Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Today's bet is live / One clear pick a day / Tracked in public — wins & losses / Free to start, no card
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Kevin Durant is Over 9.5 on Rebs + Asts.
On the Rebs + Asts market the model assigns a model win probability of 68%, versus the book's implied 59%, for a model edge of +8.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:05PM UTC
NBA

Kevin Durant

Phoenix Suns

+8.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Rebs + Asts Over 9.5 -143 (1.70)
+8.8% Edge
Los Angeles Lakers @ Houston Rockets
Toyota Center, Houston, TX · Indoor
Thu 19 Mar, 1:30AM
DAY-TO-DAY
Durant (ankle) is listed out for Friday's Game 6 versus the Lakers.
updated Jun 16, 2:30PM UTC · 34d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
67.6%
Implied Probability
58.8%
Model Edge
+8.8%
Predicted Value
11.1 Rebs + Asts

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebs + Asts67.6%—58.8%1.48+8.8%

See every market's calibrated edge

Unlock the full calibrated-probability grid across every market for this player — model vs calibrated vs fair value.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Kevin Durant (Phoenix Suns) Over 9.5 Rebounds + Assists (-143)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Rockets gear up to face the Lakers, Kevin Durant emerges as a prime candidate for an impactful performance on the court. With an average of 5.2 rebounds and 5.4 assists over his last five games, he's shown a knack for filling the stat sheet. When playing away, those numbers tick up to 7.8 rebounds and 4 assists, highlighting his ability to step up in tough matchups.Against the Lakers specifically, Durant has consistently delivered, averaging 7.8 rebounds and 5 assists in their last encounters. The Lakers' defense has struggled to contain versatile scorers like him, with their opponents averaging 8.2 assists and 8.2 rebounds when playing in L.A. Given Durant's recent form-hitting the over in 9 of his last 11 games-betting on him to surpass 9.5 combined rebounds and assists feels like a smart play. Expect him to shine when it matters most.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers Made2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
3.0avg · last 10
L53.6Szn2.5Home2.8Away2.1Best8
1+92%
2+75%
3+48%
4+22%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 3 · hi 7 · lo 1
2421347331

Kevin Durant is averaging 3.0 3-pointers made over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 2.5, best 8). He clears 2+ in 75% of 2024-25 games.

Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
3.7avg · last 10
L53.6Szn4.2Home4.3Away4.0Best16
2+91%
4+56%
6+31%
8+8%
Game log vs O 3.5avg 3.7 · hi 8 · lo 0
0623885221

Kevin Durant is averaging 3.7 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 4.2, best 16). He clears 4+ in 56% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
24.6avg · last 10
L528.8Szn25.8Home26.9Away24.6Best55
16+91%
21+83%
26+53%
31+25%
36+9%
Game log vs O 25.5avg 24.6 · hi 42 · lo 11
19222114264238302311

Kevin Durant is averaging 24.6 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 25.8, best 55). He clears 26+ in 53% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
28.3avg · last 10
L532.4Szn30.0Home31.2Away28.5Best62
20+89%
25+77%
30+56%
35+27%
40+14%
Game log vs O 29.5avg 28.3 · hi 50 · lo 12
19282317345043322512

Kevin Durant is averaging 28.3 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 30.0, best 62). He clears 30+ in 56% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
33.8avg · last 10
L538.0Szn35.9Home36.9Away34.7Best76
26+89%
31+81%
36+52%
41+30%
46+9%
Game log vs O 35.5avg 33.8 · hi 56 · lo 19
26323220385651333119

Kevin Durant is averaging 33.8 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 35.9, best 76). He clears 36+ in 52% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
5.5avg · last 10
L55.6Szn5.9Home5.7Away6.2Best17
2+97%
4+83%
6+55%
8+30%
10+8%
Game log vs O 5.5avg 5.5 · hi 9 · lo 1
7493468167

Kevin Durant is averaging 5.5 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 5.9, best 17). He clears 6+ in 55% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
9.2avg · last 10
L59.2Szn10.1Home10.0Away10.1Best27
4+95%
7+88%
10+56%
13+23%
16+5%
Game log vs O 9.5avg 9.2 · hi 14 · lo 3
710116121413388

Kevin Durant is averaging 9.2 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 10.1, best 27). He clears 10+ in 56% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Mar 26 Golden State Warriors @ Houston Rockets Points 17.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT
28 Feb 26 Houston Rockets @ Miami Heat Rebounds 5.5 Over -159 ✗ MISS
27 Feb 26 Houston Rockets @ Orlando Magic Rebs + Asts 8.5 Over -145 ✓ HIT
27 Feb 26 Houston Rockets @ Orlando Magic 3-Pointers — — — Pending
26 Feb 26 Sacramento Kings @ Houston Rockets Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
26 Feb 26 Sacramento Kings @ Houston Rockets Rebounds — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Kevin Durant (Phoenix Suns) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kevin Durant is Over 9.5 on Rebs + Asts. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.8% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Lakers vs Houston Rockets on Thursday 19 March at Toyota Center, Houston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks