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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Austin Wells is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits.
On the Batter - Hits market the model assigns a model win probability of 78%, versus the book's implied 51%, for a model edge of +26.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 22, 6:43PM UTC
MLB

Austin Wells

NYY

+26.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Under 0.5 -103 (1.97)
+26.9% Edge
Pittsburgh Pirates @ New York Yankees
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Wed 22 Jul, 5:05PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
77.7%
Implied Probability
50.8%
Model Edge
+26.9%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits77.7%50.8%1.29+26.9%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Austin Wells (NYY) Under 0.5 Hits (-103)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Yankees gear up to face the Pirates, all eyes should be on Austin Wells, especially when considering the under on his hits. Wells has had a rocky stretch lately, failing to find consistent contact at the plate. The Pirates’ pitching staff, particularly their emerging ace, has been surprisingly effective against left-handed batters, limiting their hits and keeping them off balance. Adding to this is the Yankees' recent struggles against left-handed pitching, where their offense has stagnated, making it tough for any player to reach base consistently. With the pressure mounting on Wells to deliver, the chances of him getting a hit against a solid Pirates starter look slim. Given the current trends and how tight this game is expected to be, placing a bet on Wells to come in under 0.5 hits feels like the smart play tonight.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.530%

Austin Wells MLB hitsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.540%
O 1.510%
O 2.510%

Austin Wells MLB hits + runs + rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.530%
O 1.510%

Austin Wells MLB runs scoredseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.530%

Austin Wells MLB singlesseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Austin Wells (NYY) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Austin Wells is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +26.9% on this pick. Their next game is Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Yankees on Wednesday 22 July at Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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