Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Today's bet is live / One clear pick a day / Tracked in public — wins & losses / Free to start, no card
MLB

Boston Red Sox

Model-graded picks, player props and the edge on every market — with the full result history below.

Every pick graded — see verified results
Next Game: vs Baltimore Orioles (Home) Mon 20 Jul, 11:10PM Fenway Park, Boston · Outdoor
Model updated Jul 20, 10:03PM UTC
Answer
The Boston Red Sox model is leaning Baltimore Orioles on the spread in the Spread market vs Baltimore Orioles.
exact probability, edge and line unlock with a subscription.

Today's Game Pick

Model edge
Spread
Baltimore Orioles -3
Odds: +392
Model prob: 28.3%
+8.0%
Free pick — today's headline game edge

You're seeing today's free headline pick. Unlock the full model write-up, every other game market and all player props for this team.

Bet Better Unlock full analysis

Cancel anytime.

Calibrated Edge — Game Markets

Calibrated vs fair
MarketModel output
Total Runs - 1st 1 InningsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
SpreadProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Total RunsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Runs - 1st 5 InningsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
SpreadProbability, fair odds & edge locked
MoneylineProbability, fair odds & edge locked

Full model-edge table — 6 game markets for this team with exact probability, fair odds and edge — is ready for subscribers.

Bet Better Unlock full edge table

Cancel anytime.

Availability

Roster status
Updated 19 Jul 2026, 17:35 UTC · may be stale
1B
Triston CasasOUTinjury
2B
Isiah Kiner-FalefaOUTinjuryMarcelo MayerOUTinjury
LF
Roman AnthonyOUTinjury
SP
Connelly EarlyOUTinjuryGarrett CrochetOUTinjuryJohan OviedoOUTinjuryKutter CrawfordOUTinjuryRanger SuarezOUTinjuryTanner HouckOUTinjury
SS
Trevor StoryOUTinjury

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions
Ballpark conditions (temperature, wind direction and roof state) can move MLB run totals, and matter most in open-air parks with strong prevailing winds.
Per-game ballpark weather is pending a file→table persistence job (owner). No live park weather is shown here until that data is in the database.

Model Performance History

All results →
0
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateOpponentMarketPickResult

Betting angles

3 markets live
Total RunsGame total · Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore OriolesUnder 6 +270+7.0% edge
7.9proj. runs
L5 RF6.6L5 RA0.8Home L53-2O/U8-8

Boston Red Sox total runs vs Baltimore Orioles is live with a model 34% read and a +7.0% model edge; proj. runs 7.9.

Run LineBoston Red Sox run line-4 +429+2.1% edge
-0.1proj. margin
L5 RF6.6L5 RA0.8Home L53-2

Boston Red Sox spread vs Baltimore Orioles is live with a model 21% read and a +2.1% model edge; proj. margin -0.1.

MoneylineBaltimore Orioles favored (model)+122+2.0% edge
5-0L5 record
L5 RF6.6L5 RA0.8Home L53-2

Boston Red Sox moneyline vs Baltimore Orioles is live and a +2.0% model edge; L5 record 5-0.

Team Total RunsBoston Red Sox team totalNo line posted
6.6L5 runs/gm
L5 RF6.6L5 RA0.8Home L53-2

Boston Red Sox team total runs form: last five 5-0, 6.6 runs/gm.

Recent form (last 5 games)

Boston Red Sox have gone 5-0 over their last 5 games, averaging 6.6 runs and 6.0 hits per game while allowing 0.8 earned runs.

5-0
Last 5
6.6
Runs / G
6.0
Hits / G
1.4
HR / G
4.0
RBI / G
0.8
ER Allowed / G
3.4
Ks / G

About This Team

Boston Red Sox are tracked by the Bet Better model across MLB games. Their next game is against Baltimore Orioles on Monday 20 July at Fenway Park. Use the data above to inform your MLB betting decisions for Boston Red Sox.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks