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MLB

San Diego Padres

Model-graded picks, player props and the edge on every market — with the full result history below.

Every pick graded — see verified results
Next Game: vs Kansas City Royals (Away) Sat 18 Jul, 12:10AM Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City · Outdoor
Model updated Jul 17, 8:08AM UTC
Answer
The San Diego Padres model is leaning San Diego Padres in the Moneyline market vs Kansas City Royals.
exact probability, edge and line unlock with a subscription.

Today's Game Pick

Model edge
Moneyline
San Diego Padres
Odds: -108
Model prob: 74.5%
+22.6%
Free pick — today's headline game edge

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Calibrated Edge — Game Markets

Calibrated vs fair
MarketModel output
MoneylineProbability, fair odds & edge locked
SpreadProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Moneyline - 1st 5 InningsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Spread - 1st 5 InningsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Runs - 1st 5 InningsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Total RunsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Runs - 1st 1 InningsProbability, fair odds & edge locked

Full model-edge table — 7 game markets for this team with exact probability, fair odds and edge — is ready for subscribers.

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Availability

Roster status
Updated 17 Jul 2026, 06:00 UTC
C
Freddy FerminOUTinjuryLuis CampusanoDAY-TO-DAYinjury
LF
Ramon LaureanoOUTinjurySamad TaylorOUTinjury
RP
Bryan HoeingOUTinjuryDavid MorganOUTinjuryJason AdamOUTinjuryJeremiah EstradaOUTinjury
SP
Joe MusgroveOUTinjuryLucas GiolitoOUTinjuryNick PivettaOUTinjuryRandy VasquezOUTinjuryYu DarvishOUTinjury

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions
Ballpark conditions (temperature, wind direction and roof state) can move MLB run totals, and matter most in open-air parks with strong prevailing winds.
Per-game ballpark weather is pending a file→table persistence job (owner). No live park weather is shown here until that data is in the database.

Model Performance History

All results →
0
Total Picks
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Hit Rate
DateOpponentMarketPickResult

Betting angles

3 markets live
MoneylineSan Diego Padres to win+102+31.2% edge
81%model win %
4-1L5 record
L5 RF3.4L5 RA1.8Away L52-3Win rec9-3

San Diego Padres moneyline vs Kansas City Royals is live with a model 81% read and a +31.2% model edge; L5 record 4-1.

Run LineSan Diego Padres run line-1.5 +142+19.2% edge
61%cover %
-2.7proj. margin
L5 RF3.4L5 RA1.8Away L52-3ATS8-6

San Diego Padres spread vs Kansas City Royals is live with a model 61% read and a +19.2% model edge; proj. margin -2.7.

Total RunsGame total · San Diego Padres vs Kansas City RoyalsUnder 14.5 -455+2.6% edge
85%under %
9.7proj. runs
L5 RF3.4L5 RA1.8Away L52-3O/U12-6

San Diego Padres total runs vs Kansas City Royals is live with a model 85% read and a +2.6% model edge; proj. runs 9.7.

Team Total RunsSan Diego Padres team totalNo line posted
3.4L5 runs/gm
L5 RF3.4L5 RA1.8Away L52-3

San Diego Padres team total runs form: last five 4-1, 3.4 runs/gm.

About This Team

San Diego Padres are tracked by the Bet Better model across MLB games. Their next game is against Kansas City Royals on Saturday 18 July at Kauffman Stadium. Use the data above to inform your MLB betting decisions for San Diego Padres.