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The latest Bet Better model pick for Ben Rice is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On the Batter - Total Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 82%, versus the book's implied 55%, for a model edge of +27.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 22, 1:08PM UTC
MLB

Ben Rice

NYY

+27.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -120 (1.83)
+27.5% Edge
Pittsburgh Pirates @ New York Yankees
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Wed 22 Jul, 5:05PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
82.1%
Implied Probability
54.6%
Model Edge
+27.5%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases82.1%—54.6%1.22+27.5%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games2/3
Last 10 games2/3

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AI Analysis

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Ben Rice (NYY) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-120)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Yankees host the Pirates, all eyes will be on Ben Rice, but I’m leaning toward the ‘Under 1.5’ total bases for him. While Rice has shown flashes of potential, he’s struggled against right-handed pitching, and Pittsburgh’s Mitch Keller brings a solid arsenal to the mound. Keller's been particularly effective lately, boasting a 3.45 ERA, which has stifled opposing bats. Moreover, the Pirates' defense has tightened up, limiting opponents to a low batting average, especially in the late innings. With New York's lineup still grappling with inconsistency, Rice might find himself in a tough spot against Keller's deft mix of fastballs and sliders. Given his recent performance and the matchup dynamics, it’s hard to see Rice making substantial noise tonight. Betting the ‘Under’ aligns well with the current trends and pitching form, making this a compelling choice as the game unfolds.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Betting angles

1 market live
Batter - Total BasesUpcoming vs PITU 1.5 -120+27.5% edge
70%hit L10
L2080%

Ben Rice MLB total bases: cleared under 1.5 in 70% of the last 10 games vs PIT. Current line U 1.5 at -120 (+27.5% model edge).

Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.540%
O 1.520%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 1 · hi 2 · lo 0
20111

Ben Rice MLB hitsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%

Ben Rice MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
L2060%
O 0.560%
O 1.530%
O 2.530%
O 3.530%
O 4.510%

Ben Rice MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.530%
O 1.510%

Ben Rice MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
O 0.550%
O 1.510%

Ben Rice MLB runs scored: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%
O 1.510%

Ben Rice MLB singlesseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
17 Jul 26 Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Yankees Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -152 ✓ HIT
12 Jul 26 New York Yankees @ Washington Nationals Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -244 ✓ HIT
10 Jul 26 New York Yankees @ Washington Nationals Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -233 ✓ HIT
03 Jul 26 Minnesota Twins @ New York Yankees Batter - Hits — — — Pending
29 Jun 26 Detroit Tigers @ New York Yankees Batter - Hits — — — Pending
19 Jun 26 Cincinnati Reds @ New York Yankees Batter - Hits — — — Pending

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About This Player

Ben Rice (NYY) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ben Rice is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +27.5% on this pick. Their next game is Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Yankees on Wednesday 22 July at Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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