Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Max Fried is Over 5.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On Pitcher - Strikeouts, our numbers say this bet wins about 41 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 41%, the price says 43%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 BBlanded 8 of the last 10
Over 2.50 Hlanded 8 of the last 10
Over 17.50 Outslanded 8 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 22, 7:03PM UTC
MLB

Max Fried

ATL

Value call

Max Fried has one live pick today: Pitcher - Strikeouts Over 5.5 that pays $234 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts Over 5.5 +134 (2.34) · $100→$234
Value call
Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Tue 22 Sep, 5:05PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts overs: 181 of 387 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Confirmed probable starter
Probable SP vs TB @ NYY
updated Sep 22, 11:05PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
41 in 100
Predicted
5.4 Pitcher - Strikeouts
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 40.9% · before adjusting for past results 46.2% · the book's price implies 42.7% · gap -1.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts46.2%40.9%42.7%2.46+3.5%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

See his full recent form

Unlock how often this player has landed over his last 3, 5, 10, 15 and 20 games — plus his current streak.

Bet Better Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Max Fried (ATL) Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+134)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

New York Yankees play Tampa Bay Rays in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Max Fried (ATL) Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+134). That is a Strikeouts bet. It was priced at +134 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $23.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Max Fried's lines for Tue 22 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Pitcher Strikeouts 5.5

Max Fried's pitcher strikeouts line is 5.5.

Pitcher Strikeouts 7.5

Max Fried's pitcher strikeouts line is 7.5.

Pitcher Strikeouts 6.5

Max Fried's pitcher strikeouts line is 6.5.

Recent form (last 5 games)

Max Fried is averaging 5.0 hits, 0.4 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

5.0
Hits
0.4
HR
0.0
RBI
1.8
Runs
1.4
Walks
6.0
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Max Fried has gone over 2.5 SO in 38% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o2.538%
o3.525%
o4.50%
o5.50%
o6.50%
o7.50%
o8.50%
o9.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Max Fried is averaging 5.0 hits per game over his last 5 and 5.8 in away games.

5.0
Hits · Overall
5.8
Hits · Away
0.4
HR · Overall
0.4
HR · Away
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
15 Sep 26 New York Yankees @ Minnesota Twins Pitcher - Strikeouts 5.5 Over +142 ✓ HIT
15 Sep 26 New York Yankees @ Minnesota Twins Pitcher - Strikeouts 4.5 Over -149 ✓ HIT
15 Sep 26 New York Yankees @ Minnesota Twins Pitcher - Strikeouts 3.5 Over -370 ✓ HIT
15 Sep 26 New York Yankees @ Minnesota Twins Pitcher - Strikeouts Pending
15 Sep 26 New York Yankees @ Minnesota Twins Pitcher - Strikeouts Pending
15 Sep 26 New York Yankees @ Minnesota Twins Pitcher - Strikeouts Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Max Fried (ATL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Max Fried is Over 5.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.5% on this pick. Their next game is Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees on Tuesday 22 September at Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.