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Model picks & player props
New York Yankees
VS
Chicago White Sox

New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 16, 10:38AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago
Outdoor
Thu 30 Jul 2026, 6:10PM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: New York Yankees (Moneyline)
The model graded 20 markets for New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $196 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 71.4%, fair odds 1.40, book price -104, model edge +20.4%. Tip-off Thu 30 Jul 2026, 6:10PM at Guaranteed Rate Field.
This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
New York Yankees -3.5 · $100 returned $530

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 693 of 1,394 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 16
Under 9.5
Kansas City Royals @ Los Angeles Angels
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $195
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
New York Yankees
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
New York YankeesMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

New York Yankees

  • Aaron Judge RFOut
  • Carlos Rodon SPOut
  • Cody Bellinger LFOut
  • Kervin Castro RPOut
  • Giancarlo Stanton DHOut
  • Clarke Schmidt SPOut

Probable pitcher

Cam Schlittler SP

Chicago White Sox

  • Davis Martin SPOut
  • Kyle Teel COut
  • Drew Thorpe SPOut
  • Joey Bart COut
  • Chris Murphy RPOut
  • Jordan Leasure RPOut
  • Prelander Berroa RPOut
  • Ky Bush SPOut
  • Mike Vasil RPOut
  • Tanner Murray LFOut
  • Brooks Baldwin LFOut

Probable pitcher

Anthony Kay SP
Availability updated Aug 15, 7:07PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 17 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability17 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineChicago White SoxNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF3.2L5 RA2.2Home L52-3vs New York Yankees L54-1

Chicago White Sox moneyline form: last five 3-2, 3.2 runs/gm.

Run LineChicago White Sox run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF3.2L5 RA2.2Home L52-3vs New York Yankees L54-1

Chicago White Sox spread form: last five 3-2, 3.2 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Chicago White Sox vs New York YankeesNo line posted

Chicago White Sox total runs form: last five 3-2, 3.2 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsChicago White Sox team totalNo line posted
2.0runs we expect
L5 RF3.2L5 RA2.2Home L52-3vs New York Yankees L54-1

Chicago White Sox team total runs form: last five 3-2, 3.2 runs/gm.

New York Yankees @ Chicago White Sox — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox — recent results

Chicago White Sox have won 3 of their last 5 games; New York Yankees have won 2 of their last 5.

Chicago White Sox — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W4–3DETAway
W9–5DETAway
L8–9CINHome
W5–0CINHome
L4–5CINHome
New York Yankees — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–4TORAway
L1–3TORAway
L0–1SEAHome
W10–5SEAHome
W4–1SEAHome

New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox — recent meetings

These two have met 7 times recently: Chicago White Sox won 3, New York Yankees won 4.

DateChicago White SoxNew York YankeesWinner
Jul 3021Chicago White Sox
Jul 2965Chicago White Sox
Jul 2823New York Yankees
Jul 2759New York Yankees
Jun 1851Chicago White Sox
Jun 17510New York Yankees
Jun 16212New York Yankees

Who’s out or in doubt

17 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Chicago White Sox
PlayerStatus
Davis Martin SPOUT
Kyle Teel COUT
Drew Thorpe SPOUT
Joey Bart COUT
Chris Murphy RPOUT
Jordan Leasure RPOUT
Prelander Berroa RPOUT
Ky Bush SPOUT
New York Yankees
PlayerStatus
Aaron Judge RFOUT
Carlos Rodon SPOUT
Cody Bellinger LFOUT
Kervin Castro RPOUT
Giancarlo Stanton DHOUT
Clarke Schmidt SPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

New York Yankees @ Chicago White Sox — model preview

Our New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox prediction for July 30, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On July 30, 2026 our model has run New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Chicago White Sox vs New York Yankees: Under 8 Total Runs (-106), which we rate LONG-SHOT confidence. We walk through all 1 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 1 write-up for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
30 Jul 26 Total Runs Under 12.5 ✓ HIT
30 Jul 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings New York Yankees 0.5 ✓ HIT
30 Jul 26 Total Runs Under 5 ✓ HIT
30 Jul 26 Spread New York Yankees +1.5 ✓ HIT
30 Jul 26 Total Runs Under 6.5 ✓ HIT
30 Jul 26 Total Runs Under 6 ✓ HIT
30 Jul 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings New York Yankees 1.5 ✓ HIT
30 Jul 26 Spread New York Yankees +2.5 ✓ HIT
30 Jul 26 Total Runs Under 5.5 ✓ HIT
30 Jul 26 Total Runs Under 7 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Yankees vs Sox, or as Sox vs Yankees. The most recent game between them was Thursday 30 July 2026 at Guaranteed Rate Field. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Last time they played

Final scores · last 7 meetings
New York Yankees 4–3 across the last 7 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
30 Jul 2026New York Yankees @ Chicago White Sox2–1Chicago White Sox
29 Jul 2026New York Yankees @ Chicago White Sox6–5Chicago White Sox
28 Jul 2026New York Yankees @ Chicago White Sox2–3New York Yankees
27 Jul 2026New York Yankees @ Chicago White Sox5–9New York Yankees
18 Jun 2026Chicago White Sox @ New York Yankees1–5Chicago White Sox
17 Jun 2026Chicago White Sox @ New York Yankees10–5New York Yankees
16 Jun 2026Chicago White Sox @ New York Yankees12–2New York Yankees
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