MLB

Boston Red Sox

Boston Red Sox play Tampa Bay Rays away on Sat 19 Sep, and our model’s free pick for that game is below with every past Boston Red Sox pick graded underneath it.

Every pick graded — see verified results

Next Game: vs Tampa Bay Rays (Away) Sat 19 Sep, 8:10PM Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg · Indoor

The recordOur formula’s best MLB market: mlb pitcher strikeouts overs · 107 of 225 · +$2,171

Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

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Model updated Sep 19, 7:30AM UTC

Answer

The Boston Red Sox model is leaning Tampa Bay Rays in the Moneyline market vs Tampa Bay Rays.

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Scoring profile

Points scored per game3.4

Points allowed per game3.5

Across the last 10 completed games on record.

Today's Game Pick

Our call

Moneyline

Tampa Bay Rays

Odds: -133

Our numbers say this wins about 56 times in 100 · a $100 bet returns about $175 if it lands

-4.9%

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Upcoming Games

Next 1

Date	Opponent	Where	Venue	Prediction
Sat 19 Sep	Tampa Bay Rays	Away	Tropicana Field	Preview →

Recent Results

5–5 in the last 10

Date	Opponent	Where	Score	Result	Recap
18 Sep	Texas Rangers	Away	4–3	W	Recap →
18 Sep	Tampa Bay Rays	Away	4–2	W	Recap →
17 Sep	Texas Rangers	Away	3–7	L	Recap →
16 Sep	Texas Rangers	Away	2–4	L	Recap →
13 Sep	Kansas City Royals	Home	4–1	W	Recap →
12 Sep	Kansas City Royals	Home	5–1	W	Recap →
11 Sep	Kansas City Royals	Home	2–3	L	Recap →
9 Sep	Los Angeles Angels	Home	4–6	L	Recap →
8 Sep	Los Angeles Angels	Home	1–6	L	Recap →
7 Sep	Los Angeles Angels	Home	5–2	W	Recap →

Every Game Bet, Graded

Our number vs the price

Market	Model output
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings	With Pro
Total Runs	With Pro
Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings	With Pro
Total Runs	With Pro
Spread	With Pro
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings	With Pro
Spread - 1st 5 Innings	With Pro
Spread - 1st 5 Innings	With Pro
Moneyline	With Pro

The model has graded 9 game bets on this team — which ones it backs, and how much to put on, is ready for subscribers.

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Availability

Roster status

Updated 18 Sep 2026, 23:10 UTC · may be stale

1B

Triston CasasOUTinjuryWillson ContrerasDAY-TO-DAYinjury

2B

Anthony SeiglerOUTinjury

3B

Curtis MeadOUTinjury

CF

Ceddanne RafaelaOUTinjuryEli WhiteOUTinjury

DH

Masataka YoshidaOUTinjury

RP

Justin SlatenOUTinjuryTyron GuerreroOUTinjuryZack KellyOUTinjuryAroldis ChapmanDAY-TO-DAYinjury

SP

Eduardo RiveraOUTinjuryGarrett CrochetOUTinjuryJohan OviedoOUTinjuryKutter CrawfordOUTinjuryTanner HouckOUTinjury

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions

Ballpark conditions (temperature, wind direction and roof state) can move MLB run totals, and matter most in open-air parks with strong prevailing winds.

Per-game ballpark weather is pending a file→table persistence job (owner). No live park weather is shown here until that data is in the database.

Betting angles

3 markets live

Total RunsRun LineMoneylineTeam Total Runs

Total RunsGame total · Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay RaysUnder 2.5 +1300

8.4proj. runs

L5 RF3.6L5 RA3.2Away L53-2

Boston Red Sox total runs vs Tampa Bay Rays is live and our model makes it 8% (LONG-SHOT); proj. runs 8.4.

Run LineTampa Bay Rays run line-3.5 +400

+0.7proj. margin

L5 RF3.6L5 RA3.2Away L53-2

Boston Red Sox spread vs Tampa Bay Rays is live (LONG-SHOT); proj. margin +0.7.

MoneylineTampa Bay Rays favored (model)-133

3-2L5 record

L5 RF3.6L5 RA3.2Away L53-2Free board11-11

Boston Red Sox moneyline vs Tampa Bay Rays is live (LEAN); L5 record 3-2.

Team Total RunsBoston Red Sox team totalNo line posted

3.6L5 runs/gm

L5 RF3.6L5 RA3.2Away L53-2

Boston Red Sox team total runs form: last five 3-2, 3.6 runs/gm.

Recent form

Recent form (last 5 games)

Boston Red Sox have gone 3-2 over their last 5 games, averaging 3.6 runs and 6.4 hits per game while allowing 3.0 earned runs.

3-2

Last 5

3.6

Runs / G

6.4

Hits / G

0.8

HR / G

3.4

RBI / G

3.0

ER Allowed / G

9.8

Ks / G

About This Team

Boston Red Sox are tracked by the Bet Better model across MLB games. Their next game is against Tampa Bay Rays on Saturday 19 September at Tropicana Field. Use the data above to inform your MLB betting decisions for Boston Red Sox.

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