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The latest Bet Better model pick for LeBron James is Under 34.5 on Points + Assists.
On the Points + Assists market the model assigns a model win probability of 82%, versus the book's implied 53%, for a model edge of +28.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 6:56AM UTC
NBA

LeBron James

Los Angeles Lakers

+28.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Asts Under 34.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
+28.7% Edge
Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers
Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA · Indoor
Sun 19 Apr, 12:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
81.9%
Implied Probability
53.2%
Model Edge
+28.7%
Predicted Value
28.7 Pts + Asts

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Asts81.9%—53.2%1.22+28.7%

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AI Analysis

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LeBron James (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 34.5 Points + Assists (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Lakers gear up to face the Rockets, all eyes will be on LeBron James, but betting the under on his combined points and assists at 34.5 might be the smart play. In his last five games, LeBron has averaged just 23 points and 9.2 assists, well below this threshold. Even when he's at home, his numbers dip slightly to 19 points and 8.8 assists. Against Houston, he's averaged 20.2 points and 5.8 assists recently, and at home, those figures rise a bit but still land at 26.6 points and 7.4 assists. With an impressive hit rate of 17 out of his last 20 games staying under this mark, the trend is clear. The Rockets may provide a fun matchup, but expect LeBron to distribute the ball more than dominate the scoring. This makes the under a compelling option for this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 4(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers Made2024-25 · formNo line posted
1.7avg · last 10
L52.0Szn2.1Home2.5Away1.8Best9
1+84%
2+56%
3+31%
4+23%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 1.7 · hi 5 · lo 0
2130111521

LeBron James is averaging 1.7 3-pointers made over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 2.1, best 9). He clears 2+ in 56% of 2024-25 games.

Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
5.7avg · last 10
L55.6Szn8.0Home7.9Away8.1Best19
4+92%
6+81%
8+60%
10+28%
12+13%
Game log vs O 7.5avg 5.7 · hi 8 · lo 3
8733837486

LeBron James is averaging 5.7 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 8.0, best 19). He clears 8+ in 60% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
24.2avg · last 10
L525.4Szn24.5Home24.6Away24.4Best56
14+95%
19+76%
24+53%
29+27%
34+11%
Game log vs O 23.5avg 24.2 · hi 38 · lo 14
27192827141921382722

LeBron James is averaging 24.2 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 24.5, best 56). He clears 24+ in 53% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
29.9avg · last 10
L531.0Szn32.5Home32.5Away32.6Best59
23+88%
28+72%
33+47%
38+28%
43+9%
Game log vs O 32.5avg 29.9 · hi 42 · lo 22
35263130222228423528

LeBron James is averaging 29.9 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 32.5, best 59). He clears 33+ in 47% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
30.8avg · last 10
L534.4Szn32.4Home32.6Away32.2Best66
22+93%
27+73%
32+49%
37+27%
42+15%
Game log vs O 31.5avg 30.8 · hi 48 · lo 18
27223534182432483929

LeBron James is averaging 30.8 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 32.4, best 66). He clears 32+ in 49% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
36.5avg · last 10
L540.0Szn40.4Home40.5Away40.3Best69
30+88%
35+73%
40+51%
45+31%
50+15%
Game log vs O 39.5avg 36.5 · hi 52 · lo 26
35293837262739524735

LeBron James is averaging 36.5 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 40.4, best 69). He clears 40+ in 51% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
6.6avg · last 10
L59.0Szn7.9Home8.0Away7.7Best20
4+92%
6+71%
8+47%
10+32%
12+19%
Game log vs O 7.5avg 6.6 · hi 12 · lo 0
0377451110127

LeBron James is averaging 6.6 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 7.9, best 20). He clears 8+ in 47% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
12.3avg · last 10
L514.6Szn15.9Home16.0Away15.9Best33
10+95%
13+77%
16+44%
19+27%
22+16%
Game log vs O 15.5avg 12.3 · hi 20 · lo 8
810101012818142013

LeBron James is averaging 12.3 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 15.9, best 33). He clears 16+ in 44% of 2024-25 games.

Steals2024-25 · formNo line posted
100%hit · L10
1.6avg · last 10
L52.0Szn1.1Home0.9Away1.2Best5
1+69%
2+27%
3+9%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 1.6 · hi 3 · lo 1
2111121232

LeBron James is averaging 1.6 steals over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.1, best 5). He clears 1+ in 69% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Asts 34.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Asts 39.5 Under -303 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Asts 38.5 Under -263 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers 3-Pointers — — — Pending

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About This Player

LeBron James (Los Angeles Lakers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for LeBron James is Under 34.5 on Points + Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +28.7% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday 19 April at Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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