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MLB

Philadelphia Phillies

Model-graded picks, player props and the edge on every market — with the full result history below.

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Next Game: vs Los Angeles Dodgers (Home) Tue 21 Jul, 10:40PM Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia · Outdoor
Model updated Jul 21, 9:05AM UTC
Answer
The Philadelphia Phillies model is leaning Philadelphia Phillies on the spread in the Spread market vs Los Angeles Dodgers.
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Today's Game Pick

Model edge
Spread
Philadelphia Phillies -7.5
Odds: +1400
Model prob: 15.1%
+8.4%
Free pick — today's headline game edge

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Calibrated Edge — Game Markets

Calibrated vs fair
MarketModel output
SpreadProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Runs - 1st 1 InningsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Total RunsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
MoneylineProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Runs - 1st 5 InningsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Spread - 1st 5 InningsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Moneyline - 1st 5 InningsProbability, fair odds & edge locked

Full model-edge table — 7 game markets for this team with exact probability, fair odds and edge — is ready for subscribers.

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Availability

Roster status
Updated 20 Jul 2026, 23:00 UTC · may be stale
CF
Johan RojasOUTinjury
RF
Adolis GarciaOUTinjury
RP
Brad KellerOUTinjuryLou TrivinoOUTinjuryTanner BanksOUTinjury

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions
Ballpark conditions (temperature, wind direction and roof state) can move MLB run totals, and matter most in open-air parks with strong prevailing winds.
Per-game ballpark weather is pending a file→table persistence job (owner). No live park weather is shown here until that data is in the database.

Model Performance History

All results →
0
Total Picks
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Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateOpponentMarketPickResult

Betting angles

3 markets live
Run LinePhiladelphia Phillies run line-3.5 +370+19.0% edge
+2.2proj. margin
L5 RF4.6L5 RA2.0Home L52-3ATS2-14

Philadelphia Phillies spread vs Los Angeles Dodgers is live with a model 40% read and a +19.0% model edge; proj. margin +2.2.

Total RunsGame total · Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles DodgersOver 9.5 +138+14.3% edge
56%over %
10.2proj. runs
L5 RF4.6L5 RA2.0Home L52-3O/U7-9

Philadelphia Phillies total runs vs Los Angeles Dodgers is live with a model 56% read and a +14.3% model edge; proj. runs 10.2.

MoneylinePhiladelphia Phillies to win-135+12.5% edge
70%model win %
3-2L5 record
L5 RF4.6L5 RA2.0Home L52-3Win rec0-11

Philadelphia Phillies moneyline vs Los Angeles Dodgers is live with a model 70% read and a +12.5% model edge; L5 record 3-2.

Team Total RunsPhiladelphia Phillies team totalNo line posted
4.6L5 runs/gm
L5 RF4.6L5 RA2.0Home L52-3

Philadelphia Phillies team total runs form: last five 3-2, 4.6 runs/gm.

Recent form (last 5 games)

Philadelphia Phillies have gone 3-2 over their last 5 games, averaging 4.6 runs and 5.8 hits per game while allowing 2.0 earned runs.

3-2
Last 5
4.6
Runs / G
5.8
Hits / G
1.4
HR / G
3.6
RBI / G
2.0
ER Allowed / G
2.6
Ks / G

About This Team

Philadelphia Phillies are tracked by the Bet Better model across MLB games. Their next game is against Los Angeles Dodgers on Tuesday 21 July at Citizens Bank Park. Use the data above to inform your MLB betting decisions for Philadelphia Phillies.

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