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Model picks & player props
New York Yankees
VS
Chicago Cubs

New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs Picks & Predictions

Our model graded 23 markets for New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs and backs Over 6 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $189.

MLB
Wrigley Field, Chicago
Outdoor
Sun 2 Aug 2026, 6:21PM
20
Game markets graded
3
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Over 6 Total Runs -112

The model graded 23 markets for New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $189 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 2 Aug 2026, 6:21PM at Wrigley Field.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win70.8%
The price says52.9%
Best price-112
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs Over 6 High71% chance -112
Total Runs Members only High67% chance Members
Spread Members only Lean42% chance Members
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Members only Long-shot24% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Lean57% chance Members
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Members only High64% chance Members
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Members only High88% chance Members
Batter - Total Bases × 1 prop Highup to 91% Members
Batter - Hits × 1 prop Highup to 81% Members
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 1 prop Highup to 76% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

New York Yankees and Chicago Cubs last met on Sun 2 Aug 2026: New York Yankees won 2-1. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs
Over
6
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 3 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 62,424+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago CubsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago CubsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago CubsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago CubsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

New York Yankees

  • Aaron Judge RFOut
  • Clarke Schmidt SPOut
  • Fernando Cruz RPOut
  • Kervin Castro RPOut

Probable pitcher

Cam Schlittler SP

Chicago Cubs

  • Justin Steele SPOut
  • Shelby Miller RPOut
  • Ben Brown RPOut
  • Phil Maton RPOut
  • Riley Martin RPOut
  • Hunter Harvey RPOut
  • Porter Hodge RPOut
  • Cade Horton SPOut
  • Tyler Austin 1BOut
Availability updated Oct 6, 12:00AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 13 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability13 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Trent Grisham Batter - Total Bases
Michael Conforto SFG Batter - Hits
Ben Rice NYY Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs

+ 3 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineChicago CubsNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF2.6L5 RA4.0Home L53-2vs New York Yankees L54-1

Chicago Cubs moneyline form: last five 2-3, 2.6 runs/gm.

Run LineChicago Cubs run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF2.6L5 RA4.0Home L53-2vs New York Yankees L54-1

Chicago Cubs spread form: last five 2-3, 2.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Chicago Cubs vs New York YankeesNo line posted

Chicago Cubs total runs form: last five 2-3, 2.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsChicago Cubs team totalNo line posted
3.3runs we expect
L5 RF2.6L5 RA4.0Home L53-2vs New York Yankees L54-1

Chicago Cubs team total runs form: last five 2-3, 2.6 runs/gm.

New York Yankees @ Chicago Cubs — what the model found

Our model graded 23 betting markets for New York Yankees at Chicago Cubs — 20 on the game itself and 3 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
3
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 23 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 22 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs — recent results

Chicago Cubs have won 1 of their last 5 games; New York Yankees have won 3 of their last 5.

Chicago Cubs — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–4SDAway
L0–8SDAway
W6–2BOSAway
L0–2BOSAway
L3–4BOSAway
New York Yankees — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L0–1TBAway
W9–2BOSHome
W9–0BOSHome
W6–3BALHome
L2–10BALHome

New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Chicago Cubs are scoring 3.4 runs per game (3-2) while New York Yankees are at 3.8 (4-1); Chicago Cubs pitchers are allowing 1.2 earned runs per game versus 1.2 for New York Yankees.

3.4
Chicago Cubs runs/G
3.8
New York Yankees runs/G
Last 5 gamesChicago CubsNew York Yankees
Runs / game3.43.8
Hits / game6.04.2
Home runs / game0.40.8
Walks drawn / game0.83.4
Batter K / game2.24.8
Earned runs allowed / game1.21.2
Pitching K / game2.82.4
Walks allowed / game1.41.4
L5 record3-24-1

New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs — recent meetings

These two have met 5 times recently: Chicago Cubs won 2, New York Yankees won 3.

DateChicago CubsNew York YankeesWinner
Aug 212New York Yankees
Aug 152Chicago Cubs
Jul 3102New York Yankees
Mar 2438New York Yankees
Mar 23156Chicago Cubs

Who’s out or in doubt

13 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Chicago Cubs
PlayerStatus
Justin Steele SPOUT
Shelby Miller RPOUT
Ben Brown RPOUT
Phil Maton RPOUT
Riley Martin RPOUT
Hunter Harvey RPOUT
Porter Hodge RPOUT
Cade Horton SPOUT
New York Yankees
PlayerStatus
Aaron Judge RFOUT
Clarke Schmidt SPOUT
Fernando Cruz RPOUT
Kervin Castro RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

New York Yankees @ Chicago Cubs — model preview

Our New York Yankees at Chicago Cubs prediction for August 2, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 2, 2026 our model has run New York Yankees at Chicago Cubs and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Ben Rice (NYY) Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-286), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Yankees vs Cubs, or as Cubs vs Yankees. The most recent game between them was Sunday 2 August 2026 at Wrigley Field. The model has generated 20 game picks and 3 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs head-to-head record

Final scores · 14 meetings on record
Even at 7–7 across the last 14 meetings · these games average 7.0 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Sun 2 Aug 2026, New York Yankees at Chicago Cubs: the Yankees won 2-1.

DateGameScoreWinner
2 Aug 2026New York Yankees @ Chicago Cubs1–2New York Yankees
1 Aug 2026New York Yankees @ Chicago Cubs5–2Chicago Cubs
31 Jul 2026New York Yankees @ Chicago Cubs0–2New York Yankees
24 Mar 2026New York Yankees @ Chicago Cubs3–8New York Yankees
23 Mar 2026New York Yankees @ Chicago Cubs15–6Chicago Cubs
13 Jul 2025Chicago Cubs @ New York Yankees1–4Chicago Cubs
12 Jul 2025Chicago Cubs @ New York Yankees2–5Chicago Cubs
11 Jul 2025Chicago Cubs @ New York Yankees11–0New York Yankees
8 Sep 2024New York Yankees @ Chicago Cubs2–1Chicago Cubs
7 Sep 2024New York Yankees @ Chicago Cubs0–2New York Yankees

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 14 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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