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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Max Fried is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On Pitcher - Walks, our numbers say this bet wins about 49 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 49%, implied 50%, edge +29.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 2.50 SOlanded 9 of the last 10
Over 3.50 SOlanded 9 of the last 10
Over 2.50 SOlanded 9 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 2, 7:46AM UTC
MLB

Max Fried

NYY

+29.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Walks Under 1.5 -101 (1.99) · $100→$199
+29.8% Edge
Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Thu 13 Aug, 5:35PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
80 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 80.1% · the book's price implies 50.3% · gap +29.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Walks80.1%49.0%50.3%2.13+29.8%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games8/10

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AI Analysis

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Max Fried (NYY) Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-101)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

New York Yankees play Seattle Mariners in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Max Fried (NYY) Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-101). That is a Walks Allowed bet. It was priced at -101 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Max Fried is averaging 5.0 hits, 0.4 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

5.0
Hits
0.4
HR
0.0
RBI
1.8
Runs
1.4
Walks
6.0
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Max Fried has gone over 2.5 SO in 40% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o2.540%
o3.510%
o4.50%
o5.50%
o6.50%
o7.50%
o8.50%
o9.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Max Fried is averaging 5.0 hits per game over his last 5 and 5.8 in away games.

5.0
Hits · Overall
5.8
Hits · Away
0.4
HR · Overall
0.4
HR · Away
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Aug 26 Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees Pitcher - Earned Runs 1.5 Under -101 ✓ HIT
07 Aug 26 Atlanta Braves @ New York Yankees Pitcher - Earned Runs 1.5 Under +118 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 New York Yankees @ Chicago Cubs Pitcher - Hits Allowed 4.5 Under -156 ✓ HIT
13 Aug 26 Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees Pitcher - Walks Pending
07 Aug 26 Atlanta Braves @ New York Yankees Pitcher - Walks Pending
07 Aug 26 Atlanta Braves @ New York Yankees Pitcher - Strikeouts Pending

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About This Player

Max Fried (NYY) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Max Fried is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +29.8% on this pick. Their next game is Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees on Thursday 13 August at Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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