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MLB

Toronto Blue Jays

Today's best bet on this team, checked by our model — with the full result history below.

Every pick graded — see verified results
Next Game: vs Baltimore Orioles (Home) Fri 11 Sep, 11:07PM Rogers Centre, Toronto · Indoor

Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 19 bookmakers compared
Winner
Orioles2.13+113Kalshi
Jays1.85-117Kalshi
Total runs
Over8.52.00+100Kalshi
Under8.51.96-104Kalshi

Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays odds by bookmaker

19 books · best price in green
BookOrioles winJays winJays -1.5Over 8.5Under 8.5
Kalshi2.13+1131.85-1172.70+1702.00+1001.96-104
Polymarket2.20+1201.84-120—1.98-1022.02+102
BetMGM——2.55+155——
BetOnline——2.65+165——
BetUS——2.64+164——
Bovada—————
DraftKings——2.63+163——
ESPN BET——2.70+170——
Fanatics——2.60+160——
FanDuel—————
Fliff——2.55+155——
Hard Rock Bet——2.65+165——
LowVig——2.66+166——
MyBookie——2.57+157——

Since the market opened: Jays to win opened 1.80, best now 1.85; the over 8.5 opened 1.91, best now 2.00 (decimal, best book).

The recordOur formula’s best MLB market: mlb batter home runs overs · 26 of 140 · +$1,584
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Model updated Sep 11, 1:18AM UTC
Answer
The Toronto Blue Jays model is leaning the over in the Total Runs market vs Baltimore Orioles.
the full numbers on every bet unlock with a subscription.

Scoring profile

Points scored per game4.8
Points allowed per game3.0

Across the last 10 completed games on record.

Today's Game Pick

Our call
Total Runs
Over 8.5
Odds: -104
Our numbers say this wins about 49 times in 100 · a $100 bet returns about $196 if it lands
+6.0%
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Upcoming Games

Next 1
DateOpponentWhereVenuePrediction
Fri 11 SepBaltimore OriolesHomeRogers CentrePreview →

Recent Results

6–4 in the last 10
DateOpponentWhereScoreResultRecap
9 SepAthleticsAway4–2WRecap →
9 SepAthleticsAway0–2LRecap →
8 SepAthleticsAway5–6LRecap →
6 SepKansas City RoyalsAway1–6LRecap →
5 SepKansas City RoyalsAway9–2WRecap →
5 SepKansas City RoyalsAway4–3WRecap →
3 SepCleveland GuardiansAway6–3WRecap →
2 SepCleveland GuardiansAway11–0WRecap →
1 SepCleveland GuardiansAway1–6LRecap →
30 AugSeattle MarinersHome7–0WRecap →

Every Game Bet, Graded

Our number vs the price
MarketModel output
SpreadWith Pro
Moneyline - 1st 5 InningsWith Pro
Total RunsWith Pro
MoneylineWith Pro
Spread - 1st 5 InningsWith Pro
Total Runs - 1st 1 InningsWith Pro

The model has graded 6 game bets on this team — which ones it backs, and how much to put on, is ready for subscribers.

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Availability

Roster status
Updated 10 Sep 2026, 15:38 UTC · may be stale
2B
Luis UriasOUTinjury
LF
Jonatan ClaseOUTinjury
RF
Addison BargerOUTinjuryAnthony SantanderOUTinjury
RP
Yimi GarciaOUTinjury
SP
Bowden FrancisOUTinjuryCody PonceOUTinjuryJake BlossOUTinjuryJameson TaillonOUTinjuryJose BerriosOUTinjuryPatrick CorbinOUTinjuryShane BieberOUTinjuryTrey YesavageOUTinjury
DH
George SpringerDAY-TO-DAYinjury

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions
Ballpark conditions (temperature, wind direction and roof state) can move MLB run totals, and matter most in open-air parks with strong prevailing winds.
Per-game ballpark weather is pending a file→table persistence job (owner). No live park weather is shown here until that data is in the database.

Cashed picks for this team

All results →
DateOpponentMarketPickResult
06 Sep 26 Kansas City Royals Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 2.5 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 26 Kansas City Royals Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 5.5 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 26 Kansas City Royals Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings Over 0.5 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 26 Kansas City Royals Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 3.5 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 26 Kansas City Royals Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 4.5 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 26 Kansas City Royals Total Runs Over 6.5 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Kansas City Royals Spread Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Kansas City Royals Total Runs Under 11 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Kansas City Royals Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Under 8.5 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Kansas City Royals Total Runs Over 6.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

Betting angles

3 markets live
Run LineToronto Blue Jays run line+1.5 -204
81%cover %
+2.2proj. margin
L5 RF1.6L5 RA2.2Home L52-3

Toronto Blue Jays spread vs Baltimore Orioles is live and our model makes it 81% (HIGH); proj. margin +2.2.

Total RunsGame total · Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore OriolesOver 9.5 +152
10.4proj. runs
L5 RF1.6L5 RA2.2Home L52-3

Toronto Blue Jays total runs vs Baltimore Orioles is live and our model makes it 47% (LONG-SHOT); proj. runs 10.4.

MoneylineToronto Blue Jays to win-120
59%model win %
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.6L5 RA2.2Home L52-3Free board17-14

Toronto Blue Jays moneyline vs Baltimore Orioles is live and our model makes it 59% (LEAN); L5 record 2-3.

Team Total RunsToronto Blue Jays team totalNo line posted
1.6L5 runs/gm
L5 RF1.6L5 RA2.2Home L52-3

Toronto Blue Jays team total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.6 runs/gm.

Recent form (last 5 games)

Toronto Blue Jays have gone 4-1 over their last 5 games, averaging 4.8 runs and 4.4 hits per game while allowing 1.2 earned runs.

4-1
Last 5
4.8
Runs / G
4.4
Hits / G
0.2
HR / G
3.2
RBI / G
1.2
ER Allowed / G
0.4
Ks / G

About This Team

Toronto Blue Jays are tracked by the Bet Better model across MLB games. Their next game is against Baltimore Orioles on Friday 11 September at Rogers Centre. Use the data above to inform your MLB betting decisions for Toronto Blue Jays.

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