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MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks

Model-graded picks, player props and the edge on every market — with the full result history below.

Every pick graded — see verified results
Next Game: vs St. Louis Cardinals (Home) Sat 18 Jul, 8:10PM Chase Field, Phoenix · Indoor
Model updated Jul 18, 8:59AM UTC
Answer
The Arizona Diamondbacks model is leaning Arizona Diamondbacks on the spread in the Spread market vs St. Louis Cardinals.
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Today's Game Pick

Model edge
Spread
Arizona Diamondbacks -2
Odds: +800
Model prob: 35.0%
+23.9%
Free pick — today's headline game edge

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Calibrated Edge — Game Markets

Calibrated vs fair
MarketModel output
SpreadProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Runs - 1st 1 InningsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Total RunsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
MoneylineProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Total RunsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
SpreadProbability, fair odds & edge locked

Full model-edge table — 6 game markets for this team with exact probability, fair odds and edge — is ready for subscribers.

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Availability

Roster status
Updated 18 Jul 2026, 01:40 UTC
LF
Jordan LawlarOUTinjuryTommy TroyOUTinjury
RP
A.J. PukOUTinjuryAndrew SaalfrankOUTinjuryCristian MenaOUTinjuryJustin MartinezOUTinjury
SP
Blake WalstonOUTinjuryCorbin BurnesOUTinjuryMichael SorokaOUTinjuryRyne NelsonOUTinjuryZac GallenOUTinjury

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions
Ballpark conditions (temperature, wind direction and roof state) can move MLB run totals, and matter most in open-air parks with strong prevailing winds.
Per-game ballpark weather is pending a file→table persistence job (owner). No live park weather is shown here until that data is in the database.

Model Performance History

All results →
1
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate
DateOpponentMarketPickResult
18 Jul 26 St. Louis Cardinals Moneyline Arizona Diamondbacks ✗ MISS

Betting angles

3 markets live
Run LineArizona Diamondbacks run line-2 +800+23.9% edge
+0.2proj. margin
L5 RF2.8L5 RA1.4Home L54-1

Arizona Diamondbacks spread vs St. Louis Cardinals is live with a model 35% read and a +23.9% model edge; proj. margin +0.2.

Total RunsGame total · Arizona Diamondbacks vs St. Louis CardinalsOver 11 +550+14.2% edge
8.6proj. runs
L5 RF2.8L5 RA1.4Home L54-1O/U7-9

Arizona Diamondbacks total runs vs St. Louis Cardinals is live with a model 30% read and a +14.2% model edge; proj. runs 8.6.

MoneylineArizona Diamondbacks to win+140+11.7% edge
53%model win %
3-2L5 record
L5 RF2.8L5 RA1.4Home L54-1

Arizona Diamondbacks moneyline vs St. Louis Cardinals is live with a model 53% read and a +11.7% model edge; L5 record 3-2.

Team Total RunsArizona Diamondbacks team totalNo line posted
2.8L5 runs/gm
L5 RF2.8L5 RA1.4Home L54-1

Arizona Diamondbacks team total runs form: last five 3-2, 2.8 runs/gm.

Recent form (last 5 games)

Arizona Diamondbacks have gone 3-2 over their last 5 games, averaging 3.2 runs and 3.6 hits per game while allowing 2.0 earned runs.

3-2
Last 5
3.2
Runs / G
3.6
Hits / G
0.8
HR / G
2.0
RBI / G
2.0
ER Allowed / G
1.6
Ks / G

About This Team

Arizona Diamondbacks are tracked by the Bet Better model across MLB games. Their next game is against St. Louis Cardinals on Saturday 18 July at Chase Field. Use the data above to inform your MLB betting decisions for Arizona Diamondbacks.

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