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MLB

Los Angeles Angels

Model-graded picks, player props and the edge on every market — with the full result history below.

Every pick graded — see verified results
Next Game: vs Baltimore Orioles (Away) Thu 6 Aug, 4:35PM Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore · Outdoor
Model updated Aug 6, 2:15PM UTC
Answer
The Los Angeles Angels model is leaning the over in the Total Runs market vs Baltimore Orioles.
exact probability, edge and line unlock with a subscription.

Today's Game Pick

Model edge
Total Runs
Over 8.5
Odds: +320
Model prob: 55.6%
+31.8%
Free pick — today's headline game edge

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Calibrated Edge — Game Markets

Calibrated vs fair
MarketModel output
SpreadProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Total RunsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
MoneylineProbability, fair odds & edge locked
SpreadProbability, fair odds & edge locked
MoneylineProbability, fair odds & edge locked
SpreadProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Spread - 1st 5 InningsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
MoneylineProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Moneyline - 1st 5 InningsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Runs - 1st 1 InningsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Total RunsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Runs - 1st 5 InningsProbability, fair odds & edge locked

Full model-edge table — 12 game markets for this team with exact probability, fair odds and edge — is ready for subscribers.

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Availability

Roster status
Updated 5 Aug 2026, 22:35 UTC · may be stale
3B
Anthony RendonOUTinjuryYoan MoncadaOUTinjury
C
Sebastian RiveroOUTinjury
RP
Robert StephensonOUTinjurySam BachmanOUTinjury
SP
Jack KochanowiczOUTinjuryYusei KikuchiOUTinjury

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions
Ballpark conditions (temperature, wind direction and roof state) can move MLB run totals, and matter most in open-air parks with strong prevailing winds.
Per-game ballpark weather is pending a file→table persistence job (owner). No live park weather is shown here until that data is in the database.

Closing Line Value

Beat-the-close proof
Beat-Close Rate
64%
Avg CLV
+59.35%
Our tracked Los Angeles Angels picks beat the market's closing line 64% of the time, averaging +59.35% of closing-line value. Beating the close is the sharpest available proof that a pick had genuine edge.
Closing line value vs the market's fair closing price (derived signal).

Model Performance History

All results →
0
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateOpponentMarketPickResult

Betting angles

3 markets live
Total RunsGame total · Los Angeles Angels vs Baltimore OriolesOver 7 +340
69%over %
9.3proj. runs
L5 RF1.8L5 RA1.6Away L52-3

Los Angeles Angels total runs vs Baltimore Orioles is live and our model makes it 69% (HIGH); proj. runs 9.3.

Run LineLos Angeles Angels run line+1 +475
55%cover %
+0.3proj. margin
L5 RF1.8L5 RA1.6Away L52-3

Los Angeles Angels spread vs Baltimore Orioles is live and our model makes it 55% (LEAN); proj. margin +0.3.

MoneylineLos Angeles Angels to win+650
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.8L5 RA1.6Away L52-3Free board6-6

Los Angeles Angels moneyline vs Baltimore Orioles is live and our model makes it 48% (LONG-SHOT); L5 record 2-3.

Team Total RunsLos Angeles Angels team totalNo line posted
1.8L5 runs/gm
L5 RF1.8L5 RA1.6Away L52-3

Los Angeles Angels team total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

Recent form (last 5 games)

Los Angeles Angels have gone 1-4 over their last 5 games, averaging 1.6 runs and 2.4 hits per game while allowing 1.4 earned runs.

1-4
Last 5
1.6
Runs / G
2.4
Hits / G
0.2
HR / G
0.8
RBI / G
1.4
ER Allowed / G
3.2
Ks / G

About This Team

Los Angeles Angels are tracked by the Bet Better model across MLB games. Their next game is against Baltimore Orioles on Thursday 6 August at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Use the data above to inform your MLB betting decisions for Los Angeles Angels.

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