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The latest Bet Better model pick for Ryan McMahon is Under 0.5 on Batter - RBIs.
On the Batter - RBIs market the model assigns a model win probability of 81%, versus the book's implied 74%, for a model edge of +6.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:04PM UTC
MLB

Ryan McMahon

COL

+6.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - RBIs Under 0.5 -286 (1.35)
+6.9% Edge
Pittsburgh Pirates @ New York Yankees
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Tue 21 Jul, 11:05PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
80.9%
Implied Probability
74.1%
Model Edge
+6.9%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - RBIs80.9%—74.1%1.24+6.9%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Ryan McMahon (COL) Under 0.5 RBIs (-286)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Yankees host the Pirates, Ryan McMahon's chances of driving in a run seem slim. The Yankees’ pitching staff has been nothing short of dominant lately, boasting a top-tier strikeout rate that has left opposing batters in a fog. McMahon, while a capable hitter, has struggled against power pitchers, particularly those with a heavy reliance on breaking balls—a hallmark of the Yankees' rotation. Moreover, the Yankees' defense has been stellar, making it tough for anyone to cross home plate. With the Pirates' lineup struggling to produce runs of their own, we might see a low-scoring affair. The odds of McMahon registering even a single RBI are stacked against him at a mere 26%, which aligns with the model's prediction of just 0.28. Given these recent trends and statistical matchups, betting on McMahon to stay under 0.5 RBIs seems like the prudent play in this contest.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

2 markets live
Batter - RBIsUpcoming gameU 0.5 -286+6.9% edge
80%hit L10
Streak5L2088%

Ryan McMahon MLB rbis: cleared under 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -286 (+6.9% model edge).

Batter - SinglesUpcoming gameU 0.5 -200+4.8% edge
57%hit L10

Ryan McMahon MLB singles: cleared under 0.5 in 57% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -200 (+4.8% model edge).

Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
L2060%
O 0.560%
O 1.550%

Ryan McMahon MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
O 1.550%
O 2.520%
O 3.510%
O 4.510%

Ryan McMahon MLB total bases: cleared over 1.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%

Ryan McMahon MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
L2067%
O 0.560%
O 1.550%
O 2.530%
O 3.530%
O 4.520%

Ryan McMahon MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10

Ryan McMahon MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Ryan McMahon (COL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ryan McMahon is Under 0.5 on Batter - RBIs. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.9% on this pick. Their next game is Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Yankees on Tuesday 21 July at Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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