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MLB

San Diego Padres

Next game: the Padres host the Brewers on Tuesday 6 October. The market makes the Padres close to a coin flip to win, a fair price of about $1.82. See the game preview

Next Game: vs Milwaukee Brewers (Home) Wed 7 Oct, 1:30AM Petco Park, San Diego · Outdoor

How the price moved

When prices opened: Padres about 5 in 10 to win. Now: about 5 in 10. About where it opened.

Best price and how much the bookies keep

Who wins
TeamMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Brewersabout 5 in 10$2.22 (+122)$2.16 (+116)
Padresabout 5 in 10$1.82 (-122)$1.82 (-122)

On this game the bookies keep about $4.90 of every $100 bet on who wins, going by the 48 books we check.

All MLB odds this week →

Model updated Oct 6, 1:10AM UTC
Answer
The San Diego Padres model is leaning the over in the Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings market vs Milwaukee Brewers.
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Scoring profile

Points scored per game4.9
Points allowed per game4.0

Across the last 10 completed games on record.

Today's Game Pick

Our call
Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings
Over 0.5
Odds: +124
Our numbers say this wins about 43 times in 100 · a $100 bet returns about $224 if it lands
+3.2%
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San Diego Padres same game parlay

With Pro

Our model's same game parlay for Milwaukee Brewers @ San Diego Padres, Oct 6, 9:30 PM ET. 2 legs:

Dustin May · pitcher walks
Ethan Salas · hits

See each leg's pick, line and price, and what it pays, with Pro.

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No parlay is a sure thing — longer combinations pay more exactly because they lose more often.

Padres schedule and results, 2026

Results and upcoming games
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotalGame
Sat 19 Sepvs Miami MarlinsW 7-6Missed (favourite by 1.5)Over 7.5Game page
Sun 20 Sepvs Miami MarlinsW 7-3Covered (favourite by 1.5)Over 8Game page
Tue 22 Sepat Los Angeles DodgersL 0-7Missed (underdog by 1.5)Under 8.5Game page
Wed 23 Sepat Los Angeles DodgersW 5-1Covered (underdog by 1.5)Under 8Game page
Thu 24 Sepat Los Angeles DodgersW 4-2Covered (underdog by 1.5)Under 7.5Game page
Fri 25 Sepvs Arizona DiamondbacksL 4-11Missed (favourite by 1.5)Over 7.5Game page
Sat 26 Sepvs Arizona DiamondbacksW 10-7Covered (favourite by 1.5)Over 7.5Game page
Sun 27 Sepvs Arizona DiamondbacksW 9-4Covered (underdog by 1.5)Over 8Game page
Tue 6 Octvs Milwaukee BrewersUpcoming · 9:30 PM ET––Preview
Show every game listed
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotalGame
Tue 21 Julat Atlanta BravesW 8-3Covered (underdog by 1.5)Over 9Game page
Wed 22 Julat Atlanta BravesL 6-7Missed (favourite by 1.5)Over 8.5Game page
Thu 23 Julat Atlanta BravesL 5-6Covered (underdog by 1.5)Over 8Game page
Fri 24 Julat Miami MarlinsW 4-2Covered (underdog by 1.5)Under 9Game page
Sat 25 Julat Miami MarlinsW 7-2Covered (underdog by 1.5)Over 8Game page
Sun 26 Julat Miami MarlinsW 5-3Covered (underdog by 1.5)Under 8.5Game page
Wed 29 Julvs Colorado RockiesW 8-7Missed (favourite by 1.5)Over 8.5Game page
Wed 29 Julvs San Francisco GiantsL 1-4Missed (favourite by 1.5)Under 8.5Game page
Fri 31 Julvs San Francisco GiantsW 7-0––Game page
Sat 1 Augvs San Francisco GiantsW 6-5––Game page
Sun 2 Augvs San Francisco GiantsW 5-4––Game page
Mon 3 Augat Arizona DiamondbacksL 1-5––Game page
Tue 4 Augat Arizona DiamondbacksW 9-4––Game page
Wed 5 Augat Arizona DiamondbacksL 4-10––Game page
Thu 6 Augat Arizona DiamondbacksW 5-1––Game page
Fri 7 Augvs Houston AstrosL 3-6––Game page
Sat 8 Augvs Houston AstrosW 3-2––Game page
Sun 9 Augvs Houston AstrosW 7-2––Game page
Mon 10 Augvs Milwaukee BrewersW 3-2––Game page
Tue 11 Augvs Milwaukee BrewersW 11-2––Game page
Wed 12 Augvs Milwaukee BrewersW 4-3––Game page
Fri 14 Augat Cleveland GuardiansW 7-5––Game page
Sat 15 Augat Cleveland GuardiansL 1-6––Game page
Sun 16 Augat Cleveland GuardiansW 5-0––Game page
Mon 17 Augat New York MetsL 1-2––Game page
Tue 18 Augat New York MetsW 5-2––Game page
Wed 19 Augat New York MetsL 2-4––Game page
Fri 21 Augvs Minnesota TwinsW 6-2––Game page
Sat 22 Augvs Minnesota TwinsW 7-5––Game page
Sun 23 Augvs Minnesota TwinsW 8-1––Game page
Mon 24 Augvs Pittsburgh PiratesL 2-3––Game page
Tue 25 Augvs Pittsburgh PiratesL 0-1––Game page
Wed 26 Augvs Pittsburgh PiratesW 3-0––Game page
Fri 28 Augat Tampa Bay RaysL 4-9––Game page
Sat 29 Augat Tampa Bay RaysL 6-7––Game page
Sun 30 Augat Tampa Bay RaysL 4-5––Game page
Tue 1 Sepat Cincinnati RedsW 5-0Covered (favourite by 1.5)–Game page
Wed 2 Sepat Cincinnati RedsL 3-7Missed (favourite by 1.5)–Game page
Fri 4 Sepvs New York YankeesW 3-2Covered (underdog by 1.5)–Game page
Sat 5 Sepvs New York YankeesL 1-5Missed (favourite by 1.5)–Game page
Sun 6 Sepvs New York YankeesW 4-3Covered (underdog by 1.5)–Game page
Mon 7 Sepvs Washington NationalsW 3-2Missed (favourite by 1.5)–Game page
Tue 8 Sepvs Washington NationalsW 5-4Missed (favourite by 1.5)–Game page
Wed 9 Sepvs Washington NationalsW 9-2Covered (favourite by 1.5)–Game page
Fri 11 Sepat San Francisco GiantsW 7-5Covered (favourite by 1.5)–Game page
Sat 12 Sepat San Francisco GiantsW 7-6Missed (favourite by 1.5)–Game page
Sun 13 Sepat San Francisco GiantsW 6-4Covered (favourite by 1.5)–Game page
Mon 14 Sepat Colorado RockiesW 8-7Missed (favourite by 1.5)Over 11Game page
Tue 15 Sepat Colorado RockiesL 3-9Missed (favourite by 1.5)Over 11Game page
Wed 16 Sepat Colorado RockiesW 9-3Covered (favourite by 1.5)Over 11Game page
Thu 17 Sepat Colorado RockiesW 9-2Covered (favourite by 1.5)Over 10.5Game page
Fri 18 Sepvs Miami MarlinsW 8-2Covered (favourite by 1.5)Over 7.5Game page
Sat 19 Sepvs Miami MarlinsW 7-6Missed (favourite by 1.5)Over 7.5Game page
Sun 20 Sepvs Miami MarlinsW 7-3Covered (favourite by 1.5)Over 8Game page
Tue 22 Sepat Los Angeles DodgersL 0-7Missed (underdog by 1.5)Under 8.5Game page
Wed 23 Sepat Los Angeles DodgersW 5-1Covered (underdog by 1.5)Under 8Game page
Thu 24 Sepat Los Angeles DodgersW 4-2Covered (underdog by 1.5)Under 7.5Game page
Fri 25 Sepvs Arizona DiamondbacksL 4-11Missed (favourite by 1.5)Over 7.5Game page
Sat 26 Sepvs Arizona DiamondbacksW 10-7Covered (favourite by 1.5)Over 7.5Game page
Sun 27 Sepvs Arizona DiamondbacksW 9-4Covered (underdog by 1.5)Over 8Game page
Tue 6 Octvs Milwaukee BrewersUpcoming · 9:30 PM ET––Preview

Run line and total are the main closing lines just before the start. Team results only; these are not Bet Better’s picks.

How often the Padres cover the run line

Team history

In the 2025 regular season the Padres covered the run line in 87 of 159 games: 46 of 81 at home and 41 of 78 away. Their games went over the total 67 times in 155.

SeasonCovered at homeCovered awayCovered, allOver at homeOver awayOver, all
202546 of 8141 of 7887 of 15933 of 7734 of 7867 of 155
What do these numbers mean?

Bookmakers give the weaker team a head start called the run line. A team covers when it wins by more than the run line, or loses by less than its head start. A push is a tie with the line, so bets were refunded. The total is the bookmakers' line for points in the game; over means the game finished above it. We count the main closing line just before the start, complete seasons only, plus this season so far.

Team history, counted from final scores. Not Bet Better’s picks.

Every game bet, checked by our model

Our number vs the price
MarketModel output
Total RunsWith Pro
Total Runs - 1st 5 InningsWith Pro
Total Runs - 1st 5 InningsWith Pro
Total Runs - 1st 1 InningsWith Pro
SpreadWith Pro
Total RunsWith Pro
MoneylineWith Pro

The model has graded 7 game bets on this team — which ones it backs, and how much to put on, is ready for subscribers.

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Padres injuries

Updated 5 Oct
PlayerPositionStatusInjuryExpected back
Bryan HoeingRP60-day injured listElbowabout 1 Feb
Casey MizeSP15-day injured listAnkleabout 11 Oct
Lucas GiolitoSP60-day injured listElbowabout 6 Oct
Luis RengifoLF60-day injured listKneeabout 1 May
Ramon LaureanoLF60-day injured listHipabout 1 Feb
Rodolfo DuranC60-day injured listForearmabout 1 Feb
Rodolfo Durán–60-day injured list––

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions
Ballpark conditions (temperature, wind direction and roof state) can move MLB run totals, and matter most in open-air parks with strong prevailing winds.
Per-game ballpark weather is pending a file→table persistence job (owner). No live park weather is shown here until that data is in the database.

Betting angles

3 markets live
Total RunsGame total · San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee BrewersOver 11 +477
8.0proj. runs
L5 RF6.6L5 RA3.0Home L54-1

San Diego Padres total runs vs Milwaukee Brewers is live and our model makes it 19% (LONG-SHOT); proj. runs 8.0.

Run LineMilwaukee Brewers run line+1 -137
-0.6proj. margin
L5 RF6.6L5 RA3.0Home L54-1

San Diego Padres spread vs Milwaukee Brewers is live (LEAN); proj. margin -0.6.

MoneylineMilwaukee Brewers favored (model)+125
4-1L5 record
L5 RF6.6L5 RA3.0Home L54-1

San Diego Padres moneyline vs Milwaukee Brewers is live (LONG-SHOT); L5 record 4-1.

Team Total RunsSan Diego Padres team totalNo line posted
6.6L5 runs/gm
L5 RF6.6L5 RA3.0Home L54-1

San Diego Padres team total runs form: last five 4-1, 6.6 runs/gm.

Questions about the Padres

When do the Padres play next?

The Padres host the Milwaukee Brewers on Tuesday 6 October 2026.

How often do the Padres cover the run line?

In the 2025 regular season the Padres covered the run line in 87 of 159 games: 46 of 81 at home and 41 of 78 away.

How often do Padres games go over the total?

In the 2025 regular season, Padres games went over the total 67 times in 155.

Who is injured for the Padres?

7 players are on the injury list as of 5 October: Bryan Hoeing (elbow), Casey Mize (ankle), Lucas Giolito (elbow), Luis Rengifo (knee), Ramon Laureano (hip), and 2 more.

Where can I see the Padres' next game preview?

Bet Better's Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres game page has the preview and the latest prices. Open the game page

About This Team

San Diego Padres are tracked by the Bet Better model across MLB games. Their next game is against Milwaukee Brewers on Wednesday 7 October at Petco Park. Use the data above to inform your MLB betting decisions for San Diego Padres.

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