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Model picks & player props
Toronto Blue Jays
VS
New York Yankees

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:19AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC)
Outdoor
Wed 8 Oct 2025, 11:08PM
20
Game Picks
12
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Over 3.5 (Team Total Runs)
For Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees (MLB), model win probability 69.3%, fair odds 1.44, book price +100, model edge +19.3%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Wed 8 Oct 2025, 11:08PM at Yankee Stadium.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Team Total Runs
Over
3.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
OverTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Toronto Blue Jays

  • Yimi Garcia RPOut
  • Max Scherzer SPOut
  • Lenyn Sosa 2BOut
  • Addison Barger RFOut
  • Anthony Santander RFOut
  • Jesus Sanchez RFOut
  • Joe Mantiply RPOut
  • Jose Berrios SPOut
  • Cody Ponce SPOut
  • Bowden Francis SPOut

Probable pitcher

Dylan Cease SP

New York Yankees

  • Giancarlo Stanton DHOut
  • Carlos Rodon SPOut
  • Aaron Judge RFOut
  • Clarke Schmidt SPOut
  • Max Fried SPOut

Probable pitcher

Ryan Weathers SP
Availability updated Jul 20, 11:07PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 15 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability15 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY Batter - Walks 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Carlos Rodon NYY Pitcher - Strikeouts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Carlos Rodon NYY Pitcher - Walks 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
George Springer TOR Batter - Stolen Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Ernie Clement TOR Batter - Doubles 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNew York YankeesNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF3.8L5 RA3.4Home L52-3vs Toronto Blue Jays L55-0Win rec4-12

New York Yankees moneyline form: last five 3-2, 3.8 runs/gm.

Run LineNew York Yankees run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF3.8L5 RA3.4Home L52-3vs Toronto Blue Jays L55-0ATS5-13

New York Yankees spread form: last five 3-2, 3.8 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue JaysNo line posted

New York Yankees total runs form: last five 3-2, 3.8 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsNew York Yankees team totalNo line posted
2.7implied team total
L5 RF3.8L5 RA3.4Home L52-3vs Toronto Blue Jays L55-0

New York Yankees team total runs form: last five 3-2, 3.8 runs/gm.

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games New York Yankees are scoring 3.2 runs per game (2-3) while Toronto Blue Jays are at 1.8 (1-4); New York Yankees pitchers are allowing 3.2 earned runs per game versus 4.4 for Toronto Blue Jays.

3.2
New York Yankees runs/G
1.8
Toronto Blue Jays runs/G
Last 5 gamesNew York YankeesToronto Blue Jays
Runs / game3.21.8
Hits / game7.86.0
Home runs / game1.20.2
Walks drawn / game3.42.2
Batter K / game9.66.4
Earned runs allowed / game3.24.4
Pitching K / game6.06.2
Walks allowed / game3.62.8
L5 record2-31-4

Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees — model preview

<p>Deep dive into New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays MLB game. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Check out MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays stats and odds.</p>

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays : Over 5.5 alternate_team_totals (+230)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays : Over 5.5 alternate_team_totals (+220)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees in the MLB. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Wednesday 8 October 2025 at Yankee Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks and 12 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

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