MLB

Philadelphia Phillies

Model-graded picks, player props and the edge on every market — with the full result history below.

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Next Game: vs St. Louis Cardinals (Away) Mon 10 Aug, 11:45PM Busch Stadium, St. Louis · Outdoor

The recordOur formula’s best MLB market: mlb total-runs unders · 546 of 996 · +$17,081

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Model updated Aug 10, 11:51AM UTC

Answer

The Philadelphia Phillies model is leaning St. Louis Cardinals on the spread in the Spread market vs St. Louis Cardinals.

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Today's Game Pick

Model edge

Spread

St. Louis Cardinals +1.5

Odds: -175

Model prob: 75.1% · a $100 bet returns about $157 if it lands

+11.4%

Free pick — today's headline game edge

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Calibrated Edge — Game Markets

Calibrated vs fair

Market	Model output
Spread - 1st 5 Innings	Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Spread	Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Moneyline	Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings	Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings	Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Runs	Probability, fair odds & edge locked

Full model-edge table — 6 game markets for this team with exact probability, fair odds and edge — is ready for subscribers.

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Availability

Roster status

Updated 9 Aug 2026, 21:36 UTC · may be stale

C

Rafael MarchanOUTinjury

CF

Johan RojasOUTinjuryDerek HillDAY-TO-DAYinjury

RF

Adolis GarciaOUTinjury

RP

Brad KellerOUTinjuryTanner BanksOUTinjuryCaleb KilianDAY-TO-DAYinjury

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions

Ballpark conditions (temperature, wind direction and roof state) can move MLB run totals, and matter most in open-air parks with strong prevailing winds.

Per-game ballpark weather is pending a file→table persistence job (owner). No live park weather is shown here until that data is in the database.

Model Performance History

All results →

0

Total Picks

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Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Date	Opponent	Market	Pick	Result

Betting angles

3 markets live

Run LineMoneylineTotal RunsTeam Total Runs

Run LineSt. Louis Cardinals run line-2 +241

+1.7proj. margin

L5 RF2.8L5 RA1.4Away L54-1

Philadelphia Phillies spread vs St. Louis Cardinals is live (LONG-SHOT); proj. margin +1.7.

MoneylineSt. Louis Cardinals favored (model)-105

3-2L5 record

L5 RF2.8L5 RA1.4Away L54-1

Philadelphia Phillies moneyline vs St. Louis Cardinals is live (HIGH); L5 record 3-2.

Total RunsGame total · Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis CardinalsUnder 6 +320

8.8proj. runs

L5 RF2.8L5 RA1.4Away L54-1

Philadelphia Phillies total runs vs St. Louis Cardinals is live and our model makes it 28% (LONG-SHOT); proj. runs 8.8.

Team Total RunsPhiladelphia Phillies team totalNo line posted

2.8L5 runs/gm

L5 RF2.8L5 RA1.4Away L54-1

Philadelphia Phillies team total runs form: last five 3-2, 2.8 runs/gm.

Recent form

Recent form (last 5 games)

Philadelphia Phillies have gone 3-2 over their last 5 games, averaging 2.8 runs and 4.4 hits per game while allowing 1.4 earned runs.

3-2

Last 5

2.8

Runs / G

4.4

Hits / G

0.4

HR / G

1.8

RBI / G

1.4

ER Allowed / G

3.6

Ks / G

About This Team

Philadelphia Phillies are tracked by the Bet Better model across MLB games. Their next game is against St. Louis Cardinals on Monday 10 August at Busch Stadium. Use the data above to inform your MLB betting decisions for Philadelphia Phillies.

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