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The latest Bet Better model pick for Trent Grisham is Over 0.5 on Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs.
On the Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs market the model assigns a calibrated win probability of 62%, versus the book's implied 72%, for a model edge of +10.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 7:46PM UTC
MLB

Trent Grisham

MLB

+10.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs Over 0.5 -263 (1.38) · $100→$138
+10.1% Edge
Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Tue 11 Aug, 11:05PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 559 of 1,032 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
82.5%
Implied Probability
72.5%
Model Edge
+10.1%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs82.5%62.1%72.5%1.61+10.1%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games4/10

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AI Analysis

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Trent Grisham Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-263)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Yankees gear up to face the Mariners, Trent Grisham stands out as a player primed for a big night. Over the last month, Grisham has really found his swing, posting an impressive.290 average with a steady rise in hard-hit balls. The Yankees’ pitching staff, while formidable, has had its share of struggles, particularly against left-handed hitters like Grisham, who can capitalize on mistakes. The Mariners seem to be riding a wave of momentum, and Grisham's ability to get on base has been pivotal in close games lately. With the Yankees’ bullpen showing some vulnerability, especially in high-leverage situations, it’s a ripe opportunity for Grisham to not just get a hit, but potentially drive in runs as well. Betting on him to go over 0.5 hits, runs, or RBIs feels like a savvy play given his current form and the matchup dynamics at play.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Recent form (last 5 games)

Trent Grisham is averaging 0.8 hits, 0.4 home runs and 0.6 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

0.8
Hits
0.4
HR
0.6
RBI
0.4
Runs
0.2
Walks
0.8
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Trent Grisham has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 70% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.570%
o1.560%
o2.550%
o3.540%
o4.520%

Home / away and opponent splits

Trent Grisham is averaging 0.8 hits per game over his last 5 and 0.2 in home games, including his recent form against TOR.

0.8
Hits · Overall
0.2
Hits · Home
0.8
Hits · vs TOR
0.4
HR · Overall
0.2
HR · Home
0.2
HR · vs TOR
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 26 Atlanta Braves @ New York Yankees Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 2.5 Under -120 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Atlanta Braves @ New York Yankees Batter - RBIs 0.5 Under -250 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Atlanta Braves @ New York Yankees Batter - Runs Scored 1.5 Under -385 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Atlanta Braves @ New York Yankees Batter - Stolen Bases Pending
09 Aug 26 Atlanta Braves @ New York Yankees Batter - Total Bases Pending
09 Aug 26 Atlanta Braves @ New York Yankees Batter - Walks Pending

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About This Player

Trent Grisham is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Trent Grisham is Over 0.5 on Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.1% on this pick. Their next game is Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees on Tuesday 11 August at Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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