Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
NBA

Joel Embiid

Philadelphia 76ers

Value call
🔥 3 Consecutive Hits

Joel Embiid (Philadelphia 76ers) has one live pick today: over 19.5 points that pays $136 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
50 in 100
Predicted
25.8 points
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 49.9% · before adjusting for past results 93.6% · the book's price implies 73.5% · gap -23.7%.

Latest Model PickFree
New York Knicks @ Philadelphia 76ers
Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA · Indoor
Fri 30 Oct, 7:30 PM ET
Joel Embiid
over 19.5 points
Points Over 19.5 -278 (1.36) · $100→$136
Value call
LEANWins about 50 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$13.60 Odds-278
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Joel Embiid is Over 19.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 50 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 50%, the price says 74%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Nov 1, 9:44AM UTC
DAY-TO-DAY
Embiid (foot) is out for Saturday's game in Charlotte.
updated Nov 1, 4:52AM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points93.6%49.9%73.5%2.01+20.1%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Philadelphia 76ers vs New York Knicks: Joel Embiid Over 19.5 Points (-278)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Joel Embiid is playing at home in Wells Fargo Center, and he's been on fire lately. The Philadelphia 76ers often rely on him to score, and with the Knicks allowing a good number of points to opponents, he has a solid chance to hit over 19.5 points. The Knicks have struggled a bit on defense, which should give Embiid some opportunities to shine. One thing to be aware of is that the Knicks can be tough competition, and they might push him to perform harder than usual. Still, considering Embiid's talent and the way he's been scoring, this pick feels strong.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Joel Embiid — 2024-25 season averages

Over 19 games in the 2024-25 season, Joel Embiid averaged 23.8 points, 8.2 rebounds and 4.5 assists in 30.2 minutes per game, shooting 44.4% from the field and 29.9% from three-point range.

23.8
PPG
8.2
RPG
4.5
APG
0.7
SPG
0.9
BPG
30.2
MPG
44.4%
FG%
29.9%
3P%

Joel Embiid — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Joel Embiid has played 31.2 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

31.2
MPG (L5)
21.2
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Joel Embiid — points hit rate

Joel Embiid has scored over 25.5 points in 46% of 366 career games.

o11.593%
o12.592%
o15.584%
o20.569%
o25.546%
o30.528%
o35.513%

Joel Embiid — home vs away scoring

At home Joel Embiid averages 19.1 points per game; on the road, 27.2. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

19.1
PPG at home
27.2
PPG on the road

Joel Embiid — scoring by opponent

Joel Embiid scores most against the CHA, averaging 32.6 points per game in that matchup.

32.6
CHA
32.3
IND
31.7
SA
30.6
DET
30.6
WSH
29.6
HOU

Joel Embiid — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Joel Embiid has averaged 26.0 points, 9.2 rebounds and 5.0 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
22 Febvs BKN311475
20 Febvs BOS271534
11 Febvs TOR3827124
9 Feb@ MIL3027126
7 Feb@ DET302376
4 Febvs DAL36291110
4 Jan@ BKN2928126
2 Jan@ GS3128142
30 Dec@ POR363793
28 Dec@ UTAH353254
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
30 Oct 26 New York Knicks @ Philadelphia 76ers Points 19.5 Over -278 ✗ MISS
28 Oct 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Indiana Pacers Points 19.5 Over -238 ✓ HIT
24 Oct 26 Milwaukee Bucks @ Philadelphia 76ers Points 19.5 Over -227 ✓ HIT
24 Oct 26 Milwaukee Bucks @ Philadelphia 76ers Points — — — Pending
22 Oct 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Philadelphia 76ers Points — — — Pending
22 Oct 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Philadelphia 76ers Points — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Joel Embiid (Philadelphia 76ers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Joel Embiid is currently on a 3-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Joel Embiid is Over 19.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.1% on this pick. Their next game is New York Knicks vs Philadelphia 76ers on Friday 30 October at Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.