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Evan Mobley

Cleveland Cavaliers

+12.9% Edge
Latest Pick
Rebounds Under 9.5 -128 (1.78)
+12.9% Edge
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Memphis Grizzlies
FedExForum, Memphis
Tue 7 Apr, 12:00AM
Model Probability
69.0%
Implied Probability
56.2%
Model Edge
+12.9%
Predicted Value
8.3 Rebounds

AI Analysis

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Evan Mobley (Cleveland Cavaliers) Under 9.5 Rebounds (-128)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Cleveland Cavaliers roll into Memphis, all eyes will be on Evan Mobley, but there's reason to believe his rebounding might fall short of expectations. While Mobley has recently averaged 9.2 boards over his last five games, his away performances show a slight uptick to 10.6. Yet, these numbers can be misleading, especially against a Grizzlies squad that excels at boxing out.Against Memphis, Mobley has historically averaged around 11.7 rebounds on the road. However, with their physical style and a strong frontcourt, the Grizzlies can make it tough for him to find that rhythm. Given his expected stat value of 8.29 and a hit rate of just 57% recently, it feels like the under on 9.5 is the smarter play here. In a game where every possession counts, don't be surprised if Mobley's rebounding takes a hit.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (21 picks) 81.0% (17/21)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Mar 26 Miami Heat @ Cleveland Cavaliers Pts + Rebs 19.5 Over -196 ✓ HIT
27 Mar 26 Miami Heat @ Cleveland Cavaliers Points 13.5 Over -120 ✓ HIT
25 Mar 26 Miami Heat @ Cleveland Cavaliers Rebounds 12.5 Under -455 ✓ HIT
25 Mar 26 Miami Heat @ Cleveland Cavaliers Rebounds Pending
21 Mar 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ New Orleans Pelicans Rebounds Pending
15 Mar 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Cleveland Cavaliers Pts + Rebs + Asts Pending

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About This Player

Evan Mobley (Cleveland Cavaliers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 21 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 81.0% (17/21). The latest model pick for Evan Mobley is Under 9.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.9% on this pick. Their next game is Cleveland Cavaliers vs Memphis Grizzlies on Tuesday 7 April at FedExForum, Memphis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.