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MLB

Houston Astros

Today's best bet on this team, checked by our model — with the full result history below.

Every pick graded — see verified results
Next Game: vs Kansas City Royals (Home) Wed 16 Sep, 12:10AM Minute Maid Park, Houston · Indoor

Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 46 bookmakers compared
Winner
Royals2.50+150Kalshi
Houston Astros1.67-150Kalshi
Total runs
Over81.98-102LowVig
Under81.88-114LowVig

Kansas City Royals vs Houston Astros odds by bookmaker

46 books · best price in green
BookRoyals winHouston Astros winHouston Astros -1.5Over 8Under 8
1xBet2.41+1411.65-1542.37+137——
888sport2.35+1351.60-1672.35+135——
Bally Bet2.35+1351.61-164———
BetAnySports2.40+1401.61-1642.33+1331.95-1051.87-115
BetMGM2.35+1351.62-1612.25+1251.98-1021.85-118
BetOnline2.43+1431.63-1592.35+1351.95-1051.87-115
betPARX2.35+1351.61-164———
BetRivers2.38+1381.61-164———
BetUS2.41+1411.63-1592.35+1351.95-1051.87-115
Bovada2.39+1391.61-1642.35+1351.95-1051.87-115
Courtside2.41+1411.61-1642.33+1331.97-1031.88-114
DraftKings2.38+1381.60-1672.30+1301.95-1051.87-115
ESPN BET2.35+1351.65-1542.35+135——
Fanatics2.35+1351.61-1642.35+1351.95-1051.87-115

Since the market opened: Houston Astros to win opened 1.63, best now 1.68; the over 8 opened 1.99, best now 1.98 (decimal, best book).

The recordOur formula’s best MLB market: mlb batter home runs overs · 37 of 206 · +$1,574
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Model updated Sep 15, 3:25AM UTC
Answer
The Houston Astros model is leaning Kansas City Royals on the spread in the Spread - 1st 5 Innings market vs Kansas City Royals.
model hit rate 65.8% across 38 settled Houston Astros picks · the full numbers on every bet unlock with a subscription.

Scoring profile

Points scored per game3.2
Points allowed per game4.5

Across the last 10 completed games on record.

Today's Game Pick

Our call
Spread - 1st 5 Innings
Kansas City Royals 0.5
Odds: -122
Our numbers say this wins about 48 times in 100 · a $100 bet returns about $182 if it lands
-7.2%
Free pick — today's headline bet on this team

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Upcoming Games

Next 1
DateOpponentWhereVenuePrediction
Wed 16 SepKansas City RoyalsHomeMinute Maid ParkPreview →

Recent Results

4–6 in the last 10
DateOpponentWhereScoreResultRecap
13 SepTampa Bay RaysAway4–14LRecap →
12 SepTampa Bay RaysAway2–3LRecap →
11 SepTampa Bay RaysAway1–3LRecap →
10 SepPhiladelphia PhilliesAway2–1WRecap →
9 SepPhiladelphia PhilliesAway7–11LRecap →
8 SepPhiladelphia PhilliesAway6–5WRecap →
6 SepArizona DiamondbacksHome2–3LRecap →
5 SepArizona DiamondbacksHome3–1WRecap →
5 SepArizona DiamondbacksHome3–4LRecap →
3 SepChicago White SoxHome2–0WRecap →

Every Game Bet, Graded

Our number vs the price
MarketModel output
Moneyline - 1st 5 InningsWith Pro
Total Runs - 1st 5 InningsWith Pro
MoneylineWith Pro
Total RunsWith Pro
Spread - 1st 5 InningsWith Pro
SpreadWith Pro
Total RunsWith Pro
Total Runs - 1st 1 InningsWith Pro
Total Runs - 1st 5 InningsWith Pro

The model has graded 9 game bets on this team — which ones it backs, and how much to put on, is ready for subscribers.

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Availability

Roster status
Updated 14 Sep 2026, 15:55 UTC · may be stale
CF
Brice MatthewsOUTinjury
RP
Steven OkertOUTinjury
SP
Brandon WalterOUTinjuryMike BurrowsOUTinjury
SS
Carlos CorreaOUTinjury

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions
Ballpark conditions (temperature, wind direction and roof state) can move MLB run totals, and matter most in open-air parks with strong prevailing winds.
Per-game ballpark weather is pending a file→table persistence job (owner). No live park weather is shown here until that data is in the database.

Model Performance History

All results →
Recent form: won 7 of last 10 settled picks (70%).
38
Total Picks
65.8%
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateOpponentMarketPickResult
13 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays Spread Houston Astros -3 ✗ MISS
13 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 5.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays Spread - 1st 5 Innings Houston Astros -2.5 ✗ MISS
13 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 8.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays Total Runs Over 6 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays Total Runs Over 5.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 7.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 2.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays Total Runs Over 11.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays Spread - 1st 5 Innings Houston Astros -1.5 ✗ MISS
13 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays Spread Houston Astros +1 ✗ MISS
13 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays Spread - 1st 5 Innings Houston Astros -0.5 ✗ MISS
13 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays Spread Houston Astros -2 ✗ MISS
13 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Houston Astros ✗ MISS
13 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays Total Runs Over 8 ✓ HIT

Betting angles

3 markets live
MoneylineKansas City Royals favored (model)+137
1-4L5 record
L5 RF3.2L5 RA6.4Home L53-2Free board20-18

Houston Astros moneyline vs Kansas City Royals is live (LONG-SHOT); L5 record 1-4.

Total RunsGame total · Houston Astros vs Kansas City RoyalsUnder 2.5 +1400
8.7proj. runs
L5 RF3.2L5 RA6.4Home L53-2Free board16-15

Houston Astros total runs vs Kansas City Royals is live and our model makes it 7% (LONG-SHOT); proj. runs 8.7.

Run LineKansas City Royals run line-4.5 +800
-0.1proj. margin
L5 RF3.2L5 RA6.4Home L53-2

Houston Astros spread vs Kansas City Royals is live (LONG-SHOT); proj. margin -0.1.

Team Total RunsHouston Astros team totalNo line posted
3.2L5 runs/gm
L5 RF3.2L5 RA6.4Home L53-2

Houston Astros team total runs form: last five 1-4, 3.2 runs/gm.

Recent form (last 5 games)

Houston Astros have gone 2-3 over their last 5 games, averaging 3.6 runs and 9.4 hits per game while allowing 4.2 earned runs.

2-3
Last 5
3.6
Runs / G
9.4
Hits / G
1.4
HR / G
3.6
RBI / G
4.2
ER Allowed / G
8.0
Ks / G

About This Team

Houston Astros are tracked by the Bet Better model across MLB games. The model has hit at a rate of 65.8% on tracked Houston Astros picks. Their next game is against Kansas City Royals on Wednesday 16 September at Minute Maid Park. Use the data above to inform your MLB betting decisions for Houston Astros.

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