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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for LeBron James is Under 34.5 on Points + Assists.
On Points + Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 81 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 81%, implied 54%, edge +26.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 6:18PM UTC
NBA

LeBron James

Los Angeles Lakers

+26.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Asts Under 34.5 -116 (1.86) · $100→$186
+26.9% Edge
Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers
Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA · Indoor
Sun 19 Apr, 12:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
81 in 100
Predicted
29.0 Pts + Asts
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 80.7% · the book's price implies 53.8% · gap +26.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Asts80.7%53.8%1.24+26.9%

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AI Analysis

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LeBron James (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 34.5 Points + Assists (-116)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Lakers gear up to face the Rockets, it's intriguing to look at LeBron James' recent numbers, especially regarding his points and assists combined. Over the last five games, he's averaged just 23 points and 9.2 assists-solid contributions but well below the 34.5 mark we need to worry about. When examining his home games, those figures dip even further, with averages of 19 points and 8.8 assists. Against the Rockets specifically, LeBron's performance has been decent, but he tends to settle around 20 points and 5.8 assists in their last few encounters. The numbers suggest he often leans towards more playmaking, particularly at home, where he has hit the under in 11 of his last 12 games. With this kind of trend and the Rockets' defensive focus, betting under 34.5 seems like a smart, calculated move.

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Pick History & Track Record

LeBron James — 2024-25 season averages

Over 75 games in the 2024-25 season, LeBron James averaged 24.5 points, 7.9 rebounds and 8.0 assists in 35.3 minutes per game, shooting 51.1% from the field and 37.5% from three-point range.

24.5
PPG
7.9
RPG
8.0
APG
1.1
SPG
0.6
BPG
35.3
MPG
51.1%
FG%
37.5%
3P%

LeBron James — recent role

Across his last 5 games, LeBron James has played 40.6 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

40.6
MPG (L5)
25.4
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

LeBron James — points hit rate

LeBron James has scored over 25.5 points in 56% of 1703 career games.

o15.592%
o20.578%
o25.556%
o30.532%
o35.514%

LeBron James — home vs away scoring

At home LeBron James averages 24.6 points per game; on the road, 24.4. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

24.6
PPG at home
24.4
PPG on the road

LeBron James — scoring by opponent

LeBron James scores most against the BKN, averaging 31.4 points per game in that matchup.

31.4
BKN
30.9
POR
28.7
CLE
28.4
WSH
28.4
MIA
28.3
ATL

LeBron James — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, LeBron James has averaged 24.2 points, 6.6 rebounds and 5.7 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
30 Aprvs MIN402276
27 Apr@ MIN4627128
25 Apr@ MIN4138104
22 Aprvs MIN4021117
19 Aprvs MIN361953
11 Aprvs HOU221448
9 Apr@ DAL362773
8 Apr@ OKC352873
6 Apr@ OKC341937
4 Aprvs NO332708
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

LeBron James (Los Angeles Lakers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for LeBron James is Under 34.5 on Points + Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +26.9% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday 19 April at Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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