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Model picks & player props
Colorado Rockies
VS
New York Yankees

Colorado Rockies vs New York Yankees Picks & Predictions

Model updated Oct 1, 8:14AM UTC

Our model graded 70 markets for Colorado Rockies vs New York Yankees and backs Under 2.5 hardest, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $1,600.

MLB
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC)
Outdoor
Thu 10 Sep 2026, 11:05PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 2.5 Total Runs +1500

The model graded 70 markets for Colorado Rockies vs New York Yankees (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $1,600 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 10 Sep 2026, 11:05PM at Yankee Stadium.

Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win4.9%
The price says6.3%
Best price+1500
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs Under 2.5 Long-shot5% chance +1500
Total Runs Members only Long-shot9% chance Members
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Members only Long-shot16% chance Members
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Members only Lean50% chance Members
Spread Members only Lean51% chance Members
Batter - Doubles × 2 props Highup to 74% Members
Batter - Total Bases × 4 props Highup to 65% Members
Batter - RBIs × 4 props Highup to 73% Members
Batter - Stolen Bases × 3 props Highup to 88% Members
Batter - Walks × 12 props Highup to 98% Members
Pitcher - Walks × 1 prop Highup to 76% Members
Batter - Runs Scored × 5 props Leanup to 56% Members
Batter - Hits × 10 props Highup to 81% Members
Batter - Home Runs × 1 prop Long-shotup to 18% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Colorado Rockies and New York Yankees last met on Thu 10 Sep 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 131 of 230 right (mlb pitcher outs unders)
This bet type · last timeSep 30
Payton Tolle Under 17.5
Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $181
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs
Under
2.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Beat the close

Closing-line value · logged
57%

Our picks beat the closing line here

On our logged picks for this event, we beat the market's closing number 57% of the time — average closing-line value +1.2%. Closing-line value is the sharpest public measure of whether a pick had real edge.

Avg CLV +1.2%

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Colorado Rockies

  • Willi Castro 2BOut
  • Chase Dollander SPOut
  • Welinton Herrera RPOut
  • McCade Brown SPOut
  • RJ Petit RPOut
  • Pierson Ohl RPOut
  • Kris Bryant DHOut

New York Yankees

  • Clarke Schmidt SPOut
  • Ryan Weathers SPOut
  • Aaron Judge RFOut
  • Fernando Cruz RPOut
  • Kervin Castro RPOut

Probable pitcher

Max Fried SP
Availability updated Oct 1, 12:00AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Colorado Rockies vs New York Yankees: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 12 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability12 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Adael Amador Batter - Doubles
Jake McCarthy COL Batter - Doubles
Adael Amador Batter - Total Bases
Jake McCarthy COL Batter - Total Bases
Adael Amador Batter - RBIs

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNew York YankeesNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF7.0L5 RA5.0Home L52-3vs Colorado Rockies L53-2Free board27-25

New York Yankees moneyline form: last five 3-2, 7.0 runs/gm.

Run LineNew York Yankees run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF7.0L5 RA5.0Home L52-3vs Colorado Rockies L53-2

New York Yankees spread form: last five 3-2, 7.0 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · New York Yankees vs Colorado RockiesNo line posted

New York Yankees total runs form: last five 3-2, 7.0 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsNew York Yankees team totalNo line posted
6.7runs we expect
L5 RF7.0L5 RA5.0Home L52-3vs Colorado Rockies L53-2

New York Yankees team total runs form: last five 3-2, 7.0 runs/gm.

Colorado Rockies @ New York Yankees — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Colorado Rockies at New York Yankees — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Colorado Rockies vs New York Yankees — recent results

New York Yankees have won 4 of their last 5 games; Colorado Rockies have won 1 of their last 5.

New York Yankees — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W9–2BOSHome
W9–0BOSHome
W6–3BALHome
L2–10BALHome
W6–4TBHome
Colorado Rockies — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–4CHWAway
W9–6CHWAway
L1–6CHWAway
L3–5ARIHome
L8–12ARIHome

Colorado Rockies vs New York Yankees — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games New York Yankees are scoring 1.6 runs per game (2-3) while Colorado Rockies are at 3.2 (4-1); New York Yankees pitchers are allowing 0.8 earned runs per game versus 1.0 for Colorado Rockies.

1.6
New York Yankees runs/G
3.2
Colorado Rockies runs/G
Last 5 gamesNew York YankeesColorado Rockies
Runs / game1.63.2
Hits / game3.22.8
Home runs / game0.40.4
Walks drawn / game2.00.8
Batter K / game2.61.6
Earned runs allowed / game0.81.0
Pitching K / game2.82.4
Walks allowed / game0.80.4
L5 record2-34-1

Colorado Rockies vs New York Yankees — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: New York Yankees won 3, Colorado Rockies won 0.

DateNew York YankeesColorado RockiesWinner
Sep 10103New York Yankees
Sep 961New York Yankees
Sep 853New York Yankees

Who’s out or in doubt

12 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New York Yankees
PlayerStatus
Clarke Schmidt SPOUT
Ryan Weathers SPOUT
Aaron Judge RFOUT
Fernando Cruz RPOUT
Kervin Castro RPOUT
Colorado Rockies
PlayerStatus
Willi Castro 2BOUT
Chase Dollander SPOUT
Welinton Herrera RPOUT
McCade Brown SPOUT
RJ Petit RPOUT
Pierson Ohl RPOUT
Kris Bryant DHOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Colorado Rockies @ New York Yankees — model preview

Our Colorado Rockies at New York Yankees prediction for September 11, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On September 11, 2026 our model has run Colorado Rockies at New York Yankees and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Kyle Karros Under 0.5 RBIs (-417), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
10 Sep 26 Spread New York Yankees -1.5 ✓ HIT
10 Sep 26 Spread New York Yankees -2 ✓ HIT
10 Sep 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 2.5 ✓ HIT
10 Sep 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 3.5 ✓ HIT
10 Sep 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 4.5 ✓ HIT
10 Sep 26 Spread New York Yankees -2.5 ✓ HIT
10 Sep 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Colorado Rockies 3.5 ✓ HIT
10 Sep 26 Moneyline New York Yankees ✓ HIT
10 Sep 26 Spread New York Yankees -3.5 ✓ HIT
10 Sep 26 Spread New York Yankees -4 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Colorado Rockies vs New York Yankees in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Rockies vs Yankees, or as Yankees vs Rockies. The most recent game between them was Thursday 10 September 2026 at Yankee Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 12 meetings on record
New York Yankees 8–4 across the last 12 meetings · these games average 9.7 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
10 Sep 2026Colorado Rockies @ New York Yankees10–3New York Yankees
9 Sep 2026Colorado Rockies @ New York Yankees6–1New York Yankees
8 Sep 2026Colorado Rockies @ New York Yankees5–3New York Yankees
25 May 2025New York Yankees @ Colorado Rockies4–5New York Yankees
24 May 2025New York Yankees @ Colorado Rockies1–13New York Yankees
23 May 2025New York Yankees @ Colorado Rockies3–2Colorado Rockies
25 Aug 2024Colorado Rockies @ New York Yankees10–3New York Yankees
24 Aug 2024Colorado Rockies @ New York Yankees2–9Colorado Rockies
23 Aug 2024Colorado Rockies @ New York Yankees3–0New York Yankees
16 Jul 2023New York Yankees @ Colorado Rockies8–7Colorado Rockies

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 12 meetings on file.

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