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Model picks & player props
Toronto Blue Jays
VS
New York Yankees

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 10, 7:20PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC)
Outdoor
Wed 8 Oct 2025, 11:08PM
20
Game markets graded
12
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Over 3.5 (Team Total)
The model graded 32 markets for Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — GOOD confidence. A $100 bet returns about $200 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 69.3%, fair odds 1.44, book price +100, model edge +19.3%. Tip-off Wed 8 Oct 2025, 11:08PM at Yankee Stadium.

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 546 of 996 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 10
Under 9.5
Houston Astros @ San Diego Padres
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $170

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Team Total
Over
0.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
OverTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Toronto Blue Jays

  • George Springer DHDay-to-day
  • Spencer Arrighetti SPOut
  • Yimi Garcia RPOut
  • Luis Urias 2BOut
  • Trey Yesavage SPOut
  • Patrick Corbin SPOut
  • Lenyn Sosa 2BOut
  • Joe Mantiply RPOut
  • Addison Barger RFOut
  • Jonatan Clase LFOut
  • Anthony Santander RFOut
  • Jose Berrios SPOut
  • Cody Ponce SPOut
  • Bowden Francis SPOut

Probable pitcher

Jameson Taillon SP

New York Yankees

  • Cody Bellinger LFOut
  • Giancarlo Stanton DHOut
  • Clarke Schmidt SPOut
  • Carlos Rodon SPOut
  • Aaron Judge RFOut
Availability updated Aug 10, 11:07PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 19 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability19 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY Batter - Walks 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Carlos Rodon NYY Pitcher - Strikeouts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Carlos Rodon NYY Pitcher - Walks 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
George Springer TOR Batter - Stolen Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Ernie Clement TOR Batter - Doubles 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNew York YankeesNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.2L5 RA1.4Home L53-2vs Toronto Blue Jays L53-2

New York Yankees moneyline form: last five 2-3, 1.2 runs/gm.

Run LineNew York Yankees run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.2L5 RA1.4Home L53-2vs Toronto Blue Jays L53-2

New York Yankees spread form: last five 2-3, 1.2 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue JaysNo line posted

New York Yankees total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.2 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsNew York Yankees team totalNo line posted
0.9runs we expect
L5 RF1.2L5 RA1.4Home L53-2vs Toronto Blue Jays L53-2

New York Yankees team total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.2 runs/gm.

Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees — what the model found

Our model graded 32 betting markets for Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees — 20 on the game itself and 12 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
12
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 32 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 31 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees — recent results

New York Yankees have won 3 of their last 5 games; Toronto Blue Jays have won 2 of their last 5.

New York Yankees — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–2ATLHome
W5–4ATLHome
W3–2ATLHome
L1–3STLHome
W2–0STLHome
Toronto Blue Jays — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L6–7PHIAway
W7–5PHIAway
W5–4PHIAway
L2–3CHCAway
L2–7HOUAway

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games New York Yankees are scoring 3.2 runs per game (2-3) while Toronto Blue Jays are at 1.8 (1-4); New York Yankees pitchers are allowing 3.2 earned runs per game versus 4.4 for Toronto Blue Jays.

3.2
New York Yankees runs/G
1.8
Toronto Blue Jays runs/G
Last 5 gamesNew York YankeesToronto Blue Jays
Runs / game3.21.8
Hits / game7.86.0
Home runs / game1.20.2
Walks drawn / game3.42.2
Batter K / game9.66.4
Earned runs allowed / game3.24.4
Pitching K / game6.06.2
Walks allowed / game3.62.8
L5 record2-31-4

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: New York Yankees won 2, Toronto Blue Jays won 1.

DateNew York YankeesToronto Blue JaysWinner
Jun 1483New York Yankees
Jun 1331New York Yankees
Jun 1258Toronto Blue Jays

Who’s out or in doubt

19 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New York Yankees
PlayerStatus
Cody Bellinger LFOUT
Giancarlo Stanton DHOUT
Clarke Schmidt SPOUT
Carlos Rodon SPOUT
Aaron Judge RFOUT
Toronto Blue Jays
PlayerStatus
George Springer DHDAY-TO-DAY
Spencer Arrighetti SPOUT
Yimi Garcia RPOUT
Luis Urias 2BOUT
Trey Yesavage SPOUT
Patrick Corbin SPOUT
Lenyn Sosa 2BOUT
Joe Mantiply RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees — model preview

Deep dive into New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays MLB game. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Check out MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays stats and odds.

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays : Over 5.5 alternate_team_totals (+230)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

🔒 The other 1 write-up for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Jays vs Yankees, or as Yankees vs Jays. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 8 October 2025 at Yankee Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks and 12 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

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