Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Max Fried is Under 5.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On the Pitcher - Strikeouts market the model assigns a model win probability of 89%, versus the book's implied 60%, for a model edge of +29.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 7:32PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts
Under 5.5
-147 (1.68) · $100→$168
+29.9% Edge
Atlanta Braves
@
New York Yankees
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Sat 8 Aug, 7:05PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 559 of 1,032 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
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Implied Probability
59.5%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Strikeouts | 89.5% | — | 59.5% | 1.12 | +29.9% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 2/3 |
| Last 5 games | 3/5 |
| Last 10 games | 8/10 |
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Max Fried (NYY) Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-147)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
New York Yankees play Atlanta Braves in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Max Fried (NYY) Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-147). That is a Strikeouts bet. It was priced at -147 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Recent form (last 5 games)
Max Fried is averaging 5.0 hits, 0.4 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.
Hit-rate ladder: SO
Max Fried has gone over 2.5 SO in 40% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.
o2.540%
o3.510%
o4.50%
o5.50%
o6.50%
o7.50%
o8.50%
o9.50%
Home / away and opponent splits
Max Fried is averaging 5.0 hits per game over his last 5 and 5.8 in away games.
Max Fried (NYY) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Max Fried is Under 5.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +29.9% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Braves vs New York Yankees on Saturday 8 August at Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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