Logo BET BETTER PRO TERMINAL
NBA

Kevin Durant

Phoenix Suns

+12.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Pts + Rebs + Asts Under 39.5 -125 (1.80)
+12.4% Edge
Los Angeles Lakers @ Houston Rockets
Toyota Center, Houston
Tue 17 Mar, 1:30AM
Model Probability
68.0%
Implied Probability
55.6%
Model Edge
+12.4%
Predicted Value
35.9 Pts + Rebs + Asts

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Kevin Durant (Phoenix Suns) Under 39.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-125)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As we gear up for this intriguing matchup between the Houston Rockets and the Los Angeles Lakers, Kevin Durant's total of 39.5 points, rebounds, and assists seems a tad inflated. While Durant is a scoring machine, his recent numbers tell a different story. Over his last five games, he's averaging 25 points, 5.2 rebounds, and 5.4 assists-totaling around 35.91 when combined. What's more compelling is his recent performance against this Lakers squad, where he's only managed about 27.6 points, alongside 7.8 rebounds and 5 assists. The Lakers, known for their defensive prowess, have limited his output, contributing to his 5-out-of-6 hit rate on the Under. With the Rockets playing at home, expect a focused defensive approach that can keep Durant's contributions in check. With all this in mind, the Under 39.5 looks like the smart play.

Full AI analysis is available to subscribers

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis

Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (14 picks) 64.3% (9/14)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
17 Mar 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Houston Rockets Pts + Rebs + Asts 39.5 Under -125 ✓ HIT
14 Mar 26 New Orleans Pelicans @ Houston Rockets Assists 5.5 Under -159 ✓ HIT
14 Mar 26 New Orleans Pelicans @ Houston Rockets Pts + Rebs + Asts 39.5 Under -122 ✗ MISS
06 Mar 26 Golden State Warriors @ Houston Rockets Points Pending
28 Feb 26 Houston Rockets @ Miami Heat Rebounds Pending
28 Feb 26 Houston Rockets @ Miami Heat Rebounds Pending

Full pick history is available to subscribers

Bet Better Unlock Full History