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Model picks & player props
Tennis
Mon 16 Nov 2026, 2:30 PM ET
Flavio Cobolli
VS
Daniil Medvedev

Flavio Cobolli vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction & Picks · Mon 16 Nov

Our model graded 5 markets for Flavio Cobolli vs Daniil Medvedev and backs Daniil Medvedev -4 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $220.

4
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Daniil Medvedev
to win by more than 4 games
Daniil Medvedev -4 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$22.00Best price+120
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win49.9%
The price says44.0%

The model graded 5 markets for Flavio Cobolli vs Daniil Medvedev (Tennis) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $220 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Mon 16 Nov 2026, 2:30 PM ET.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Daniil Medvedev -4 Lean50% chance +120
Spread Members only Lean42% chance Members
Moneyline × 1 prop Highup to 76% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Daniil Medvedev
-4
+ 3 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Daniil MedvedevSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Daniil MedvedevSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Daniil MedvedevSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Daniil MedvedevSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market sharpened toward Flavio Cobolli on this game.

Line movement

▲ moved toward Flavio Cobolli
Exact move size 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Flavio Cobolli

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Daniil Medvedev

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Flavio Cobolli vs Daniil Medvedev: Tennis weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Tennis on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

The preview

Written 15 Nov

Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli Prediction & Picks

On November 16, 2026 our model has run Flavio Cobolli at Daniil Medvedev and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Daniil Medvedev to win the match (-312), which we rate strong confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli: Daniil Medvedev to win the match (-312)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Daniil Medvedev faces Flavio Cobolli at Finals on Monday 16 November 2026. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Daniil Medvedev wins the match. It was priced at -312 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.20 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Daniil Medvedev has been playing really well lately, winning 80% of his last matches. His serve is strong, winning over 67% of his first serves and 71% of points when he serves. Flavio Cobolli has struggled against tougher opponents, giving Medvedev a good chance in this match. Bet only what you can afford to lose.

Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli: Daniil Medvedev -4 Game Handicap (+120)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The odds of +120 for Daniil Medvedev to win by at least five games against Flavio Cobolli look appealing. Our numbers suggest this match is close to a coin flip, meaning it could go either way, but Medvedev has the experience and skill that usually gives him the upper hand in these situations. The main risk here is that Cobolli might put up a strong fight, making it tougher for Medvedev to cover the spread. Still, with Medvedev's solid track record, this bet has a good chance of hitting. It's worth a shot if you're feeling hopeful about the match.

That is the full board for this game. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Bet Better model desk · Every pick for that day

Betting angles

1 market live
Game HandicapNext match · Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio CobolliDaniil Medvedev -4 +120
57%model cover %
2.27fair price
PickDaniil Medvedev -4Model57.1%Fair2.27Odds+120ConfidenceLEAN

Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli — Game Handicap (tennis). A line is currently posted: Daniil Medvedev -4 at +120, fair price 2.27; our model makes it 57.1% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Flavio Cobolli @ Daniil Medvedev — what the model found

Our model graded 5 betting markets for Flavio Cobolli at Daniil Medvedev — 4 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

4
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 5 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 4 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Flavio Cobolli @ Daniil Medvedev — where the money went

Since betting opened on Flavio Cobolli at Daniil Medvedev, the market has moved toward Flavio Cobolli across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Moneyline — Flavio Cobolli▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Under 21.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Flavio Cobolli 2.5▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Over 21.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — Daniil Medvedev -2.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Flavio Cobolli 3.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — Daniil Medvedev -3.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Over 22.5▲ Money came for this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

Flavio Cobolli @ Daniil Medvedev — model preview

Daniil Medvedev v Flavio Cobolli, 17 November 2026. Top of the list: Daniil Medvedev to win the match. Our model likes one bet in this game.

On November 16, 2026 our model has run Flavio Cobolli at Daniil Medvedev and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Daniil Medvedev to win the match (-312), which we rate strong confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Flavio Cobolli vs Daniil Medvedev in the Tennis. You may also see this matchup written as Cobolli vs Medvedev, or as Medvedev vs Cobolli. The next scheduled game is Monday 16 November 2026. The model has generated 4 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Tennis betting strategy for this matchup.

Flavio Cobolli vs Daniil Medvedev: game facts

When it starts and how they have been going

Flavio Cobolli plays Daniil Medvedev on Monday 16 November 2026. It is listed for about 2:30 PM ET in Turin. It is an ATP Tour match.

Where they last met

  • 28 Apr 2026Flavio Cobolli beat Daniil Medvedev 6-3 5-7 6-4 at Mutua Madrid Open
  • 30 Sep 2024Daniil Medvedev beat Flavio Cobolli 6-2 6-4 at China Open
  • 1 Sep 2024Daniil Medvedev beat Flavio Cobolli 6-3 6-4 6-3 at US Open

Flavio Cobolli: last 5 matches

  1. 29 Oct 2026Lostvs Matteo Berrettini 5-2 stopped earlyVienna Open · 2nd Round · Hard
  2. 27 Oct 2026Wonvs Grigor Dimitrov 6-4 3-6 6-3Vienna Open · 1st Round · Hard
  3. 24 Oct 2026Lostvs Lorenzo Musetti 4-6 6-2 7-5Lyon Open · Semifinals · Hard
  4. 23 Oct 2026Wonvs Brandon Nakashima 4-6 6-4 6-4Lyon Open · Quarterfinals · Hard
  5. 22 Oct 2026Wonvs Stan Wawrinka 6-2 6-4Lyon Open · 2nd Round · Hard

Daniil Medvedev: last 5 matches

  1. 4 Nov 2026Lostvs Ignacio Buse 6-4 6-4BNP Paribas Masters · 2nd Round · Hard
  2. 31 Oct 2026Lostvs Carlos Alcaraz 6-4 7-6Vienna Open · Semifinals · Hard
  3. 30 Oct 2026Wonvs Adrian Mannarino 6-2 6-3Vienna Open · Quarterfinals · Hard
  4. 29 Oct 2026Wonvs Cameron Norrie 4-6 6-3 7-6Vienna Open · 2nd Round · Hard
  5. 28 Oct 2026Wonvs Daniel Merida Aguilar 7-6 6-1Vienna Open · 1st Round · Hard

Quick answers

When is Flavio Cobolli vs Daniil Medvedev? Flavio Cobolli vs Daniil Medvedev is on Monday 16 November 2026. It is listed for about 2:30 PM ET in Turin.

Who won the last Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli match? Flavio Cobolli won their last meeting 6-3 5-7 6-4 at Mutua Madrid Open on 28 April 2026.

How have Flavio Cobolli and Daniil Medvedev done lately? Flavio Cobolli won 3 and lost 2 of the last 5 matches we hold. Daniil Medvedev won 3 and lost 2 of the last 5 matches we hold.

Main-tour matches only. Qualifying and most smaller events are left out.

Head-to-head record

Completed matches · last 3 meetings
Daniil Medvedev 2–1 across the last 3 meetings
DateWinnerScoreTournamentSurface
28 Apr 2026Flavio Cobolli6-3 5-7 6-4Mutua Madrid Open · 4th RoundClay
30 Sep 2024Daniil Medvedev6-2 6-4China Open · QuarterfinalsHard
1 Sep 2024Daniil Medvedev6-3 6-4 6-3US Open · 3rd RoundHard
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