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NBA

Evan Mobley

Cleveland Cavaliers

+14.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Points Under 19.5 -128 (1.78)
+14.0% Edge
Dallas Mavericks @ Cleveland Cavaliers
Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland
Sun 15 Mar, 7:30PM
Model Probability
70.2%
Implied Probability
56.2%
Model Edge
+14.0%
Predicted Value
16.4 Points

AI Analysis

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Evan Mobley (Cleveland Cavaliers) Under 19.5 Points (-128)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Cleveland Cavaliers prepare to host the Dallas Mavericks, all eyes will be on Evan Mobley, but it might be wise to consider the under on his points total set at 19.5. While Mobley had a strong showing against the Mavericks in their last encounter, averaging nearly 20 points, recent trends tell a different story, especially at home. Over his last five games, he's netted an average of just 18.8 points at home, and his overall average dips to 17.8 during this stretch. The Cavaliers' offense often runs through multiple players, limiting Mobley's scoring opportunities. Moreover, the Mavericks have shown they can effectively contain bigs, allowing Mobley to average only 17 points in their previous matchups. With an expected stat value of 16.38 and an overall hit rate of 67% on the under in his last 12 games, it seems safer to bank on Mobley staying below that 19.5 mark this time

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (22 picks) 77.3% (17/22)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
15 Mar 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Cleveland Cavaliers Points 19.5 Under -128 ✓ HIT
15 Mar 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Cleveland Cavaliers Points 19.5 Under -132 ✓ HIT
15 Mar 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Cleveland Cavaliers Pts + Rebs + Asts 31.5 Under -130 ✗ MISS
15 Mar 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Cleveland Cavaliers Pts + Rebs + Asts Pending
08 Mar 26 Boston Celtics @ Cleveland Cavaliers Pts + Asts Pending
08 Mar 26 Boston Celtics @ Cleveland Cavaliers Pts + Asts Pending

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