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MLB

Tampa Bay Rays

Next game: the Rays host the Guardians on Monday 12 October. The market makes the Rays about a 6 in 10 chance to win, a fair price of about $1.66. See the game preview

Next Game: vs Cleveland Guardians (Home) Mon 12 Oct, 8:00 PM ET Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg · Indoor Game preview ›

Today's Game Pick

Our callFree
Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings
LEAN
Our numbers say this wins about 43 times in 100 · a $100 bet returns about $248 if it lands
You bet$10 If it wins$24.80 Odds+148
See why we picked it

Our model gives it about a 43% chance to land; the price says about 38%. That gap is why it made the board.

+10.7%
Free pick — today's headline bet on this team

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Model updated Oct 11, 2:13PM UTC
Answer
The Tampa Bay Rays model is leaning Cleveland Guardians in the Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings market vs Cleveland Guardians.
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Scoring profile

Points scored per game3.9
Points allowed per game3.1

Across the last 10 completed games on record.

Every game bet, checked by our model

Our number vs the price
MarketModel output
Moneyline - 1st 5 InningsWith Pro
Total Runs - 1st 1 InningsWith Pro
Total RunsWith Pro
Total Runs - 1st 5 InningsWith Pro
MoneylineWith Pro
Spread - 1st 5 InningsWith Pro

The model has graded 6 game bets on this team — which ones it backs, and how much to put on, is ready for subscribers.

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How the price moved

When prices opened: Tampa Bay Rays about 6 in 10 to win. Now: about 6 in 10. About where it opened.

Best price and how much the bookies keep

Who wins
TeamMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Guardiansabout 4 in 10$2.51 (+151)$2.49 (+149)
Tampa Bay Raysabout 6 in 10$1.66 (-152)$1.61 (-164)

On this game the bookies keep about $4.70 of every $100 bet on who wins, going by the 46 books we check.

All MLB odds this week →

Tampa Bay Rays same game parlay

With Pro

Our model's same game parlay for Cleveland Guardians @ Tampa Bay Rays, Oct 12, 8:00 PM ET. 3 legs:

Nathaniel Lowe · runs batted in
Brayan Rocchio · hits + runs + RBIs
Jose Ramirez · batter walks

See each leg's pick, line and price, and what it pays, with Pro.

Unlock this parlay

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No parlay is a sure thing — longer combinations pay more exactly because they lose more often.

Rays schedule and results, 2026

Results
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotalGame
Sat 19 Sepvs Boston Red SoxW 2-1Missed (favourite by 1.5)Under 7.5Game page
Sun 20 Sepvs Boston Red SoxW 5-1Covered (favourite by 1.5)Under 7.5Game page
Tue 22 Sepat New York YankeesW 6-1Covered (underdog by 1.5)Over 6.5Game page
Wed 23 Sepat New York YankeesL 2-9Missed (underdog by 1.5)Over 6.5Game page
Thu 24 Sepat New York YankeesL 4-6Missed (underdog by 1.5)Over 6Game page
Fri 25 Sepat Philadelphia PhilliesW 2-0Covered (underdog by 1.5)Under 6.5Game page
Sat 26 Sepat Philadelphia PhilliesW 12-1Covered (underdog by 1.5)Over 7Game page
Sun 27 Sepat Philadelphia PhilliesL 3-7Missed (underdog by 1.5)Over 6.5Game page
Show every game listed
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotalGame
Mon 20 Julat Toronto Blue JaysW 7-1Covered (underdog by 1.5)Over 7.5Game page
Tue 21 Julat Toronto Blue JaysW 12-2Covered (favourite by 1.5)Over 7.5Game page
Wed 22 Julat Toronto Blue JaysW 4-2Covered (favourite by 1.5)Under 7.5Game page
Thu 23 Julat Toronto Blue JaysL 1-3Missed (favourite by 1.5)Under 8.5Game page
Fri 24 Julvs Cleveland GuardiansW 11-3Covered (favourite by 1.5)Over 7.5Game page
Sat 25 Julvs Cleveland GuardiansW 3-0Covered (favourite by 1.5)Under 8Game page
Sun 26 Julvs Cleveland GuardiansW 1-0Missed (favourite by 1.5)Under 7Game page
Tue 28 Julvs Texas RangersL 1-4Missed (favourite by 1.5)Under 8.5Game page
Wed 29 Julvs Texas RangersW 3-2Missed (favourite by 1.5)Under 7.5Game page
Fri 31 Julvs Chicago White SoxL 1-6––Game page
Sat 1 Augvs Chicago White SoxW 1-0––Game page
Sun 2 Augvs Chicago White SoxL 1-9––Game page
Mon 3 Augat Colorado RockiesW 13-9––Game page
Tue 4 Augat Colorado RockiesW 9-7––Game page
Wed 5 Augat Colorado RockiesW 4-0––Game page
Fri 7 Augat Seattle MarinersW 2-1––Game page
Sat 8 Augat Seattle MarinersW 3-2––Game page
Sun 9 Augat Seattle MarinersW 4-1––Game page
Mon 10 Augat Oakland AthleticsW 10-6–––
Tue 11 Augat Oakland AthleticsW 12-4–––
Wed 12 Augat Oakland AthleticsW 8-4–––
Fri 14 Augvs Baltimore OriolesL 5-6––Game page
Sat 15 Augvs Baltimore OriolesL 3-4––Game page
Sun 16 Augvs Baltimore OriolesL 2-10––Game page
Mon 17 Augvs Baltimore OriolesW 7-6––Game page
Tue 18 Augvs Toronto Blue JaysL 5-10––Game page
Wed 19 Augvs Toronto Blue JaysW 7-6––Game page
Thu 20 Augvs Toronto Blue JaysL 1-5––Game page
Fri 21 Augat Baltimore OriolesL 3-5––Game page
Sat 22 Augat Baltimore OriolesL 2-3––Game page
Sun 23 Augat Baltimore OriolesW 3-1––Game page
Mon 24 Augat Detroit TigersW 4-1––Game page
Tue 25 Augat Detroit TigersL 1-4––Game page
Wed 26 Augat Detroit TigersW 3-0––Game page
Fri 28 Augvs San Diego PadresW 9-4––Game page
Sat 29 Augvs San Diego PadresW 7-6––Game page
Sun 30 Augvs San Diego PadresW 5-4––Game page
Tue 1 Sepvs New York MetsW 6-2Covered (favourite by 1.5)–Game page
Wed 2 Sepvs New York MetsL 4-10Missed (favourite by 1.5)–Game page
Thu 3 Sepat Texas RangersL 0-6––Game page
Sat 5 Sepat Texas RangersW 6-3Covered (favourite by 1.5)–Game page
Sun 6 Sepat Texas RangersL 6-8Missed (favourite by 1.5)–Game page
Tue 8 Sepat Atlanta BravesW 7-1Covered (favourite by 1.5)–Game page
Wed 9 Sepat Atlanta BravesW 7-2Covered (underdog by 1.5)–Game page
Thu 10 Sepat Atlanta BravesL 1-3Missed (underdog by 1.5)–Game page
Fri 11 Sepvs Houston AstrosW 3-1Covered (favourite by 1.5)–Game page
Sat 12 Sepvs Houston AstrosW 3-2Missed (favourite by 1.5)–Game page
Sun 13 Sepvs Houston AstrosW 14-4Covered (favourite by 1.5)–Game page
Tue 15 Sepvs Oakland AthleticsW 2-1–––
Wed 16 Sepvs Oakland AthleticsW 4-3–––
Fri 18 Sepvs Boston Red SoxL 2-4Missed (favourite by 1.5)Under 7Game page
Fri 18 Sepvs Oakland AthleticsW 10-1Covered (favourite by 1.5)Over 7–
Sat 19 Sepvs Boston Red SoxW 2-1Missed (favourite by 1.5)Under 7.5Game page
Sun 20 Sepvs Boston Red SoxW 5-1Covered (favourite by 1.5)Under 7.5Game page
Tue 22 Sepat New York YankeesW 6-1Covered (underdog by 1.5)Over 6.5Game page
Wed 23 Sepat New York YankeesL 2-9Missed (underdog by 1.5)Over 6.5Game page
Thu 24 Sepat New York YankeesL 4-6Missed (underdog by 1.5)Over 6Game page
Fri 25 Sepat Philadelphia PhilliesW 2-0Covered (underdog by 1.5)Under 6.5Game page
Sat 26 Sepat Philadelphia PhilliesW 12-1Covered (underdog by 1.5)Over 7Game page
Sun 27 Sepat Philadelphia PhilliesL 3-7Missed (underdog by 1.5)Over 6.5Game page

Run line and total are the main closing lines just before the start. Team results only; these are not Bet Better’s picks.

How often the Rays cover the run line

Team history

In the 2025 regular season the Rays covered the run line in 68 of 159 games: 34 of 81 at home and 34 of 78 away. Their games went over the total 70 times in 155.

SeasonCovered at homeCovered awayCovered, allOver at homeOver awayOver, all
202534 of 8134 of 7868 of 15937 of 8133 of 7470 of 155
What do these numbers mean?

Bookmakers give the weaker team a head start called the run line. A team covers when it wins by more than the run line, or loses by less than its head start. A push is a tie with the line, so bets were refunded. The total is the bookmakers' line for points in the game; over means the game finished above it. We count the main closing line just before the start, complete seasons only, plus this season so far.

Team history, counted from final scores. Not Bet Better’s picks.

Rays injuries

Updated 10 Oct
PlayerPositionStatusInjuryExpected back
Edwin UcetaRP60-day injured listShoulderabout 12 Oct
Gavin LuxLF60-day injured listShoulderabout 12 Oct
Jacob MeltonLF60-day injured listHamstringabout 1 Feb
Jonathan HeasleyRP60-day injured listElbowabout 12 Oct
Ryan PepiotSP60-day injured listHipabout 1 Feb
Shane McClanahanSPOutForearmabout 12 Oct

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions
Ballpark conditions (temperature, wind direction and roof state) can move MLB run totals, and matter most in open-air parks with strong prevailing winds.
Per-game ballpark weather is pending a file→table persistence job (owner). No live park weather is shown here until that data is in the database.

Betting angles

2 markets live
Total RunsGame total · Tampa Bay Rays vs Cleveland GuardiansOver 9.5 +300
8.5proj. runs
L5 RF5.0L5 RA2.6Home L54-1

Tampa Bay Rays total runs vs Cleveland Guardians is live and our model makes it 31% (LONG-SHOT); proj. runs 8.5.

MoneylineCleveland Guardians favored (model)+153
4-1L5 record
L5 RF5.0L5 RA2.6Home L54-1

Tampa Bay Rays moneyline vs Cleveland Guardians is live (LONG-SHOT); L5 record 4-1.

Run LineTampa Bay Rays run lineNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF5.0L5 RA2.6Home L54-1

Tampa Bay Rays spread form: last five 4-1, 5.0 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsTampa Bay Rays team totalNo line posted
5.0L5 runs/gm
L5 RF5.0L5 RA2.6Home L54-1

Tampa Bay Rays team total runs form: last five 4-1, 5.0 runs/gm.

Questions about the Rays

When do the Rays play next?

The Rays host the Cleveland Guardians on Monday 12 October 2026.

How often do the Rays cover the run line?

In the 2025 regular season the Rays covered the run line in 68 of 159 games: 34 of 81 at home and 34 of 78 away.

How often do Rays games go over the total?

In the 2025 regular season, Rays games went over the total 70 times in 155.

Who is injured for the Rays?

6 players are on the injury list as of 10 October: Edwin Uceta (shoulder), Gavin Lux (shoulder), Jacob Melton (hamstring), Jonathan Heasley (elbow), Ryan Pepiot (hip), and 1 more.

Where can I see the Rays' next game preview?

Bet Better's Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays game page has the preview and the latest prices. Open the game page

About This Team

Tampa Bay Rays are tracked by the Bet Better model across MLB games. Their next game is against Cleveland Guardians on Monday 12 October at Tropicana Field. Use the data above to inform your MLB betting decisions for Tampa Bay Rays.

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