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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Kevin Durant is Over 9.5 on Rebounds + Assists.
On Rebounds + Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 68 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 68%, implied 59%, edge +8.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Sep 1, 3:28PM UTC
NBA

Kevin Durant

Phoenix Suns

+8.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Rebs + Asts Over 9.5 -143 (1.70) · $100→$170
+8.8% Edge
Los Angeles Lakers @ Houston Rockets
Toyota Center, Houston, TX · Indoor
Thu 19 Mar, 1:30AM
DAY-TO-DAY
Durant (ankle) averaged 26.0 points per game during his first season with Houston and continued to cement his place among the NBA's all-time great scorers, moving into the top five on the league's career 30-point games list.
updated Aug 5, 3:22PM UTC · 27d old
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Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
68 in 100
Predicted
11.1 Rebs + Asts
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 67.6% · the book's price implies 58.8% · gap +8.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebs + Asts67.6%58.8%1.48+8.8%

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AI Analysis

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Kevin Durant (Phoenix Suns) Over 9.5 Rebounds + Assists (-143)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As we gear up for the matchup between the Houston Rockets and Los Angeles Lakers, all eyes should be on Kevin Durant's potential to exceed 9.5 combined rebounds and assists. In his last 11 games, Durant has hit this mark an impressive 9 times, showcasing his ability to thrive in high-pressure situations. Against teams like the Lakers, he's averaged 7.8 rebounds and 5 assists in their recent encounters, which is notably higher than the Lakers' defensive averages of 8.2 rebounds and 8.2 assists allowed at home. With Durant's current averages of 5.2 boards and 5.4 assists over his last five games, he's well-positioned to surpass that 9.5 threshold. The Rockets' pace also bodes well for more possessions and opportunities, making this bet not just plausible, but a smart play as Durant looks to dominate once again.

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Pick History & Track Record

Kevin Durant — 2024-25 season averages

Over 64 games in the 2024-25 season, Kevin Durant averaged 25.8 points, 5.9 rebounds and 4.2 assists in 35.7 minutes per game, shooting 52.4% from the field and 42.7% from three-point range.

25.8
PPG
5.9
RPG
4.2
APG
0.8
SPG
1.2
BPG
35.7
MPG
52.4%
FG%
42.7%
3P%

Kevin Durant — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Kevin Durant has played 32.6 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

32.6
MPG (L5)
28.8
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Kevin Durant — points hit rate

Kevin Durant has scored over 25.5 points in 57% of 1139 career games.

o15.593%
o20.581%
o25.557%
o30.531%
o35.513%

Kevin Durant — home vs away scoring

At home Kevin Durant averages 26.9 points per game; on the road, 24.6. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

26.9
PPG at home
24.6
PPG on the road

Kevin Durant — scoring by opponent

Kevin Durant scores most against the DET, averaging 34.0 points per game in that matchup.

34.0
DET
32.2
UTAH
31.1
ATL
30.1
MIL
29.6
BOS
29.4
SAC

Kevin Durant — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Kevin Durant has averaged 24.6 points, 5.5 rebounds and 3.7 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
30 Marvs HOU231171
28 Mar@ MIN342362
26 Marvs BOS303012
24 Marvs MIL373885
21 Marvs CLE394268
19 Marvs CHI362648
17 Marvs TOR261433
16 Mar@ LAL372192
14 Marvs SAC362246
12 Mar@ HOU371970
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Mar 26 Golden State Warriors @ Houston Rockets Points 17.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT
28 Feb 26 Houston Rockets @ Miami Heat Rebounds 5.5 Over -159 ✗ MISS
27 Feb 26 Houston Rockets @ Orlando Magic Rebs + Asts 8.5 Over -145 ✓ HIT
27 Feb 26 Houston Rockets @ Orlando Magic 3-Pointers Pending
26 Feb 26 Sacramento Kings @ Houston Rockets Rebs + Asts Pending
26 Feb 26 Sacramento Kings @ Houston Rockets Rebounds Pending

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About This Player

Kevin Durant (Phoenix Suns) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kevin Durant is Over 9.5 on Rebounds + Assists. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.8% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Lakers vs Houston Rockets on Thursday 19 March at Toyota Center, Houston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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