On September 14, 2026 our model has run New York Mets at New York Yankees and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is New York Yankees vs New York Mets: New York Yankees Win (-185), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.
Aaron Judge (NYY) Over 0.5 Walks (-118)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
New York Yankees play New York Mets in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Aaron Judge (NYY) Over 0.5 Walks (-118). That is a Walks bet. It was priced at -118 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.47 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Francisco Alvarez (NYM) Over 0.5 Runs Scored (+180)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
New York Yankees play New York Mets in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Francisco Alvarez (NYM) Over 0.5 Runs Scored (+180). That is a Runs Scored bet. It was priced at +180 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $28 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Francisco Alvarez (NYM) Over 0.5 Runs Scored (+180)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
New York Yankees play New York Mets in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Francisco Alvarez (NYM) Over 0.5 Runs Scored (+180). That is a Runs Scored bet. It was priced at +180 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $28 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
New York Yankees vs New York Mets: New York Yankees Win (-185)
Odds correct at time of publishing
New York Yankees play New York Mets in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is New York Yankees vs New York Mets: New York Yankees Win (-185). That is a h2h bet. It was priced at -185 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.41 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
New York Yankees vs New York Mets: Over 7 Total Runs (-172)
Odds correct at time of publishing
New York Yankees play New York Mets in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is New York Yankees vs New York Mets: Over 7 Total Runs (-172). That is a alternate totals bet. It was priced at -172 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.81 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
New York Yankees vs New York Mets: Over 3.5 alternate totals 1st 5 innings (-145)
Odds correct at time of publishing
New York Yankees play New York Mets in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is New York Yankees vs New York Mets: Over 3.5 alternate totals 1st 5 innings (-145). That is a alternate totals 1st 5 innings bet. It was priced at -145 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is the whole read. Every bet above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.