MLB

Boston Red Sox

Model-graded picks, player props and the edge on every market — with the full result history below.

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Next Game: vs Toronto Blue Jays (Away) Mon 10 Aug, 11:07PM Rogers Centre, Toronto · Indoor

The recordOur formula’s best MLB market: mlb total-runs unders · 498 of 903 · +$16,484

Tonight’s call on Boston Red Sox: ●●● ●.● @ ●.●●1 pick on tonight's board · logged before tip-offSee tonight's picks

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Model updated Aug 10, 1:12AM UTC

Answer

The Boston Red Sox model is leaning the under in the Total Runs market vs Toronto Blue Jays.

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Today's Game Pick

Model edge

Total Runs

Under 8.5

Odds: -118

Model prob: 63.5%

+9.5%

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Calibrated Edge — Game Markets

Calibrated vs fair

Market	Model output
Total Runs	Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Spread	Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Moneyline	Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Spread - 1st 5 Innings	Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings	Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings	Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings	Probability, fair odds & edge locked

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Availability

Roster status

Updated 9 Aug 2026, 20:49 UTC

1B

Triston CasasOUTinjury

2B

Isiah Kiner-FalefaOUTinjury

3B

Curtis MeadOUTinjury

C

Adley RutschmanOUTinjury

LF

Roman AnthonyOUTinjury

RP

Zack KellyOUTinjury

SP

Garrett CrochetOUTinjuryJohan OviedoOUTinjuryKutter CrawfordOUTinjuryTanner HouckOUTinjury

SS

Trevor StoryOUTinjury

DH

Masataka YoshidaDAY-TO-DAYinjury

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions

Ballpark conditions (temperature, wind direction and roof state) can move MLB run totals, and matter most in open-air parks with strong prevailing winds.

Per-game ballpark weather is pending a file→table persistence job (owner). No live park weather is shown here until that data is in the database.

Model Performance History

All results →

0

Total Picks

—

Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Date	Opponent	Market	Pick	Result

Betting angles

3 markets live

Total RunsRun LineMoneylineTeam Total Runs

Total RunsGame total · Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue JaysUnder 5 +440

6.9proj. runs

L5 RF1.0L5 RA0.8Away L53-2

Boston Red Sox total runs vs Toronto Blue Jays is live and our model makes it 34% (LONG-SHOT); proj. runs 6.9.

Run LineToronto Blue Jays run line-2 +375

+0.1proj. margin

L5 RF1.0L5 RA0.8Away L53-2

Boston Red Sox spread vs Toronto Blue Jays is live (LONG-SHOT); proj. margin +0.1.

MoneylineToronto Blue Jays favored (model)+136

1-4L5 record

L5 RF1.0L5 RA0.8Away L53-2

Boston Red Sox moneyline vs Toronto Blue Jays is live (LEAN); L5 record 1-4.

Team Total RunsBoston Red Sox team totalNo line posted

1.0L5 runs/gm

L5 RF1.0L5 RA0.8Away L53-2

Boston Red Sox team total runs form: last five 1-4, 1.0 runs/gm.

Recent form

Recent form (last 5 games)

Boston Red Sox have gone 1-4 over their last 5 games, averaging 1.0 runs and 2.4 hits per game while allowing 0.8 earned runs.

1-4

Last 5

1.0

Runs / G

2.4

Hits / G

0.0

HR / G

1.0

RBI / G

0.8

ER Allowed / G

2.6

Ks / G

About This Team

Boston Red Sox are tracked by the Bet Better model across MLB games. Their next game is against Toronto Blue Jays on Monday 10 August at Rogers Centre. Use the data above to inform your MLB betting decisions for Boston Red Sox.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.