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The latest Bet Better model pick for Trent Grisham is Under 0.5 on Batter - Doubles.
On the Batter - Doubles market the model assigns a model win probability of 89%, versus the book's implied 86%, for a model edge of +2.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 9:03AM UTC
MLB

Trent Grisham

SDP

+2.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Doubles Under 0.5 -625 (1.16)
+2.8% Edge
Pittsburgh Pirates @ New York Yankees
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Tue 21 Jul, 11:05PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
89.0%
Implied Probability
86.2%
Model Edge
+2.8%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Doubles89.0%—86.2%1.12+2.8%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Trent Grisham (SDP) Under 0.5 Doubles (-625)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Yankees host the Pirates, all eyes will be on Trent Grisham, but betting on him to hit a double may not be the wisest choice. Grisham has been struggling lately, with a batting average hovering around .230 in his last few weeks, reflecting a significant drop in power production. Facing a Yankees pitching staff that ranks among the best in the league, particularly with their ability to neutralize left-handed hitters, Grisham might find it tough to find gaps. Moreover, the Yankees’ defensive metrics are impressive, and their outfield is known for its strong arm, making it difficult for anyone to stretch singles into doubles. With Grisham's recent form and the Yankees on a roll, the odds favor an “Under” on his doubles tonight. Given all this, the under 0.5 doubles for Grisham feels like a prudent play in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 2 of last 3(67%)

Betting angles

4 markets live
Batter - Total BasesUpcoming gameU 1.5 -154+16.5% edge
100%hit L10
Streak3
Game log vs U 1.53 / 3 hit
000

Trent Grisham MLB total bases: cleared under 1.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Current line U 1.5 at -154 (+16.5% model edge).

Batter - RBIsUpcoming gameU 0.5 -233+8.6% edge

Trent Grisham MLB rbis. Current line U 0.5 at -233 (+8.6% model edge).

Batter - SinglesUpcoming gameU 0.5 -135+14.5% edge

Trent Grisham MLB singles. Current line U 0.5 at -135 (+14.5% model edge).

Batter - DoublesUpcoming gameU 0.5 -625+2.8% edge
86%hit L10
Streak4

Trent Grisham MLB doubles: cleared under 0.5 in 86% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -625 (+2.8% model edge).

Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
63%hit L10
O 0.563%

Trent Grisham MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 63% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.513%

Trent Grisham MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
88%hit L10
Streak5
O 0.588%
O 1.538%
O 2.525%
O 3.513%
O 4.513%

Trent Grisham MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 88% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Jul 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ New York Yankees Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -182 ✓ HIT
12 Jul 26 New York Yankees @ Washington Nationals Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -172 ✗ MISS
06 Jul 26 New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -182 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Trent Grisham (SDP) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Trent Grisham is Under 0.5 on Batter - Doubles. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.8% on this pick. Their next game is Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Yankees on Tuesday 21 July at Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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