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MLB

New York Yankees

Model-graded picks, player props and the edge on every market — with the full result history below.

Every pick graded — see verified results
Next Game: vs Los Angeles Dodgers (Home) Fri 17 Jul, 11:05PM Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC) · Outdoor
Model updated Jul 17, 8:06AM UTC
Answer
The New York Yankees model is leaning the over in the Total Runs market vs Los Angeles Dodgers.
exact probability, edge and line unlock with a subscription.

Today's Game Pick

Model edge
Total Runs
Over 9.5
Odds: +106
Model prob: 53.9%
+5.4%
Free pick — today's headline game edge

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Calibrated Edge — Game Markets

Calibrated vs fair
MarketModel output
Total Runs - 1st 5 InningsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Total RunsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Runs - 1st 1 InningsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
MoneylineProbability, fair odds & edge locked
SpreadProbability, fair odds & edge locked

Full model-edge table — 5 game markets for this team with exact probability, fair odds and edge — is ready for subscribers.

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Availability

Roster status
Updated 13 Jul 2026, 02:50 UTC · may be stale
DH
Giancarlo StantonOUTinjury
RF
Aaron JudgeOUTinjury
SP
Carlos RodonOUTinjuryClarke SchmidtOUTinjuryMax FriedOUTinjury

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions
Ballpark conditions (temperature, wind direction and roof state) can move MLB run totals, and matter most in open-air parks with strong prevailing winds.
Per-game ballpark weather is pending a file→table persistence job (owner). No live park weather is shown here until that data is in the database.

Model Performance History

All results →
3
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate
DateOpponentMarketPickResult
12 Jul 26 Washington Nationals Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings New York Yankees ✓ HIT
12 Jul 26 Washington Nationals Total Runs Under 7 ✗ MISS
12 Jul 26 Washington Nationals Spread New York Yankees -3 ✗ MISS

Betting angles

3 markets live
Total RunsGame total · New York Yankees vs Los Angeles DodgersOver 9.5 +106+5.4% edge
54%over %
9.9proj. runs
L5 RF4.2L5 RA1.4Home L53-2O/U9-13

New York Yankees total runs vs Los Angeles Dodgers is live with a model 54% read and a +5.4% model edge; proj. runs 9.9.

MoneylineNew York Yankees to win+100+2.3% edge
52%model win %
3-2L5 record
L5 RF4.2L5 RA1.4Home L53-2Win rec4-10

New York Yankees moneyline vs Los Angeles Dodgers is live with a model 52% read and a +2.3% model edge; L5 record 3-2.

Run LineLos Angeles Dodgers run line-3.5 +310+2.2% edge
-0.6proj. margin
L5 RF4.2L5 RA1.4Home L53-2ATS5-12

New York Yankees spread vs Los Angeles Dodgers is live and a +2.2% model edge; proj. margin -0.6.

Team Total RunsNew York Yankees team totalNo line posted
4.2L5 runs/gm
L5 RF4.2L5 RA1.4Home L53-2

New York Yankees team total runs form: last five 3-2, 4.2 runs/gm.

Recent form (last 5 games)

New York Yankees have gone 3-2 over their last 5 games, averaging 4.2 runs and 5.6 hits per game while allowing 1.4 earned runs.

3-2
Last 5
4.2
Runs / G
5.6
Hits / G
0.8
HR / G
1.6
RBI / G
1.4
ER Allowed / G
3.2
Ks / G

About This Team

New York Yankees are tracked by the Bet Better model across MLB games. Their next game is against Los Angeles Dodgers on Friday 17 July at Yankee Stadium. Use the data above to inform your MLB betting decisions for New York Yankees.