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MLB

Houston Astros

Model-graded picks, player props and the edge on every market — with the full result history below.

Every pick graded — see verified results
Next Game: vs Baltimore Orioles (Home) Sat 18 Jul, 12:10AM Minute Maid Park, Houston · Indoor
Model updated Jul 17, 8:05AM UTC
Answer
The Houston Astros model is leaning Houston Astros on the spread in the Spread - 1st 5 Innings market vs Baltimore Orioles.
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Today's Game Pick

Model edge
Spread - 1st 5 Innings
Houston Astros 0.5
Odds: -154
Model prob: 82.8%
+22.2%
Free pick — today's headline game edge

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Calibrated Edge — Game Markets

Calibrated vs fair
MarketModel output
Moneyline - 1st 5 InningsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Spread - 1st 5 InningsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
MoneylineProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Total RunsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Total RunsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
SpreadProbability, fair odds & edge locked

Full model-edge table — 6 game markets for this team with exact probability, fair odds and edge — is ready for subscribers.

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Availability

Roster status
Updated 15 Jul 2026, 22:13 UTC · may be stale
RP
Bennett SousaOUTinjuryKai-Wei TengOUTinjury
SP
Brandon WalterOUTinjuryHayden WesneskiOUTinjuryMike BurrowsOUTinjuryRonel BlancoOUTinjury
SS
Carlos CorreaOUTinjury
CF
Brice MatthewsDAY-TO-DAYinjury

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions
Ballpark conditions (temperature, wind direction and roof state) can move MLB run totals, and matter most in open-air parks with strong prevailing winds.
Per-game ballpark weather is pending a file→table persistence job (owner). No live park weather is shown here until that data is in the database.

Model Performance History

All results →
0
Total Picks
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Hit Rate
DateOpponentMarketPickResult

Betting angles

3 markets live
MoneylineHouston Astros to win-110+12.6% edge
65%model win %
4-1L5 record
L5 RF4.2L5 RA2.6Home L53-2

Houston Astros moneyline vs Baltimore Orioles is live with a model 65% read and a +12.6% model edge; L5 record 4-1.

Total RunsGame total · Houston Astros vs Baltimore OriolesOver 6.5 -294+9.6% edge
84%over %
8.9proj. runs
L5 RF4.2L5 RA2.6Home L53-2O/U6-4

Houston Astros total runs vs Baltimore Orioles is live with a model 84% read and a +9.6% model edge; proj. runs 8.9.

Run LineHouston Astros run line-2.5 +280+9.4% edge
+0.8proj. margin
L5 RF4.2L5 RA2.6Home L53-2

Houston Astros spread vs Baltimore Orioles is live with a model 36% read and a +9.4% model edge; proj. margin +0.8.

Team Total RunsHouston Astros team totalNo line posted
4.2L5 runs/gm
L5 RF4.2L5 RA2.6Home L53-2

Houston Astros team total runs form: last five 4-1, 4.2 runs/gm.

Recent form (last 5 games)

Houston Astros have gone 4-1 over their last 5 games, averaging 4.2 runs and 4.6 hits per game while allowing 2.6 earned runs.

4-1
Last 5
4.2
Runs / G
4.6
Hits / G
1.0
HR / G
2.0
RBI / G
2.6
ER Allowed / G
2.2
Ks / G

About This Team

Houston Astros are tracked by the Bet Better model across MLB games. Their next game is against Baltimore Orioles on Saturday 18 July at Minute Maid Park. Use the data above to inform your MLB betting decisions for Houston Astros.