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NBA

Moussa Diabate

Charlotte Hornets

+11.5% Edge
Latest Pick
Rebounds Under 11.5 -417 (1.24)
+11.5% Edge
Charlotte Hornets @ Minnesota Timberwolves
Target Center, Minneapolis
Sun 5 Apr, 11:00PM
Model Probability
92.1%
Implied Probability
80.6%
Model Edge
+11.5%
Predicted Value
8.1 Rebounds

AI Analysis

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Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) Under 11.5 Rebounds (-417)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Charlotte Hornets gear up to face the Minnesota Timberwolves, all eyes will be on Moussa Diabate, but betting on him to snag over 11.5 rebounds might not be the wisest choice. Diabate has been a solid contributor, averaging 8.8 rebounds over his last five games, yet he's only pulling down about eight per game when he's on the road. Historical matchups against the Timberwolves suggest he's likely to struggle, with just six boards against them in their last five encounters and only five rebounds in his away games. It's also worth noting that he's hit the under in five of his last six contests. With a model edge favoring the under and a strong implied probability of 80.6%, it seems the smart play is to take the under on Diabate's rebounds, especially as he faces a tough Timberwolves squad on their home court.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (2 picks) 100.0% (2/2)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Apr 26 Charlotte Hornets @ Minnesota Timberwolves Rebounds 11.5 Under -417 ✓ HIT
05 Apr 26 Charlotte Hornets @ Minnesota Timberwolves Rebounds 9.5 Under -137 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 2 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (2/2). The latest model pick for Moussa Diabate is Under 11.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.5% on this pick. Their next game is Charlotte Hornets vs Minnesota Timberwolves on Sunday 5 April at Target Center, Minneapolis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.