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The latest Bet Better model pick for Kevin Durant is Over 9.5 on Rebounds + Assists.
On the Rebounds + Assists market the model assigns a model win probability of 68%, versus the book's implied 59%, for a model edge of +8.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 12, 2:48AM UTC
NBA

Kevin Durant

Phoenix Suns

+8.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Rebs + Asts Over 9.5 -143 (1.70) · $100→$170
+8.8% Edge
Los Angeles Lakers @ Houston Rockets
Toyota Center, Houston, TX · Indoor
Thu 19 Mar, 1:30AM
DAY-TO-DAY
Durant (ankle) averaged 26.0 points per game during his first season with Houston and continued to cement his place among the NBA's all-time great scorers, moving into the top five on the league's career 30-point games list.
updated Aug 5, 3:22PM UTC · 6d old
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Model Probability
67.6%
Implied Probability
58.8%
Model Edge
+8.8%
Predicted Value
11.1 Rebs + Asts

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebs + Asts67.6%58.8%1.48+8.8%

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AI Analysis

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Kevin Durant (Phoenix Suns) Over 9.5 Rebounds + Assists (-143)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

In the upcoming clash between the Houston Rockets and the Los Angeles Lakers, Kevin Durant's prop bet for over 9.5 rebounds and assists stands out like a beacon. With an impressive overall hit rate of 9 out of his last 11 games, Durant has been a statistical powerhouse lately. His averages tell a compelling story, too: in his last five outings, he's racked up an average of 5.2 rebounds and 5.4 assists, which is just shy of that 9.5 mark but doesn't tell the whole tale.Facing off against the Lakers, who allow 8.2 assists and 8.2 rebounds to opponents on the road, Durant is poised to exploit their defensive lapses. Additionally, his own recent performance against them has yielded an average of 7.8 rebounds and 5 assists. With the odds favoring this outcome at a solid 58.8% implied probability, we can confidently expect Durant to exceed that threshold.

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Pick History & Track Record

Kevin Durant — 2024-25 season averages

Over 64 games in the 2024-25 season, Kevin Durant averaged 25.8 points, 5.9 rebounds and 4.2 assists in 35.7 minutes per game, shooting 52.4% from the field and 42.7% from three-point range.

25.8
PPG
5.9
RPG
4.2
APG
0.8
SPG
1.2
BPG
35.7
MPG
52.4%
FG%
42.7%
3P%

Kevin Durant — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Kevin Durant has played 32.6 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

32.6
MPG (L5)
28.8
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Kevin Durant — points hit rate

Kevin Durant has scored over 25.5 points in 57% of 1139 career games.

o15.593%
o20.581%
o25.557%
o30.531%
o35.513%

Kevin Durant — home vs away scoring

At home Kevin Durant averages 26.9 points per game; on the road, 24.6. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

26.9
PPG at home
24.6
PPG on the road

Kevin Durant — scoring by opponent

Kevin Durant scores most against the DET, averaging 34.0 points per game in that matchup.

34.0
DET
32.2
UTAH
31.1
ATL
30.1
MIL
29.6
BOS
29.4
SAC

Kevin Durant — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Kevin Durant has averaged 24.6 points, 5.5 rebounds and 3.7 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
30 Marvs HOU231171
28 Mar@ MIN342362
26 Marvs BOS303012
24 Marvs MIL373885
21 Marvs CLE394268
19 Marvs CHI362648
17 Marvs TOR261433
16 Mar@ LAL372192
14 Marvs SAC362246
12 Mar@ HOU371970
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Mar 26 Golden State Warriors @ Houston Rockets Points 17.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT
28 Feb 26 Houston Rockets @ Miami Heat Rebounds 5.5 Over -159 ✗ MISS
27 Feb 26 Houston Rockets @ Orlando Magic 3-Pointers 1.5 Over -185 ✓ HIT
27 Feb 26 Houston Rockets @ Orlando Magic Rebs + Asts Pending
26 Feb 26 Sacramento Kings @ Houston Rockets Rebs + Asts Pending
26 Feb 26 Sacramento Kings @ Houston Rockets Rebounds Pending

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About This Player

Kevin Durant (Phoenix Suns) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kevin Durant is Over 9.5 on Rebounds + Assists. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.8% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Lakers vs Houston Rockets on Thursday 19 March at Toyota Center, Houston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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