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MLB

New York Mets

Today's best bet on this team, checked by our model — with the full result history below.

Every pick graded — see verified results
Next Game: vs Baltimore Orioles (Home) Wed 16 Sep, 11:10PM Citi Field, Queens (NYC) · Outdoor

Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 53 bookmakers compared
Winner
Orioles2.30+130GTbets
New York Mets1.75-133Kalshi
Total runs
Over8.51.88-114Bally Bet
Under8.52.13+113Kalshi

Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets odds by bookmaker

53 books · best price in green
BookOrioles winNew York Mets winNew York Mets -1.5Over 8.5Under 8.5
1xBet2.22+1221.75-1332.49+1491.87-1152.06+106
888sport2.20+1201.67-1492.45+1451.80-1252.00+100
Bally Bet2.23+1231.68-1472.38+1381.88-1141.93-108
BetAnySports2.30+1301.68-1472.40+1401.83-1202.00+100
BetMGM2.18+1181.69-1452.40+1401.83-1202.00+100
BetOnline2.27+1271.71-1412.45+1451.83-1202.00+100
betPARX2.23+1231.68-1472.38+1381.88-1141.93-108
BetRivers2.23+1231.68-1472.38+1381.88-1141.93-108
Betsson2.16+1161.69-1452.32+132——
BetUS2.26+1261.71-1412.44+1441.83-1202.00+100
Bovada2.20+1201.70-1432.45+145——
Coolbet2.17+1171.70-1432.45+1451.82-1222.00+100
DraftKings2.23+1231.67-1492.41+1411.82-1222.01+101
ESPN BET2.20+1201.71-1412.45+1451.83-1202.00+100

Since the market opened: New York Mets to win opened 1.71, best now 1.77; the over 8.5 opened 1.87, best now 1.88 (decimal, best book).

Model updated Sep 16, 8:12AM UTC
Answer
The New York Mets model is leaning Baltimore Orioles on the spread in the Spread market vs Baltimore Orioles.
model hit rate 62.5% across 32 settled New York Mets picks · the full numbers on every bet unlock with a subscription.

Scoring profile

Points scored per game6.7
Points allowed per game5.2

Across the last 10 completed games on record.

Today's Game Pick

Our call
Spread
Baltimore Orioles -2.5
Odds: +285
Our numbers say this wins about 24 times in 100 · a $100 bet returns about $385 if it lands
-5.8%
Free pick — today's headline bet on this team

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Upcoming Games

Next 1
DateOpponentWhereVenuePrediction
Wed 16 SepBaltimore OriolesHomeCiti FieldPreview →

Recent Results

6–4 in the last 10
DateOpponentWhereScoreResultRecap
14 SepBaltimore OriolesHome1–2LRecap →
13 SepNew York YankeesAway0–2LRecap →
12 SepNew York YankeesAway12–2WRecap →
11 SepNew York YankeesAway4–6LRecap →
9 SepMiami MarlinsAway15–14WRecap →
8 SepMiami MarlinsAway7–5WRecap →
7 SepMiami MarlinsAway9–4WRecap →
6 SepSan Francisco GiantsHome4–2WRecap →
5 SepSan Francisco GiantsHome5–9LRecap →
4 SepSan Francisco GiantsHome10–6WRecap →

Every Game Bet, Graded

Our number vs the price
MarketModel output
Total RunsWith Pro
MoneylineWith Pro
Total Runs - 1st 5 InningsWith Pro
SpreadWith Pro
SpreadWith Pro
Total Runs - 1st 1 InningsWith Pro

The model has graded 6 game bets on this team — which ones it backs, and how much to put on, is ready for subscribers.

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Availability

Roster status
Updated 15 Sep 2026, 23:10 UTC · may be stale
DH
Jorge PolancoOUTinjury
RP
Cionel PerezOUTinjuryDevin WilliamsOUTinjuryReed GarrettOUTinjury
SP
Tylor MegillOUTinjury

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions
Ballpark conditions (temperature, wind direction and roof state) can move MLB run totals, and matter most in open-air parks with strong prevailing winds.
Per-game ballpark weather is pending a file→table persistence job (owner). No live park weather is shown here until that data is in the database.

Model Performance History

All results →
32
Total Picks
62.5%
Hit Rate
Total Runs (100% hit)
Highest Hit-Rate Market

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateOpponentMarketPickResult
15 Sep 26 Baltimore Orioles Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 5.5 ✗ MISS
15 Sep 26 Baltimore Orioles Spread - 1st 5 Innings New York Mets -1.5 ✗ MISS
15 Sep 26 Baltimore Orioles Total Runs Over 8 ✓ HIT
15 Sep 26 Baltimore Orioles Total Runs Over 10 ✓ HIT
15 Sep 26 Baltimore Orioles Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 4.5 ✓ HIT
15 Sep 26 Baltimore Orioles Total Runs Over 8.5 ✓ HIT
15 Sep 26 Baltimore Orioles Total Runs Over 9.5 ✓ HIT
15 Sep 26 Baltimore Orioles Spread Baltimore Orioles -2.5 ✗ MISS
15 Sep 26 Baltimore Orioles Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings Over 0.5 ✓ HIT
15 Sep 26 Baltimore Orioles Spread Baltimore Orioles -3.5 ✗ MISS
15 Sep 26 Baltimore Orioles Spread - 1st 5 Innings New York Mets -0.5 ✓ HIT
15 Sep 26 Baltimore Orioles Total Runs Over 11.5 ✓ HIT
15 Sep 26 Baltimore Orioles Spread Baltimore Orioles -1.5 ✓ HIT
15 Sep 26 Baltimore Orioles Total Runs Over 7.5 ✓ HIT
15 Sep 26 Baltimore Orioles Spread - 1st 5 Innings New York Mets -2.5 ✗ MISS

Betting angles

3 markets live
Total RunsGame total · New York Mets vs Baltimore OriolesUnder 2.5 +1700
8.7proj. runs
L5 RF6.4L5 RA5.2Home L52-3Free board24-24

New York Mets total runs vs Baltimore Orioles is live and our model makes it 7% (LONG-SHOT); proj. runs 8.7.

MoneylineBaltimore Orioles favored (model)+123
2-3L5 record
L5 RF6.4L5 RA5.2Home L52-3

New York Mets moneyline vs Baltimore Orioles is live (LONG-SHOT); L5 record 2-3.

Run LineNew York Mets run line-3.5 +400
-0.1proj. margin
L5 RF6.4L5 RA5.2Home L52-3

New York Mets spread vs Baltimore Orioles is live and our model makes it 13% (LONG-SHOT); proj. margin -0.1.

Team Total RunsNew York Mets team totalNo line posted
6.4L5 runs/gm
L5 RF6.4L5 RA5.2Home L52-3

New York Mets team total runs form: last five 2-3, 6.4 runs/gm.

Recent form (last 5 games)

New York Mets have gone 2-3 over their last 5 games, averaging 6.4 runs and 9.0 hits per game while allowing 5.0 earned runs.

2-3
Last 5
6.4
Runs / G
9.0
Hits / G
2.0
HR / G
6.4
RBI / G
5.0
ER Allowed / G
8.2
Ks / G

About This Team

New York Mets are tracked by the Bet Better model across MLB games. The model has hit at a rate of 62.5% on tracked New York Mets picks. The market where New York Mets picks have landed most often is Total Runs (100% hit) — a hit rate, not a measure of profit. Their next game is against Baltimore Orioles on Wednesday 16 September at Citi Field. Use the data above to inform your MLB betting decisions for New York Mets.

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