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Model picks & player props
New York Yankees
VS
Arizona Diamondbacks

New York Yankees vs Arizona Diamondbacks Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 17, 10:06PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Chase Field, Phoenix
Indoor
Sat 19 Sep 2026, 1:40AM
3
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline +110

The model graded 3 markets for New York Yankees vs Arizona Diamondbacks (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $210 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 19 Sep 2026, 1:40AM at Chase Field.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win45.9%
The price says47.6%
Best price+110
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Arizona Diamondbacks Lean46% chance +110
Spread Lean55% chance —
Total Runs Lean43% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every MLB game on today's board →
New York Yankees are the model's favourite to beat Arizona Diamondbacks, with a 54% chance to win. Predicted score: Arizona Diamondbacks 4.3 – New York Yankees 4.3. Kick-off Sat 19 Sep, 1:40AM at Chase Field. Best bet: Arizona Diamondbacks at +110.
How they've been scoring this season
New York YankeesArizona Diamondbacks
Won-lost87-6379-71
Runs scored per game4.64.4
Runs allowed per game3.74.4
On the road / at home45-31 away42-33 at home
Last 5 gamesWWLWWWLWLL
Their games average 8.6 total runs this season.
From the 150 New York Yankees and 150 Arizona Diamondbacks games on our books this season.
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Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 29 bookmakers compared
Winner
Yankees1.83-120FanDuel
Diamondbacks2.20+120GTbets
Total runs
Over8.52.07+1071xBet
Under8.51.92-108Kalshi

New York Yankees vs Arizona Diamondbacks odds by bookmaker

29 books · best price in green
BookYankees winDiamondbacks winDiamondbacks +1.5Over 8.5Under 8.5
1xBet1.79-1272.17+1171.67-1492.07+1071.86-116
888sport1.75-1332.05+1051.62-1612.00+1001.80-125
BetMGM1.77-1302.05+1051.62-1611.98-1021.85-118
Courtside1.78-1282.11+1111.62-1612.00+1001.86-116
DraftKings1.76-1322.09+1091.61-1641.98-1021.85-118
ESPN BET1.77-1302.10+1101.61-1642.00+1001.83-120
Fanatics1.80-1252.05+1051.69-145——
FanDuel1.83-1202.02+1021.59-1691.91-1101.91-110
Kalshi1.82-1222.17+1171.67-1502.04+1041.92-108
PlayUp1.77-1302.05+1051.63-1591.93-1081.85-118
PointsBet1.77-1302.10+1101.63-159——
Polymarket1.84-1202.20+1201.72-1382.08+1081.92-108
ReBet1.71-1412.00+100—1.94-1061.81-123
Sportsbet1.80-1252.00+1001.60-1671.89-1121.87-115

Since the market opened: Diamondbacks to win opened 2.06, best now 2.20; the over 8.5 opened 1.95, best now 2.08 (decimal, best book).

Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 89 of 195 right (mlb pitcher strikeouts overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 17
Justin Wrobleski Over 1.5
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Cincinnati Reds
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $110
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Arizona Diamondbacks
+110
+ 2 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Arizona DiamondbacksMoneylineThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Arizona DiamondbacksSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

New York Yankees

  • Aaron Judge RFDay-to-day
  • Trent Grisham CFOut
  • Ryan Weathers SPOut
  • Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2BOut
  • Fernando Cruz RPOut
  • Kervin Castro RPOut
  • Giancarlo Stanton DHOut

Arizona Diamondbacks

  • Tyler Locklear 1BOut
  • Ryan Thompson RPOut
  • A.J. Puk RPOut
  • Andrew Saalfrank RPOut
  • Cristian Mena RPOut
Availability updated Sep 16, 8:18PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New York Yankees vs Arizona Diamondbacks: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 12 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability12 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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The preview

Written 18 Sep

Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Yankees Prediction and Picks, September 18, 2026

On September 18, 2026 our model has run New York Yankees at Arizona Diamondbacks and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Yankees: Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 (-156), which we rate LEAN confidence. We walk through all 3 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Yankees: Arizona Diamondbacks Win (+110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Arizona Diamondbacks play New York Yankees in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Yankees: Arizona Diamondbacks Win (+110). That is a h2h bet. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Yankees: Over 8 Total Runs (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Arizona Diamondbacks play New York Yankees in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Yankees: Over 8 Total Runs (-110). That is a totals bet. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Yankees: Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 (-156)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Arizona Diamondbacks play New York Yankees in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Yankees: Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 (-156). That is a spreads bet. It was priced at -156 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.41 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the whole read. Every bet above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Bet Better model desk · read as an article

Betting angles

3 markets live
MoneylineArizona Diamondbacks to win+110
2-3L5 record
L5 RF5.4L5 RA5.0Home L52-3vs New York Yankees L53-2

Arizona Diamondbacks moneyline vs New York Yankees is live and our model makes it 46% (LONG-SHOT); L5 record 2-3.

Run LineArizona Diamondbacks run line+1.5 -156
55%cover %
0.0proj. margin
L5 RF5.4L5 RA5.0Home L52-3vs New York Yankees L53-2

Arizona Diamondbacks spread vs New York Yankees is live and our model makes it 55% (LEAN); proj. margin 0.0.

Total RunsGame total · Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York YankeesOver 8 -110
8.6proj. runs
L5 RF5.4L5 RA5.0Home L52-3vs New York Yankees L53-2

Arizona Diamondbacks total runs vs New York Yankees is live and our model makes it 43% (LONG-SHOT); proj. runs 8.6.

Team Total RunsArizona Diamondbacks team totalNo line posted
4.7runs we expect
L5 RF5.4L5 RA5.0Home L52-3vs New York Yankees L53-2

Arizona Diamondbacks team total runs form: last five 2-3, 5.4 runs/gm.

New York Yankees @ Arizona Diamondbacks — what the model found

Our model graded 3 betting markets for New York Yankees at Arizona Diamondbacks — 3 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

3
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 3 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 2 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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New York Yankees vs Arizona Diamondbacks — recent results

Arizona Diamondbacks have won 2 of their last 5 games; New York Yankees have won 4 of their last 5.

Arizona Diamondbacks — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–6TEXHome
L6–7TEXHome
W9–1TEXHome
L2–5KCAway
W5–3KCAway
New York Yankees — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W8–3MINAway
W2–0NYMHome
L2–12NYMHome
W6–4NYMHome
W10–3COLHome

Who’s out or in doubt

12 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Arizona Diamondbacks
PlayerStatus
Tyler Locklear 1BOUT
Ryan Thompson RPOUT
A.J. Puk RPOUT
Andrew Saalfrank RPOUT
Cristian Mena RPOUT
New York Yankees
PlayerStatus
Aaron Judge RFDAY-TO-DAY
Trent Grisham CFOUT
Ryan Weathers SPOUT
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2BOUT
Fernando Cruz RPOUT
Kervin Castro RPOUT
Giancarlo Stanton DHOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

New York Yankees @ Arizona Diamondbacks — model preview

Our New York Yankees at Arizona Diamondbacks prediction for September 18, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On September 18, 2026 our model has run New York Yankees at Arizona Diamondbacks and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Yankees: Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 (-156), which we rate LEAN confidence. We walk through all 3 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 3 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New York Yankees vs Arizona Diamondbacks in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Yankees vs Diamondbacks, or as Diamondbacks vs Yankees. The next scheduled game is Saturday 19 September 2026 at Chase Field. The model has generated 3 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 9 meetings on record
New York Yankees 5–4 across the last 9 meetings · these games average 9.6 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
3 Apr 2025Arizona Diamondbacks @ New York Yankees9–7New York Yankees
2 Apr 2025Arizona Diamondbacks @ New York Yankees3–4Arizona Diamondbacks
1 Apr 2025Arizona Diamondbacks @ New York Yankees5–7Arizona Diamondbacks
3 Apr 2024New York Yankees @ Arizona Diamondbacks5–6New York Yankees
2 Apr 2024New York Yankees @ Arizona Diamondbacks7–0Arizona Diamondbacks
1 Apr 2024New York Yankees @ Arizona Diamondbacks2–5New York Yankees
25 Sep 2023Arizona Diamondbacks @ New York Yankees6–4New York Yankees
24 Sep 2023Arizona Diamondbacks @ New York Yankees1–7Arizona Diamondbacks
22 Sep 2023Arizona Diamondbacks @ New York Yankees7–1New York Yankees
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