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MLB

Cincinnati Reds

Model-graded picks, player props and the edge on every market — with the full result history below.

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Next Game: vs St. Louis Cardinals (Away) Sat 25 Jul, 11:15PM Busch Stadium, St. Louis · Outdoor
Model updated Jul 25, 11:53AM UTC
Answer
The Cincinnati Reds model is leaning St. Louis Cardinals on the spread in the Spread market vs St. Louis Cardinals.
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Today's Game Pick

Model edge
Spread
St. Louis Cardinals -2.5
Odds: +285
Model prob: 35.4%
+9.4%
Free pick — today's headline game edge

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Calibrated Edge — Game Markets

Calibrated vs fair
MarketModel output
Total Runs - 1st 1 InningsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
SpreadProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Runs - 1st 5 InningsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
MoneylineProbability, fair odds & edge locked

Full model-edge table — 4 game markets for this team with exact probability, fair odds and edge — is ready for subscribers.

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Availability

Roster status
Updated 25 Jul 2026, 00:15 UTC · may be stale
2B
Matt McLainOUTinjury
CF
Blake DunnOUTinjury
RP
Graham AshcraftOUTinjuryTony SantillanOUTinjury
SP
Brandon WilliamsonOUTinjuryNick LodoloOUTinjury

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions
Ballpark conditions (temperature, wind direction and roof state) can move MLB run totals, and matter most in open-air parks with strong prevailing winds.
Per-game ballpark weather is pending a file→table persistence job (owner). No live park weather is shown here until that data is in the database.

Model Performance History

All results →
5
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateOpponentMarketPickResult
25 Jul 26 St. Louis Cardinals Moneyline St. Louis Cardinals ✗ MISS
25 Jul 26 St. Louis Cardinals Spread St. Louis Cardinals -7.5 ✗ MISS
25 Jul 26 St. Louis Cardinals Spread St. Louis Cardinals -6.5 ✗ MISS
25 Jul 26 St. Louis Cardinals Spread St. Louis Cardinals -2.5 ✗ MISS
25 Jul 26 St. Louis Cardinals Spread St. Louis Cardinals -3.5 ✗ MISS

Betting angles

2 markets live
Run LineSt. Louis Cardinals run line-2.5 +285+9.4% edge
+0.6proj. margin
L5 RF3.8L5 RA0.8Away L54-1ATS4-10

Cincinnati Reds spread vs St. Louis Cardinals is live and a +9.4% model edge; proj. margin +0.6.

MoneylineSt. Louis Cardinals favored (model)-118+2.3% edge
4-1L5 record
L5 RF3.8L5 RA0.8Away L54-1Win rec5-9

Cincinnati Reds moneyline vs St. Louis Cardinals is live and a +2.3% model edge; L5 record 4-1.

Total RunsGame total · Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis CardinalsNo line posted

Cincinnati Reds total runs form: last five 4-1, 3.8 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsCincinnati Reds team totalNo line posted
3.8L5 runs/gm
L5 RF3.8L5 RA0.8Away L54-1

Cincinnati Reds team total runs form: last five 4-1, 3.8 runs/gm.

Recent form (last 5 games)

Cincinnati Reds have gone 3-2 over their last 5 games, averaging 3.8 runs and 4.0 hits per game while allowing 1.6 earned runs.

3-2
Last 5
3.8
Runs / G
4.0
Hits / G
1.2
HR / G
1.8
RBI / G
1.6
ER Allowed / G
3.2
Ks / G

About This Team

Cincinnati Reds are tracked by the Bet Better model across MLB games. Their next game is against St. Louis Cardinals on Saturday 25 July at Busch Stadium. Use the data above to inform your MLB betting decisions for Cincinnati Reds.

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