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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Spencer Jones is Under 0.5 on Batter - Doubles.
On the Batter - Doubles market the model assigns a model win probability of 92%, versus the book's implied 89%, for a model edge of +2.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 3, 3:54PM UTC
MLB

Spencer Jones

NYY

+2.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Doubles Under 0.5 -833 (1.12)
+2.5% Edge
St. Louis Cardinals @ New York Yankees
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Mon 3 Aug, 11:05PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
91.8%
Implied Probability
89.3%
Model Edge
+2.5%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Doubles91.8%89.3%1.09+2.5%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Spencer Jones (NYY) Under 0.5 Doubles (-833)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

New York Yankees play St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Spencer Jones (NYY) Under 0.5 Doubles (-833). That is a Doubles bet. It was priced at -833 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

5 markets live
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsUpcoming vs STLU 1.5 -145
80%hit L10
Streak5L2082%

Spencer Jones MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared under 1.5 in 80% of the last 10 games vs STL. Current line U 1.5 at -145.

Batter - RBIsUpcoming vs STLU 0.5 -278
90%hit L10
Streak5L2091%

Spencer Jones MLB rbis: cleared under 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games vs STL. Current line U 0.5 at -278.

Batter - Runs ScoredUpcoming vs STLU 0.5 -179
70%hit L10
Streak5L2073%

Spencer Jones MLB runs scored: cleared under 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games vs STL. Current line U 0.5 at -179.

Batter - SinglesUpcoming vs STLU 0.5 -179
70%hit L10
L2073%

Spencer Jones MLB singles: cleared under 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games vs STL. Current line U 0.5 at -179.

Batter - DoublesUpcoming vs STLU 0.5 -833
80%hit L10
Streak4L2082%

Spencer Jones MLB doubles: cleared under 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games vs STL. Current line U 0.5 at -833.

Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
O 0.550%

Spencer Jones MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.520%

Spencer Jones MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.540%
O 1.510%

Spencer Jones MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Aug 26 New York Yankees @ Chicago Cubs Batter - Walks 0.5 Under -435 ✗ MISS
29 Jul 26 New York Yankees @ Chicago White Sox Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5 Over -217 ✓ HIT
29 Jul 26 New York Yankees @ Chicago White Sox Batter - RBIs 0.5 Under -294 ✗ MISS
29 Jul 26 New York Yankees @ Chicago White Sox Batter - Walks Pending

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About This Player

Spencer Jones (NYY) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Spencer Jones is Under 0.5 on Batter - Doubles. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.5% on this pick. Their next game is St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Yankees on Monday 3 August at Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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