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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jose Caballero is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases.
On Batter - Stolen Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 89 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 89%, implied 85%, edge +3.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 Hlanded 6 of the last 10
Over 0.50 Hlanded 6 of the last 10
Over 0.50 Hlanded 6 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Aug 30, 5:23PM UTC
MLB

Jose Caballero

TBR

+3.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Stolen Bases Under 0.5 -588 (1.17) · $100→$117
+3.7% Edge
Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Sun 28 Sep, 7:05PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 935 of 1,976 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
89 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 89.2% · the book's price implies 85.5% · gap +3.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Stolen Bases89.2%—85.5%1.12+3.7%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Jose Caballero (TBR) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-588)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 0.5 bet for Jose Caballero in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a solid choice given his recent performance and current streaks. Caballero's overall average for stolen bases in the last five games is 0.4 and specifically on away games, it drops to 0.2. When playing against the Yankees, his stolen base average is even lower at 0. His current hit streak for away games is also at 0, indicating he's not in his best form when playing outside his home field. Furthermore, the Yankees have not caught any of the last five attempted steals, showing a strong defensive strategy that could limit Caballero's opportunities. These factors suggest a lower likelihood of Caballero stealing a base in the upcoming game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Jose Caballero is averaging 0.8 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.2 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

0.8
Hits
0.0
HR
0.2
RBI
0.8
Runs
0.4
Walks
1.4
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Total Bases

Jose Caballero has gone over 1.5 total bases in 50% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o1.550%
o2.540%
o3.510%
o4.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Jose Caballero is averaging 0.8 hits per game over his last 5 and 0.2 in away games, including his recent form against NYY.

0.8
Hits · Overall
0.2
Hits · Away
1.0
Hits · vs NYY
0.0
HR · Overall
0.0
HR · Away
0.2
HR · vs NYY
Quick answers:How many home runs does José Caballero hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jose Caballero (TBR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jose Caballero is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.7% on this pick. Their next game is Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees on Sunday 28 September at Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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