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Joel Embiid

Philadelphia 76ers

Value call

Joel Embiid (Philadelphia 76ers) has one live pick today: over 34.5 pts rebs that pays $162 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
79 in 100
Predicted
40.0 Pts + Rebs
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 78.5% · the book's price implies 61.7% · gap +16.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Philadelphia 76ers @ Houston Rockets
Toyota Center, Houston, TX · Indoor
Thu 9 Apr, 8:00 PM ET
Joel Embiid
over 34.5 pts rebs
Pts + Rebs Over 34.5 -161 (1.62) · $100→$162
Value call
HIGHWins about 79 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$16.20 Odds-161
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Joel Embiid is Over 34.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On Points + Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 79 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 79%, the price says 62%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 6:52AM UTC
DAY-TO-DAY
Embiid (rest) is out for Saturday's exhibition against the Celtics, Tony Jones of The Athletic reports.
updated Oct 10, 10:47PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs78.5%—61.7%1.27+16.8%

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AI Analysis

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Joel Embiid (Philadelphia 76ers) Over 34.5 Points + Rebounds (-161)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Philadelphia 76ers head to Houston, all eyes should be on Joel Embiid, especially when it comes to his combined points and rebounds. Averaging a solid 28.6 points and 8.8 rebounds over his last five games, he's been a force, particularly on the road, where those numbers jump to 29.8 points and 8 rebounds. Against the Rockets, Embiid's history is even more compelling, posting an average of 34.7 points and nearly 9 rebounds in his last five outings against them away. With a hit rate of 13 out of his last 17 games, including 4 out of 6 on the road, it's clear he thrives under pressure. Given his expected stat value of nearly 40, laying down a wager on him to exceed 34.5 points + rebounds feels not just wise, but practically inevitable. Don't miss the chance to ride the Embiid wave!

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Joel Embiid — 2024-25 season averages

Over 19 games in the 2024-25 season, Joel Embiid averaged 23.8 points, 8.2 rebounds and 4.5 assists in 30.2 minutes per game, shooting 44.4% from the field and 29.9% from three-point range.

23.8
PPG
8.2
RPG
4.5
APG
0.7
SPG
0.9
BPG
30.2
MPG
44.4%
FG%
29.9%
3P%

Joel Embiid — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Joel Embiid has played 31.2 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

31.2
MPG (L5)
21.2
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Joel Embiid — points hit rate

Joel Embiid has scored over 25.5 points in 46% of 366 career games.

o11.593%
o12.592%
o15.584%
o20.569%
o25.546%
o30.528%
o35.513%

Joel Embiid — home vs away scoring

At home Joel Embiid averages 19.1 points per game; on the road, 27.2. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

19.1
PPG at home
27.2
PPG on the road

Joel Embiid — scoring by opponent

Joel Embiid scores most against the CHA, averaging 32.6 points per game in that matchup.

32.6
CHA
32.3
IND
31.7
SA
30.6
DET
30.6
WSH
29.6
HOU

Joel Embiid — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Joel Embiid has averaged 26.0 points, 9.2 rebounds and 5.0 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
22 Febvs BKN311475
20 Febvs BOS271534
11 Febvs TOR3827124
9 Feb@ MIL3027126
7 Feb@ DET302376
4 Febvs DAL36291110
4 Jan@ BKN2928126
2 Jan@ GS3128142
30 Dec@ POR363793
28 Dec@ UTAH353254
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Apr 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ San Antonio Spurs Points 24.5 Over -154 ✓ HIT
06 Apr 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ San Antonio Spurs Points 22.5 Over -250 ✓ HIT
06 Apr 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ San Antonio Spurs Points 23.5 Over -233 ✓ HIT
25 Mar 26 Chicago Bulls @ Philadelphia 76ers Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
25 Mar 26 Chicago Bulls @ Philadelphia 76ers Points — — — Pending
25 Mar 26 Chicago Bulls @ Philadelphia 76ers Points — — — Pending

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About This Player

Joel Embiid (Philadelphia 76ers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Joel Embiid is Over 34.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.8% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia 76ers vs Houston Rockets on Thursday 9 April at Toyota Center, Houston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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