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MLB

Washington Nationals

Model-graded picks, player props and the edge on every market — with the full result history below.

Every pick graded — see verified results
Next Game: vs Philadelphia Phillies (Away) Thu 6 Aug, 10:05PM Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia · Outdoor
Model updated Aug 6, 2:14PM UTC
Answer
The Washington Nationals model is leaning Washington Nationals on the spread in the Spread market vs Philadelphia Phillies.
exact probability, edge and line unlock with a subscription.

Today's Game Pick

Model edge
Spread
Washington Nationals +1
Odds: +220
Model prob: 56.4%
+25.2%
Free pick — today's headline game edge

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Calibrated Edge — Game Markets

Calibrated vs fair
MarketModel output
SpreadProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Moneyline - 1st 5 InningsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Spread - 1st 5 InningsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
MoneylineProbability, fair odds & edge locked
SpreadProbability, fair odds & edge locked
MoneylineProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Runs - 1st 5 InningsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Runs - 1st 1 InningsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Total RunsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Total RunsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Runs - 1st 5 InningsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Spread - 1st 5 InningsProbability, fair odds & edge locked

Full model-edge table — 12 game markets for this team with exact probability, fair odds and edge — is ready for subscribers.

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Availability

Roster status
Updated 5 Aug 2026, 23:05 UTC · may be stale
C
Drew MillasOUTinjury
RF
James WoodOUTinjury
RP
Ken WaldichukOUTinjuryMitchell ParkerOUTinjuryPJ PoulinOUTinjuryRichard LoveladyOUTinjury
SP
Connelly EarlyOUTinjuryDJ HerzOUTinjuryJosiah GrayOUTinjury

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions
Ballpark conditions (temperature, wind direction and roof state) can move MLB run totals, and matter most in open-air parks with strong prevailing winds.
Per-game ballpark weather is pending a file→table persistence job (owner). No live park weather is shown here until that data is in the database.

Model Performance History

All results →
0
Total Picks
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Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateOpponentMarketPickResult

Betting angles

3 markets live
Run LineWashington Nationals run line+1 +220
56%cover %
+0.2proj. margin
L5 RF2.0L5 RA2.4Away L51-4

Washington Nationals spread vs Philadelphia Phillies is live and our model makes it 56% (LEAN); proj. margin +0.2.

MoneylineWashington Nationals to win+290
1-4L5 record
L5 RF2.0L5 RA2.4Away L51-4

Washington Nationals moneyline vs Philadelphia Phillies is live and our model makes it 41% (LONG-SHOT); L5 record 1-4.

Total RunsGame total · Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia PhilliesUnder 6 +390
9.0proj. runs
L5 RF2.0L5 RA2.4Away L51-4Free board9-7

Washington Nationals total runs vs Philadelphia Phillies is live and our model makes it 26% (LONG-SHOT); proj. runs 9.0.

Team Total RunsWashington Nationals team totalNo line posted
2.0L5 runs/gm
L5 RF2.0L5 RA2.4Away L51-4

Washington Nationals team total runs form: last five 1-4, 2.0 runs/gm.

About This Team

Washington Nationals are tracked by the Bet Better model across MLB games. Their next game is against Philadelphia Phillies on Thursday 6 August at Citizens Bank Park. Use the data above to inform your MLB betting decisions for Washington Nationals.

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