Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 12.5 Assists (-122)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishingAs the Nuggets gear up to face the Timberwolves, all eyes will be on Nikola Jokic, but targeting the Under on his assists at 12.5 could be the move. While Jokic is a maestro on the court, dishing out an impressive average of 11.2 assists at home over his last five games, the matchup against Minnesota presents some challenges. Historically, Jokic has only managed to average 9 assists against them at home, and although his overall hit rate has been strong-5 out of the last 7 games hitting the Under-this could be a night where he focuses more on scoring rather than playmaking. With the Timberwolves tightening their defense and Jokic's recent average dipping slightly to 9 assists in home matchups against them, it feels like the odds favor a more subdued distribution night. Let's lean into the Under here; it's a smart play in this context.