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Max Fried

MLB

Value call

Max Fried has one live pick today: over 5.5 strikeouts that pays $324 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
43 in 100
Predicted
5.8 strikeouts
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 43.4% · before adjusting for past results 52.3% · the book's price implies 30.9% · gap +12.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Wed 7 Oct, 8:00 PM ET
Max Fried
over 5.5 strikeouts
Pitcher - Strikeouts Over 5.5 +224 (3.24) · $100→$324
Value call
LEANWins about 43 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$32.40 Odds+224
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Max Fried is Over 5.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On Pitcher - Strikeouts, our numbers say this bet wins about 43 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 43%, the price says 31%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 13, 1:03AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 142 of 244 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts52.3%43.4%30.9%2.31+21.5%

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AI Analysis

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New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays: Max Fried Over 5.5 Pitcher - Strikeouts (+224)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Yankees are looking strong lately, winning four of their last six games. Their pitching staff has been solid, allowing fewer baserunners than most teams. On the other hand, the Rays have also been decent but have struggled against pitchers who can rack up strikeouts. Max Fried is facing off against a team that's not hitting well right now, and he's been tough on batters lately. Betting on Fried to get over 5.5 strikeouts makes sense here. He has a good chance to take advantage of Tampa's recent hitting struggles. The biggest risk is that he hasn't been as sharp in his last few outings, so there's a chance he might not hit that mark. Still, with everything on the line, he could shine today at Yankee Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 5(80%)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
07 Oct 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees Pitcher - Strikeouts 5.5 Over +224 ✓ HIT
07 Oct 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees Pitcher - Strikeouts 4.5 Over +103 ✓ HIT
07 Oct 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees Pitcher - Strikeouts 6.5 Over +496 ✓ HIT
07 Oct 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees Pitcher - Strikeouts — — — Pending
07 Oct 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees Pitcher - Strikeouts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Max Fried is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Max Fried is Over 5.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.5% on this pick. Their next game is Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees on Wednesday 7 October at Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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