MLB

New York Mets

Model-graded picks, player props and the edge on every market — with the full result history below.

Every pick graded — see verified results

Next Game: vs Pittsburgh Pirates (Away) Fri 7 Aug, 10:40PM PNC Park, Pittsburgh · Outdoor

Model updated Aug 7, 2:07AM UTC

Answer

The New York Mets model is leaning Pittsburgh Pirates on the spread in the Spread market vs Pittsburgh Pirates.

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Today's Game Pick

Model edge

Spread

Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5

Odds: +150

Model prob: 45.1%

+5.1%

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Calibrated Edge — Game Markets

Calibrated vs fair

Market	Model output
Total Runs	Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Spread	Probability, fair odds & edge locked
Moneyline	Probability, fair odds & edge locked

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Availability

Roster status

Updated 6 Aug 2026, 17:10 UTC · may be stale

1B

Mark VientosOUTinjury

LF

Juan SotoOUTinjury

RP

Austin WarrenOUTinjuryCionel PerezOUTinjuryJustin HagenmanOUTinjuryReed GarrettOUTinjury

SP

Tylor MegillOUTinjury

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions

Ballpark conditions (temperature, wind direction and roof state) can move MLB run totals, and matter most in open-air parks with strong prevailing winds.

Per-game ballpark weather is pending a file→table persistence job (owner). No live park weather is shown here until that data is in the database.

Model Performance History

All results →

0

Total Picks

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Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Date	Opponent	Market	Pick	Result

Betting angles

3 markets live

Total RunsRun LineMoneylineTeam Total Runs

Total RunsGame total · New York Mets vs Pittsburgh PiratesOver 8.5 -102

68%over %

10.7proj. runs

L5 RF3.4L5 RA1.0Away L54-1

New York Mets total runs vs Pittsburgh Pirates is live and our model makes it 68% (HIGH); proj. runs 10.7.

Run LinePittsburgh Pirates run line-1.5 +155

+0.9proj. margin

L5 RF3.4L5 RA1.0Away L54-1

New York Mets spread vs Pittsburgh Pirates is live (LONG-SHOT); proj. margin +0.9.

MoneylinePittsburgh Pirates favored (model)-143

3-2L5 record

L5 RF3.4L5 RA1.0Away L54-1

New York Mets moneyline vs Pittsburgh Pirates is live (LEAN); L5 record 3-2.

Team Total RunsNew York Mets team totalNo line posted

3.4L5 runs/gm

L5 RF3.4L5 RA1.0Away L54-1

New York Mets team total runs form: last five 3-2, 3.4 runs/gm.

Recent form

Recent form (last 5 games)

New York Mets have gone 2-3 over their last 5 games, averaging 2.0 runs and 2.2 hits per game while allowing 1.2 earned runs.

2-3

Last 5

2.0

Runs / G

2.2

Hits / G

0.6

HR / G

1.4

RBI / G

1.2

ER Allowed / G

2.0

Ks / G

About This Team

New York Mets are tracked by the Bet Better model across MLB games. Their next game is against Pittsburgh Pirates on Friday 7 August at PNC Park. Use the data above to inform your MLB betting decisions for New York Mets.

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