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Model picks & player props
MLB
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC)
Outdoor
Sun 23 Aug 2026, 1:35 PM ET
Toronto Blue Jays
VS
New York Yankees

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 70 markets for Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees and backs Under 2.5 hardest, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $1,400.

20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Under 2.5 total runs
Under 2.5 Total Runs
You bet$10 If it wins$140.00Best price+1300
Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win6.8%
The price says6.5%

The model graded 70 markets for Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $1,400 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 23 Aug 2026, 1:35 PM ET at Yankee Stadium.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs Under 2.5 Long-shot7% chance +1300
Total Runs Members only Long-shot33% chance Members
Spread Members only Long-shot17% chance Members
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Members only Lean55% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Lean55% chance Members
Batter - Walks × 10 props Highup to 98% Members
Batter - Runs Scored × 8 props Highup to 73% Members
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 8 props Highup to 61% Members
Batter - Singles × 8 props Highup to 66% Members
Batter - Total Bases × 2 props Highup to 67% Members
Batter - Stolen Bases × 2 props Highup to 90% Members
Batter - RBIs × 6 props Highup to 76% Members
Batter - Doubles × 6 props Highup to 87% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Toronto Blue Jays and New York Yankees last met on Sun 23 Aug 2026: New York Yankees won 8-3. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs
Under
2.5
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 67,149+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesMoneylineThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Toronto Blue Jays

  • Dylan Cease SPOut
  • Anthony Santander RFOut
  • Shane Bieber SPOut
  • Jameson Taillon SPOut
  • Rudy Martin Jr. RFOut
  • Cody Ponce SPOut
  • Patrick Corbin SPOut
  • Jonatan Clase LFOut
  • Yimi Garcia RPOut
  • Jake Bloss SPOut
  • Addison Barger RFOut
  • Jose Berrios SPOut
  • Bowden Francis SPOut

New York Yankees

  • Aaron Judge RFOut
  • Clarke Schmidt SPOut
  • Fernando Cruz RPOut
  • Kervin Castro RPOut
Availability updated Oct 3, 2:17PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 17 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability17 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Austin Wells Batter - Walks
Trent Grisham SDP Batter - Runs Scored
Kazuma Okamoto Batter - Runs Scored
Ben Rice Batter - Runs Scored
Charles McAdoo Batter - Walks

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNew York YankeesNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF6.4L5 RA4.0Home L54-1vs Toronto Blue Jays L53-2

New York Yankees moneyline form: last five 3-2, 6.4 runs/gm.

Run LineNew York Yankees run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF6.4L5 RA4.0Home L54-1vs Toronto Blue Jays L53-2

New York Yankees spread form: last five 3-2, 6.4 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue JaysNo line posted

New York Yankees total runs form: last five 3-2, 6.4 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsNew York Yankees team totalNo line posted
5.7runs we expect
L5 RF6.4L5 RA4.0Home L54-1vs Toronto Blue Jays L53-2

New York Yankees team total runs form: last five 3-2, 6.4 runs/gm.

Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees — recent results

New York Yankees have won 2 of their last 5 games; Toronto Blue Jays have won 2 of their last 5.

New York Yankees — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–4TBHome
L2–5TBAway
L0–1TBAway
W9–2BOSHome
W9–0BOSHome
Toronto Blue Jays — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W5–1CINHome
L1–5CINHome
W6–5CINHome
L2–4BALAway
L2–4BALAway

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games New York Yankees are scoring 1.0 runs per game (2-3) while Toronto Blue Jays are at 2.8 (3-2); New York Yankees pitchers are allowing 0.6 earned runs per game versus 1.4 for Toronto Blue Jays.

1.0
New York Yankees runs/G
2.8
Toronto Blue Jays runs/G
Last 5 gamesNew York YankeesToronto Blue Jays
Runs / game1.02.8
Hits / game1.44.6
Home runs / game0.40.6
Walks drawn / game0.81.4
Batter K / game2.23.2
Earned runs allowed / game0.61.4
Pitching K / game1.42.4
Walks allowed / game0.81.2
L5 record2-33-2

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees — recent meetings

These two have met 10 times recently: New York Yankees won 5, Toronto Blue Jays won 5.

DateNew York YankeesToronto Blue JaysWinner
Aug 2383New York Yankees
Aug 2234Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 2131New York Yankees
Aug 1643New York Yankees
Aug 1514Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 1413Toronto Blue Jays
Jun 1483New York Yankees
Jun 1331New York Yankees
Jun 1258Toronto Blue Jays
May 2102Toronto Blue Jays

Who’s out or in doubt

17 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New York Yankees
PlayerStatus
Aaron Judge RFOUT
Clarke Schmidt SPOUT
Fernando Cruz RPOUT
Kervin Castro RPOUT
Toronto Blue Jays
PlayerStatus
Dylan Cease SPOUT
Anthony Santander RFOUT
Shane Bieber SPOUT
Jameson Taillon SPOUT
Rudy Martin Jr. RFOUT
Cody Ponce SPOUT
Patrick Corbin SPOUT
Jonatan Clase LFOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees — model preview

Our Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees prediction for August 24, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 24, 2026 our model has run Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Brett Bateman Under 0.5 RBIs (-500), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Jays vs Yankees, or as Yankees vs Jays. The most recent game between them was Sunday 23 August 2026 at Yankee Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees head-to-head record

Final scores · 71 meetings on record
New York Yankees 36–35 across the last 71 meetings · these games average 9.4 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Sun 23 Aug 2026, Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees: the Yankees won 8-3.

DateGameScoreWinner
23 Aug 2026Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees8–3New York Yankees
22 Aug 2026Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees3–4Toronto Blue Jays
21 Aug 2026Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees3–1New York Yankees
16 Aug 2026New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays3–4New York Yankees
15 Aug 2026New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays4–1Toronto Blue Jays
14 Aug 2026New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays3–1Toronto Blue Jays
14 Jun 2026New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays3–8New York Yankees
13 Jun 2026New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays1–3New York Yankees
12 Jun 2026New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays8–5Toronto Blue Jays
21 May 2026Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees0–2Toronto Blue Jays

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 71 meetings on file.

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