Rebs + Asts 11.5 Under -120 ✓ HIT
04 Nov 26 Charlotte Hornets @ Brooklyn Nets Pts + Rebs + Asts 17.5 Under +165 ✓ HIT
04 Nov 26 Charlotte Hornets @ Brooklyn Nets Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
02 Nov 26 Detroit Pistons @ Charlotte Hornets Rebounds — — — Pending
02 Nov 26 Detroit Pistons @ Charlotte Hornets Rebounds — — — Pending

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About This Player

Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 64.5% on tracked Moussa Diabate picks. The latest model pick for Moussa Diabate is Under 7.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +29.2% on this pick. Their next game is Charlotte Hornets vs Phoenix Suns on Thursday 12 November at Footprint Center, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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