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The latest Bet Better model pick for Moussa Diabate is Under 12.5 on Rebounds + Assists.
On the Rebounds + Assists market the model assigns a model win probability of 86%, versus the book's implied 57%, for a model edge of +28.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 6:59AM UTC
NBA

Moussa Diabate

Charlotte Hornets

+28.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Rebs + Asts Under 12.5 -132 (1.76) · $100→$176
+28.8% Edge
Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic
Kia Center, Orlando, FL · Indoor
Fri 17 Apr, 11:30PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
85.6%
Implied Probability
56.8%
Model Edge
+28.8%
Predicted Value
9.0 Rebs + Asts

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebs + Asts85.6%—56.8%1.17+28.8%

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AI Analysis

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Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) Under 12.5 Rebounds + Assists (-132)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Charlotte Hornets gear up to face the Orlando Magic, all eyes will be on Moussa Diabate and his contributions on the court. However, betting the under on his combined rebounds and assists total of 12.5 seems like a sharp move. In his last five games, Diabate's averaged a solid 8.6 rebounds and 3 assists, but when he hits the road, those numbers dip slightly to 8 rebounds and 3.2 assists. Against the Magic, his stats reveal a troubling trend: he's only managed an average of 7 boards in their last five matchups. The away game dynamic appears to further hinder his production, with just 2 assists against Orlando historically. With a hit rate of just 50% in recent away games, it seems the odds are stacked against him exceeding that 12.5 mark. It's a calculated bet that could pay dividends come game time.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
0.2avg · last 10
L50.4Szn0.8Home1.0Away0.6Best6
1+42%
3+8%
5+1%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.2 · hi 2 · lo 0
0000000020

Moussa Diabate is averaging 0.2 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 0.8, best 6). He clears 1+ in 42% of 2024-25 games.

Blocks2024-25 · formNo line posted
0.3avg · last 10
L50.4Szn0.6Home0.5Away0.6Best4
1+37%
2+13%
3+6%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.3 · hi 1 · lo 0
0010000011

Moussa Diabate is averaging 0.3 blocks over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 0.6, best 4). He clears 1+ in 37% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
7.6avg · last 10
L510.2Szn5.7Home5.8Away5.5Best21
1+83%
6+45%
11+17%
16+3%
Game log vs O 5.5avg 7.6 · hi 15 · lo 0
6096481581010

Moussa Diabate is averaging 7.6 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 5.7, best 21). He clears 6+ in 45% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
7.8avg · last 10
L510.6Szn6.5Home6.8Away6.1Best21
1+89%
6+52%
11+23%
16+3%
Game log vs O 5.5avg 7.8 · hi 15 · lo 0
6096481581210

Moussa Diabate is averaging 7.8 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 6.5, best 21). He clears 6+ in 52% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
12.5avg · last 10
L516.6Szn11.8Home12.5Away11.0Best31
2+96%
7+75%
12+45%
17+25%
22+13%
Game log vs O 11.5avg 12.5 · hi 26 · lo 0
80151361126151219

Moussa Diabate is averaging 12.5 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 11.8, best 31). He clears 12+ in 45% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
12.7avg · last 10
L517.0Szn12.6Home13.5Away11.6Best33
3+93%
8+66%
13+49%
18+24%
23+13%
Game log vs O 12.5avg 12.7 · hi 26 · lo 0
80151361126151419

Moussa Diabate is averaging 12.7 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 12.6, best 33). He clears 13+ in 49% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
4.9avg · last 10
L56.4Szn6.2Home6.7Away5.5Best16
2+93%
4+66%
6+48%
8+27%
10+21%
Game log vs O 5.5avg 4.9 · hi 11 · lo 0
20672311729

Moussa Diabate is averaging 4.9 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 6.2, best 16). He clears 6+ in 48% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
5.1avg · last 10
L56.8Szn7.0Home7.7Away6.1Best21
1+96%
4+72%
7+46%
10+25%
13+15%
Game log vs O 6.5avg 5.1 · hi 11 · lo 0
20672311749

Moussa Diabate is averaging 5.1 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 7.0, best 21). He clears 7+ in 46% of 2024-25 games.

Steals2024-25 · formNo line posted
0.6avg · last 10
L51.0Szn0.6Home0.7Away0.6Best3
1+44%
2+18%
3+3%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.6 · hi 2 · lo 0
1000010202

Moussa Diabate is averaging 0.6 steals over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 0.6, best 3). He clears 1+ in 44% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
17 Apr 26 Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic Rebs + Asts 12.5 Under -132 ✓ HIT
17 Apr 26 Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic Rebounds 10.5 Under -125 ✓ HIT
17 Apr 26 Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic Rebounds 13.5 Under -769 ✓ HIT
17 Apr 26 Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
17 Apr 26 Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
17 Apr 26 Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic Pts + Rebs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Moussa Diabate is Under 12.5 on Rebounds + Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +28.8% on this pick. Their next game is Charlotte Hornets vs Orlando Magic on Friday 17 April at Kia Center, Orlando. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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