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Model picks & player props
MLB
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC)
Outdoor
Wed 7 Oct 2026, 8:00 PM ET
Tampa Bay Rays
VS
New York Yankees

Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 70 markets for Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees and backs Tampa Bay Rays hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $260.

20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings
You bet$10 If it wins$26.00Best price+160
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win43.0%
The price says38.1%

The model graded 70 markets for Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $260 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Wed 7 Oct 2026, 8:00 PM ET at Yankee Stadium.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Tampa Bay Rays Lean43% chance +160
Total Runs Members only Long-shot15% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Long-shot38% chance Members
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Members only Long-shot16% chance Members
Spread Members only Lean43% chance Members
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Members only Long-shot12% chance Members
Pitcher - Strikeouts × 2 props Leanup to 54% Members
Batter - Strikeouts × 14 props Long-shotup to 37% Members
Batter - Singles × 2 props Highup to 75% Members
Batter - RBIs × 9 props Long-shotup to 37% Members
Pitcher - Outs × 1 prop Leanup to 49% Members
Batter - Total Bases × 4 props Long-shotup to 35% Members
Batter - Hits × 6 props Long-shotup to 16% Members
Batter - Stolen Bases × 5 props Highup to 91% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees last met on Wed 7 Oct 2026: Tampa Bay Rays won 4-3. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings
Tampa Bay Rays
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Tampa Bay RaysMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Tampa Bay Rays

  • Shane McClanahan SPOut
  • Jacob Melton LFOut
  • Gavin Lux LFOut
  • Edwin Uceta RPOut
  • Jonathan Heasley RPOut
  • Ryan Pepiot SPOut

Probable pitcher

Drew Rasmussen SP

New York Yankees

  • Aaron Judge RFOut
  • Clarke Schmidt SPOut
  • Fernando Cruz RPOut
  • Kervin Castro RPOut
Availability updated Oct 13, 12:00AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 10 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability10 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

The preview

Written 8 Oct

New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction and Picks, October 8, 2026

On October 8, 2026 our model has run Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Jonathan Aranda (TBR) Under 0.5 Singles (-128), which we rate LEAN confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

Luis Garcia Jr. (NYY) Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-112)

Odds correct at time of publishing

New York Yankees play Tampa Bay Rays in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Luis Garcia Jr. (NYY) Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-112). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.93 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jonathan Aranda (TBR) Under 0.5 Singles (-128)

Odds correct at time of publishing

New York Yankees play Tampa Bay Rays in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Jonathan Aranda (TBR) Under 0.5 Singles (-128). That is a Singles bet. It was priced at -128 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.81 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Luis Garcia Jr. (NYY) Under 0.5 Hits (+186)

Odds correct at time of publishing

New York Yankees play Tampa Bay Rays in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Luis Garcia Jr. (NYY) Under 0.5 Hits (+186). That is a Hits bet. It was priced at +186 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $28.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays: Over 7 Total Runs (-118)

Odds correct at time of publishing

New York Yankees play Tampa Bay Rays in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays: Over 7 Total Runs (-118). That is a totals bet. It was priced at -118 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.47 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays: Over 5.5 total runs, first 5 innings (+210)

Odds correct at time of publishing

New York Yankees play Tampa Bay Rays in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays: Over 5.5 total runs, first 5 innings (+210). That is a total runs, first 5 innings bet. It was priced at +210 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $31 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays: Over 4.5 total runs, first 5 innings (+126)

Odds correct at time of publishing

New York Yankees play Tampa Bay Rays in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays: Over 4.5 total runs, first 5 innings (+126). That is a total runs, first 5 innings bet. It was priced at +126 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $22.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the whole read. Every bet above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Bet Better model desk · Every pick for that day

Same game parlay

Written 8 Oct

New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction and Same Game Parlay picks, October 8, 2026

On October 8, 2026 our 3-leg same game parlay for Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees is built from the bets our model already likes on their own. We rate the whole slip LONG-SHOT confidence. Every leg below is a bet our model already rates on its own, so you can see exactly what you are backing and what the book is paying for it.

The legs, one at a time

Jose Caballero (NYY) Under 0.5 Singles (-182)

Odds correct at time of publishing

New York Yankees play Tampa Bay Rays in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Jose Caballero (NYY) Under 0.5 Singles (-182). That is a Singles bet. It was priced at -182 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.49 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Nick Martinez (TBR) Over 3.5 Hits Allowed (-159)

Odds correct at time of publishing

New York Yankees play Tampa Bay Rays in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Nick Martinez (TBR) Over 3.5 Hits Allowed (-159). That is a Hits Allowed bet. It was priced at -159 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.29 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Trent Grisham (NYY) Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-147)

Odds correct at time of publishing

New York Yankees play Tampa Bay Rays in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Trent Grisham (NYY) Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-147). That is a Runs Scored bet. It was priced at -147 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the whole read. Every leg above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Bet Better model desk · Every pick for that day

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Max Fried Pitcher - Strikeouts
Nick Martinez TBR Pitcher - Strikeouts
Ben Rice Batter - Strikeouts
Spencer Jones Batter - Strikeouts
Taylor Walls TBR Batter - Strikeouts

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNew York YankeesNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF5.6L5 RA4.2Home L54-1vs Tampa Bay Rays L52-3

New York Yankees moneyline form: last five 2-3, 5.6 runs/gm.

Run LineNew York Yankees run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF5.6L5 RA4.2Home L54-1vs Tampa Bay Rays L52-3

New York Yankees spread form: last five 2-3, 5.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay RaysNo line posted

New York Yankees total runs form: last five 2-3, 5.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsNew York Yankees team totalNo line posted
4.1runs we expect
L5 RF5.6L5 RA4.2Home L54-1vs Tampa Bay Rays L52-3

New York Yankees team total runs form: last five 2-3, 5.6 runs/gm.

Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees — recent results

New York Yankees have won 2 of their last 5 games; Tampa Bay Rays have won 4 of their last 5.

New York Yankees — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–4TBHome
L2–5TBAway
L0–1TBAway
W9–2BOSHome
W9–0BOSHome
Tampa Bay Rays — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W4–3NYYAway
W5–2NYYHome
W1–0NYYHome
L3–7PHIAway
W12–1PHIAway

Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees — recent meetings

These two have met 10 times recently: New York Yankees won 4, Tampa Bay Rays won 6.

DateNew York YankeesTampa Bay RaysWinner
Oct 834Tampa Bay Rays
Oct 625Tampa Bay Rays
Oct 301Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 2464New York Yankees
Sep 2392New York Yankees
Sep 2216Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 2220New York Yankees
Jul 9124New York Yankees
Jul 803Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 746Tampa Bay Rays

Who’s out or in doubt

10 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New York Yankees
PlayerStatus
Aaron Judge RFOUT
Clarke Schmidt SPOUT
Fernando Cruz RPOUT
Kervin Castro RPOUT
Tampa Bay Rays
PlayerStatus
Shane McClanahan SPOUT
Jacob Melton LFOUT
Gavin Lux LFOUT
Edwin Uceta RPOUT
Jonathan Heasley RPOUT
Ryan Pepiot SPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees — model preview

Our Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees prediction for October 8, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On October 8, 2026 our model has run Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Jonathan Aranda (TBR) Under 0.5 Singles (-128), which we rate LEAN confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
Unlock the full write-up
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Rays vs Yankees, or as Yankees vs Rays. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 7 October 2026 at Yankee Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees head-to-head record

Final scores · 66 meetings on record
Even at 32–32 across the last 66 meetings · 2 draws · these games average 8.5 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Thu 8 Oct 2026, Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees: the Rays won 4-3.

DateGameScoreWinner
8 Oct 2026Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees3–4Tampa Bay Rays
7 Oct 2026Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees3–4Tampa Bay Rays
6 Oct 2026New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays5–2Tampa Bay Rays
5 Oct 2026New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays5–2Tampa Bay Rays
3 Oct 2026New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays1–0Tampa Bay Rays
24 Sep 2026Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees6–4New York Yankees
23 Sep 2026Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees9–2New York Yankees
22 Sep 2026Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees2–0New York Yankees
9 Jul 2026New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays4–12New York Yankees
8 Jul 2026New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays3–0Tampa Bay Rays

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 66 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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