MLB

New York Mets

Today's best bet on this team, checked by our model — with the full result history below.

Every pick graded — see verified results

Next Game: vs Baltimore Orioles (Home) Wed 16 Sep, 11:10PM Citi Field, Queens (NYC) · Outdoor

Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 54 bookmakers compared

Winner

Orioles2.30+130GTbets

New York Mets1.75-133Kalshi

Total runs

Over8.51.92-108Kalshi

Under8.52.06+1061xBet

Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets odds by bookmaker

54 books · best price in green

Book	Orioles win	New York Mets win	New York Mets -1.5	Over 8.5	Under 8.5
1xBet	2.22+122	1.75-133	2.49+149	1.87-115	2.06+106
888sport	2.20+120	1.67-149	2.45+145	1.80-125	2.00+100
Bally Bet	2.18+118	1.70-143	2.43+143	1.85-118	1.96-104
BetAnySports	2.30+130	1.68-147	2.40+140	1.83-120	2.00+100
BetMGM	2.20+120	1.69-145	2.40+140	1.83-120	2.00+100
BetOnline	2.27+127	1.71-141	2.45+145	1.83-120	2.00+100
betPARX	2.18+118	1.70-143	2.43+143	1.85-118	1.96-104
BetRivers	2.20+120	1.70-143	2.43+143	1.85-118	1.96-104
Betsson	2.18+118	1.68-147	2.32+132	—	—
BetUS	2.26+126	1.71-141	2.44+144	1.83-120	2.00+100
Bovada	2.19+119	1.70-143	2.45+145	—	—
Coolbet	2.17+117	1.70-143	2.45+145	1.82-122	2.00+100
DraftKings	2.23+123	1.67-149	2.41+141	1.82-122	2.01+101
ESPN BET	2.20+120	1.71-141	2.45+145	1.83-120	2.00+100

Since the market opened: New York Mets to win opened 1.71, best now 1.77; the over 8.5 opened 1.87, best now 1.92 (decimal, best book).

Model updated Sep 16, 6:58AM UTC

Answer

The New York Mets model is leaning Baltimore Orioles on the spread in the Spread market vs Baltimore Orioles.

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Scoring profile

Points scored per game6.7

Points allowed per game5.2

Across the last 10 completed games on record.

Today's Game Pick

Our call

Spread

Baltimore Orioles -5.5

Odds: +900

Our numbers say this wins about 8 times in 100 · a $100 bet returns about $1,000 if it lands

-3.9%

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Upcoming Games

Next 1

Date	Opponent	Where	Venue	Prediction
Wed 16 Sep	Baltimore Orioles	Home	Citi Field	Preview →

Recent Results

6–4 in the last 10

Date	Opponent	Where	Score	Result	Recap
14 Sep	Baltimore Orioles	Home	1–2	L	Recap →
13 Sep	New York Yankees	Away	0–2	L	Recap →
12 Sep	New York Yankees	Away	12–2	W	Recap →
11 Sep	New York Yankees	Away	4–6	L	Recap →
9 Sep	Miami Marlins	Away	15–14	W	Recap →
8 Sep	Miami Marlins	Away	7–5	W	Recap →
7 Sep	Miami Marlins	Away	9–4	W	Recap →
6 Sep	San Francisco Giants	Home	4–2	W	Recap →
5 Sep	San Francisco Giants	Home	5–9	L	Recap →
4 Sep	San Francisco Giants	Home	10–6	W	Recap →

Every Game Bet, Graded

Our number vs the price

Market	Model output
Total Runs	With Pro
Moneyline	With Pro
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings	With Pro
Spread	With Pro
Spread	With Pro
Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings	With Pro

The model has graded 6 game bets on this team — which ones it backs, and how much to put on, is ready for subscribers.

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Availability

Roster status

Updated 15 Sep 2026, 23:10 UTC

DH

Jorge PolancoOUTinjury

RP

Cionel PerezOUTinjuryDevin WilliamsOUTinjuryReed GarrettOUTinjury

SP

Tylor MegillOUTinjury

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions

Ballpark conditions (temperature, wind direction and roof state) can move MLB run totals, and matter most in open-air parks with strong prevailing winds.

Per-game ballpark weather is pending a file→table persistence job (owner). No live park weather is shown here until that data is in the database.

Betting angles

3 markets live

Total RunsMoneylineRun LineTeam Total Runs

Total RunsGame total · New York Mets vs Baltimore OriolesUnder 2.5 +1700

8.7proj. runs

L5 RF6.4L5 RA5.2Home L52-3

New York Mets total runs vs Baltimore Orioles is live and our model makes it 7% (LONG-SHOT); proj. runs 8.7.

MoneylineBaltimore Orioles favored (model)+123

2-3L5 record

L5 RF6.4L5 RA5.2Home L52-3

New York Mets moneyline vs Baltimore Orioles is live (LONG-SHOT); L5 record 2-3.

Run LineNew York Mets run line-3.5 +400

-0.1proj. margin

L5 RF6.4L5 RA5.2Home L52-3

New York Mets spread vs Baltimore Orioles is live and our model makes it 13% (LONG-SHOT); proj. margin -0.1.

Team Total RunsNew York Mets team totalNo line posted

6.4L5 runs/gm

L5 RF6.4L5 RA5.2Home L52-3

New York Mets team total runs form: last five 2-3, 6.4 runs/gm.

Recent form

Recent form (last 5 games)

New York Mets have gone 2-3 over their last 5 games, averaging 6.4 runs and 9.0 hits per game while allowing 5.0 earned runs.

2-3

Last 5

6.4

Runs / G

9.0

Hits / G

2.0

HR / G

6.4

RBI / G

5.0

ER Allowed / G

8.2

Ks / G

About This Team

New York Mets are tracked by the Bet Better model across MLB games. Their next game is against Baltimore Orioles on Wednesday 16 September at Citi Field. Use the data above to inform your MLB betting decisions for New York Mets.

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