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The latest Bet Better model pick for Moussa Diabate is Under 17.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On Points + Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 74 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 74%, implied 51%, edge +22.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 7:12PM UTC
NBA

Moussa Diabate

Charlotte Hornets

+22.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Under 17.5 -105 (1.95) · $100→$195
+22.5% Edge
Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic
Kia Center, Orlando, FL · Indoor
Fri 17 Apr, 11:30PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
74 in 100
Predicted
13.1 Pts + Rebs
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 73.8% · the book's price implies 51.3% · gap +22.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs73.8%—51.3%1.36+22.5%

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AI Analysis

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Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) Under 17.5 Points + Rebounds (-105)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When it comes to Moussa Diabate's contributions in the upcoming matchup against the Orlando Magic, the signs point to a quieter night. Playing away, he's been averaging just 5.6 points and 8 rebounds over his last five games, which translates to a total of around 13.1 combined. If you dig deeper, his performance against the Magic isn't particularly inspiring either, with averages of 7 points and 7 rebounds in their recent encounters. It's worth noting that Diabate has hit the under in five of his last six games, and he has been particularly subdued on the road, hitting the under in each of his last three away contests. With an implied probability of 51.3% for this under bet and the Magic's solid defense, it feels like a smart move to take the under on Diabate's points and rebounds at 17.5.

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Pick History & Track Record

Moussa Diabate — 2024-25 season averages

Over 71 games in the 2024-25 season, Moussa Diabate averaged 5.7 points, 6.2 rebounds and 0.8 assists in 17.5 minutes per game, shooting 59.6% from the field and 0.0% from three-point range.

5.7
PPG
6.2
RPG
0.8
APG
0.6
SPG
0.6
BPG
17.5
MPG
59.6%
FG%
0.0%
3P%

Moussa Diabate — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Moussa Diabate has played 20.2 minutes per game and started 0% of them.

20.2
MPG (L5)
10.2
PPG (L5)
0%
Started

Moussa Diabate — home vs away scoring

At home Moussa Diabate averages 5.8 points per game; on the road, 5.5. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

5.8
PPG at home
5.5
PPG on the road

Moussa Diabate — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Moussa Diabate has averaged 7.6 points, 4.9 rebounds and 0.2 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
13 Apr@ BOS251090
8 Aprvs MEM171022
6 Aprvs CHI23870
4 Aprvs SAC2315110
2 Apr@ IND13830
31 Marvs UTAH9420
30 Mar@ NO17670
28 Mar@ TOR13960
25 Marvs ORL0000
23 Mar@ MIA5620
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Moussa Diabate is Under 17.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +22.5% on this pick. Their next game is Charlotte Hornets vs Orlando Magic on Friday 17 April at Kia Center, Orlando. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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