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NBA

LeBron James

Philadelphia 76ers

Value call

LeBron James (Philadelphia 76ers) has one live pick today: over 14.5 points that pays $153 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
86 in 100
Predicted
19.7 points
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 85.6% · the book's price implies 65.4% · gap +20.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
New York Knicks @ Philadelphia 76ers
Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA · Indoor
Fri 30 Oct, 7:30 PM ET
LeBron James
over 14.5 points
Points Over 14.5 -189 (1.53) · $100→$153
Value call
HIGHWins about 86 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$15.30 Odds-189
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for LeBron James is Over 14.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 86 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 86%, the price says 65%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 31, 7:41AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points85.6%—65.4%1.17+20.2%

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AI Analysis

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Philadelphia 76ers vs New York Knicks: LeBron James Over 14.5 Points (-189)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The odds for LeBron James to score over 14.5 points look great right now. Our numbers think he's a strong favorite to hit this mark against the Philadelphia 76ers. They've allowed a lot of three-point attempts and rebounds lately, which could give LeBron the chance to score easily. Plus, he's known for taking charge in big games, especially when his team needs him. One concrete risk is that both teams can be pretty close in their defensive stats, so it might not be an easy game. Still, LeBron's scoring ability is hard to ignore, and with the 76ers allowing plenty of opportunities, he has a good shot at going over 14.5 points tonight.

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Pick History & Track Record

LeBron James — 2024-25 season averages

Over 75 games in the 2024-25 season, LeBron James averaged 24.5 points, 7.9 rebounds and 8.0 assists in 35.3 minutes per game, shooting 51.1% from the field and 37.5% from three-point range.

24.5
PPG
7.9
RPG
8.0
APG
1.1
SPG
0.6
BPG
35.3
MPG
51.1%
FG%
37.5%
3P%

LeBron James — recent role

Across his last 5 games, LeBron James has played 40.6 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

40.6
MPG (L5)
25.4
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

LeBron James — points hit rate

LeBron James has scored over 25.5 points in 56% of 1703 career games.

o15.592%
o20.578%
o25.556%
o30.532%
o35.514%

LeBron James — home vs away scoring

At home LeBron James averages 24.6 points per game; on the road, 24.4. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

24.6
PPG at home
24.4
PPG on the road

LeBron James — scoring by opponent

LeBron James scores most against the BKN, averaging 31.4 points per game in that matchup.

31.4
BKN
30.9
POR
28.7
CLE
28.4
WSH
28.4
MIA
28.3
ATL

LeBron James — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, LeBron James has averaged 24.2 points, 6.6 rebounds and 5.7 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
30 Aprvs MIN402276
27 Apr@ MIN4627128
25 Apr@ MIN4138104
22 Aprvs MIN4021117
19 Aprvs MIN361953
11 Aprvs HOU221448
9 Apr@ DAL362773
8 Apr@ OKC352873
6 Apr@ OKC341937
4 Aprvs NO332708
Quick answers:How many assists does LeBron James average?How many points does LeBron James average?How many rebounds does LeBron James average?How many three-pointers does LeBron James average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
30 Oct 26 New York Knicks @ Philadelphia 76ers Points 14.5 Over -189 ✓ HIT
28 Oct 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Indiana Pacers Points 13.5 Over -278 ✗ MISS
28 Oct 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Indiana Pacers Points 12.5 Over -345 ✓ HIT
28 Oct 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Indiana Pacers Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
25 Oct 26 Detroit Pistons @ Philadelphia 76ers Points — — — Pending
25 Oct 26 Detroit Pistons @ Philadelphia 76ers Pts + Rebs — — — Pending

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About This Player

LeBron James (Philadelphia 76ers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for LeBron James is Over 14.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.2% on this pick. Their next game is New York Knicks vs Philadelphia 76ers on Friday 30 October at Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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