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Kevin Durant

Houston Rockets

Value call
🔥 7 Consecutive Hits

Kevin Durant (Houston Rockets) has one live pick today: over 19.5 points that pays $140 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
40 in 100
Predicted
25.2 points
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 39.8% · before adjusting for past results 91.5% · the book's price implies 71.4% · gap -31.7%.

Latest Model PickFree
Houston Rockets @ San Antonio Spurs
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX · Indoor
Fri 23 Oct, 9:30 PM ET
Kevin Durant
over 19.5 points
Points Over 19.5 -250 (1.40) · $100→$140
Value call
LEANWins about 40 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$14.00 Odds-250
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Kevin Durant is Over 19.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 40 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 40%, the price says 71%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Nov 1, 1:15PM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points91.5%39.8%71.4%2.52+20.1%

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AI Analysis

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San Antonio Spurs vs Houston Rockets: Kevin Durant Over 19.5 Points (-250)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The odds for Kevin Durant to score over 19.5 points are looking good. Our numbers think he's a strong favorite to hit that mark, especially against the Spurs. San Antonio has a tough time stopping scoring, letting teams grab a lot of rebounds and shoot plenty of threes. This could mean more chances for Durant, who can take advantage of their defense. However, the Spurs do force a few turnovers, which might disrupt the flow a bit. Still, given Durant's scoring ability and the Spurs' struggles on defense, he should find ways to get his points. It's a solid bet, but keep an eye on how the game unfolds.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 7 of last 10(70%)

Kevin Durant — 2024-25 season averages

Over 64 games in the 2024-25 season, Kevin Durant averaged 25.8 points, 5.9 rebounds and 4.2 assists in 35.7 minutes per game, shooting 52.4% from the field and 42.7% from three-point range.

25.8
PPG
5.9
RPG
4.2
APG
0.8
SPG
1.2
BPG
35.7
MPG
52.4%
FG%
42.7%
3P%

Kevin Durant — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Kevin Durant has played 32.6 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

32.6
MPG (L5)
28.8
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Kevin Durant — points hit rate

Kevin Durant has scored over 25.5 points in 57% of 1139 career games.

o15.593%
o20.581%
o25.557%
o30.531%
o35.513%

Kevin Durant — home vs away scoring

At home Kevin Durant averages 26.9 points per game; on the road, 24.6. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

26.9
PPG at home
24.6
PPG on the road

Kevin Durant — scoring by opponent

Kevin Durant scores most against the DET, averaging 34.0 points per game in that matchup.

34.0
DET
32.2
UTAH
31.1
ATL
30.1
MIL
29.6
BOS
29.4
SAC

Kevin Durant — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Kevin Durant has averaged 24.6 points, 5.5 rebounds and 3.7 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
30 Marvs HOU231171
28 Mar@ MIN342362
26 Marvs BOS303012
24 Marvs MIL373885
21 Marvs CLE394268
19 Marvs CHI362648
17 Marvs TOR261433
16 Mar@ LAL372192
14 Marvs SAC362246
12 Mar@ HOU371970
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
23 Oct 26 Houston Rockets @ San Antonio Spurs Points 19.5 Over -250 ✓ HIT
23 Oct 26 Houston Rockets @ San Antonio Spurs Points 21.5 Over -161 ✗ MISS
18 Mar 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Houston Rockets Rebs + Asts 9.5 Over -139 ✓ HIT
16 Mar 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Houston Rockets Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
13 Mar 26 New Orleans Pelicans @ Houston Rockets Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
13 Mar 26 New Orleans Pelicans @ Houston Rockets Assists — — — Pending

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About This Player

Kevin Durant (Houston Rockets) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Kevin Durant is currently on a 7-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Kevin Durant is Over 19.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.1% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs on Friday 23 October at Frost Bank Center, San Antonio. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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