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Model picks & player props
MLB
Chase Field, Phoenix
Indoor
Sun 20 Sep 2026, 4:11 PM ET
New York Yankees
VS
Arizona Diamondbacks

New York Yankees vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 70 markets for New York Yankees vs Arizona Diamondbacks and backs Arizona Diamondbacks hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $240.

20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings
You bet$10 If it wins$24.00Best price+140
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win49.9%
The price says49.3%

The model graded 70 markets for New York Yankees vs Arizona Diamondbacks (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $240 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 20 Sep 2026, 4:11 PM ET at Chase Field.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Arizona Diamondbacks Lean50% chance +140
Moneyline Members only Lean50% chance Members
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Members only Long-shot6% chance Members
Total Runs Members only Long-shot13% chance Members
Spread Members only High62% chance Members
Pitcher - Outs × 2 props Highup to 71% Members
Pitcher - Strikeouts × 4 props Highup to 64% Members
Pitcher - Walks × 1 prop Leanup to 58% Members
Batter - Total Bases × 8 props Leanup to 47% Members
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 11 props Leanup to 56% Members
Batter - RBIs × 9 props Long-shotup to 39% Members
Batter - Walks × 6 props Long-shotup to 36% Members
Batter - Hits × 6 props Long-shotup to 22% Members
Batter - Doubles × 1 prop Long-shotup to 22% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

New York Yankees and Arizona Diamondbacks last met on Sun 20 Sep 2026: Arizona Diamondbacks won 5-3. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings
Arizona Diamondbacks
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 67,041+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Arizona DiamondbacksMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arizona DiamondbacksMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arizona DiamondbacksSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesMoneylineThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

New York Yankees

  • Aaron Judge RFOut
  • Clarke Schmidt SPOut
  • Fernando Cruz RPOut
  • Kervin Castro RPOut

Arizona Diamondbacks

  • Corbin Burnes SPOut
  • Tyler Locklear 1BOut
  • Ryan Thompson RPOut
  • A.J. Puk RPOut
  • Andrew Saalfrank RPOut
  • Cristian Mena RPOut
Availability updated Oct 3, 2:17PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New York Yankees vs Arizona Diamondbacks: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 10 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability10 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Brandon Pfaadt Pitcher - Outs
Cam Schlittler NYY Pitcher - Strikeouts
Cam Schlittler NYY Pitcher - Walks
Pavin Smith Batter - Total Bases
Nolan Arenado STL Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineArizona DiamondbacksNo line posted
5-0L5 record
L5 RF8.6L5 RA4.2Home L54-1vs New York Yankees L53-2

Arizona Diamondbacks moneyline form: last five 5-0, 8.6 runs/gm.

Run LineArizona Diamondbacks run lineNo line posted
5-0L5 record
L5 RF8.6L5 RA4.2Home L54-1vs New York Yankees L53-2

Arizona Diamondbacks spread form: last five 5-0, 8.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York YankeesNo line posted

Arizona Diamondbacks total runs form: last five 5-0, 8.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsArizona Diamondbacks team totalNo line posted
6.4runs we expect
L5 RF8.6L5 RA4.2Home L54-1vs New York Yankees L53-2

Arizona Diamondbacks team total runs form: last five 5-0, 8.6 runs/gm.

New York Yankees @ Arizona Diamondbacks — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for New York Yankees at Arizona Diamondbacks — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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New York Yankees vs Arizona Diamondbacks — recent results

Arizona Diamondbacks have won 3 of their last 5 games; New York Yankees have won 2 of their last 5.

Arizona Diamondbacks — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L7–10SDAway
L4–9SDAway
W11–4SDAway
W5–3COLAway
W12–8COLAway
New York Yankees — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–4TBHome
L2–5TBAway
L0–1TBAway
W9–2BOSHome
W9–0BOSHome

New York Yankees vs Arizona Diamondbacks — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Arizona Diamondbacks are scoring 4.2 runs per game (1-4) while New York Yankees are at 6.2 (4-1); Arizona Diamondbacks pitchers are allowing 5.0 earned runs per game versus 1.2 for New York Yankees.

4.2
Arizona Diamondbacks runs/G
6.2
New York Yankees runs/G
Last 5 gamesArizona DiamondbacksNew York Yankees
Runs / game4.26.2
Hits / game9.88.6
Home runs / game2.01.8
Walks drawn / game2.84.0
Batter K / game10.09.6
Earned runs allowed / game5.01.2
Pitching K / game10.29.0
Walks allowed / game3.22.4
L5 record1-44-1

New York Yankees vs Arizona Diamondbacks — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Arizona Diamondbacks won 2, New York Yankees won 1.

DateArizona DiamondbacksNew York YankeesWinner
Sep 2053Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 2084Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 1929New York Yankees

Who’s out or in doubt

10 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Arizona Diamondbacks
PlayerStatus
Corbin Burnes SPOUT
Tyler Locklear 1BOUT
Ryan Thompson RPOUT
A.J. Puk RPOUT
Andrew Saalfrank RPOUT
Cristian Mena RPOUT
New York Yankees
PlayerStatus
Aaron Judge RFOUT
Clarke Schmidt SPOUT
Fernando Cruz RPOUT
Kervin Castro RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

New York Yankees @ Arizona Diamondbacks — model preview

Our New York Yankees at Arizona Diamondbacks prediction for September 21, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On September 21, 2026 our model has run New York Yankees at Arizona Diamondbacks and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Ketel Marte (ARI) Under 0.5 Walks (-222), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New York Yankees vs Arizona Diamondbacks in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Yankees vs Diamondbacks, or as Diamondbacks vs Yankees. The most recent game between them was Sunday 20 September 2026 at Chase Field. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

New York Yankees vs Arizona Diamondbacks head-to-head record

Final scores · 12 meetings on record
New York Yankees 7–5 across the last 12 meetings · these games average 9.7 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Sun 20 Sep 2026, New York Yankees at Arizona Diamondbacks: the Diamondbacks won 5-3.

DateGameScoreWinner
20 Sep 2026New York Yankees @ Arizona Diamondbacks5–3Arizona Diamondbacks
19 Sep 2026New York Yankees @ Arizona Diamondbacks2–9New York Yankees
18 Sep 2026New York Yankees @ Arizona Diamondbacks2–9New York Yankees
3 Apr 2025Arizona Diamondbacks @ New York Yankees9–7New York Yankees
2 Apr 2025Arizona Diamondbacks @ New York Yankees3–4Arizona Diamondbacks
1 Apr 2025Arizona Diamondbacks @ New York Yankees5–7Arizona Diamondbacks
3 Apr 2024New York Yankees @ Arizona Diamondbacks5–6New York Yankees
2 Apr 2024New York Yankees @ Arizona Diamondbacks7–0Arizona Diamondbacks
1 Apr 2024New York Yankees @ Arizona Diamondbacks2–5New York Yankees
25 Sep 2023Arizona Diamondbacks @ New York Yankees6–4New York Yankees

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 12 meetings on file.

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