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Model picks & player props
MLB
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC)
Outdoor
Sun 27 Sep 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Baltimore Orioles
VS
New York Yankees

Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 70 markets for Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees and backs New York Yankees hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $220.

20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
New York Yankees
New York Yankees Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings
You bet$10 If it wins$22.00Best price+120
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win53.0%
The price says51.8%

The model graded 70 markets for Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $220 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 27 Sep 2026, 3:20 PM ET at Yankee Stadium.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings New York Yankees Lean53% chance +120
Total Runs Members only Lean41% chance Members
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Members only Long-shot7% chance Members
Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings Members only Lean49% chance Members
Pitcher - Strikeouts × 2 props Highup to 81% Members
Batter - Total Bases × 9 props Leanup to 53% Members
Batter - RBIs × 9 props Leanup to 52% Members
Pitcher - Outs × 2 props Highup to 72% Members
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 7 props Leanup to 41% Members
Batter - Home Runs × 10 props Long-shotup to 15% Members
Batter - Runs Scored × 3 props Long-shotup to 16% Members
Batter - Hits × 7 props Long-shotup to 20% Members
Batter - Strikeouts × 1 prop Long-shotup to 11% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Baltimore Orioles and New York Yankees last met on Sun 27 Sep 2026. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings
New York Yankees
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 67,095+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
New York YankeesMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 1 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Baltimore Orioles

  • Jordan Westburg 3BOut
  • Kyle Bradish SPOut
  • Blaze Alexander 3BOut
  • Tyler O'Neill RFOut
  • Samuel Basallo COut
  • Jackson Holliday 2BOut
  • Ryan Helsley RPOut
  • Ryan Mountcastle 1BOut
  • Luis Robert Jr. CFOut
  • Reed Trimble LFDay-to-day
  • Colin Selby RPOut
  • Keegan Akin RPOut
  • Cameron Foster RPDay-to-day
  • Zach Eflin SPOut

New York Yankees

  • Aaron Judge RFOut
  • Clarke Schmidt SPOut
  • Fernando Cruz RPOut
  • Kervin Castro RPOut
Availability updated Oct 3, 2:17PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 18 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability18 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Elmer Rodriguez Pitcher - Strikeouts
Colton Cowser BAL Batter - Total Bases
Pete Alonso Batter - RBIs
Pete Alonso Batter - Total Bases
Elmer Rodriguez Pitcher - Outs

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNew York YankeesNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF5.6L5 RA4.2Home L54-1vs Baltimore Orioles L52-3

New York Yankees moneyline form: last five 2-3, 5.6 runs/gm.

Run LineNew York Yankees run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF5.6L5 RA4.2Home L54-1vs Baltimore Orioles L52-3

New York Yankees spread form: last five 2-3, 5.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · New York Yankees vs Baltimore OriolesNo line posted

New York Yankees total runs form: last five 2-3, 5.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsNew York Yankees team totalNo line posted
4.7runs we expect
L5 RF5.6L5 RA4.2Home L54-1vs Baltimore Orioles L52-3

New York Yankees team total runs form: last five 2-3, 5.6 runs/gm.

Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees — recent results

New York Yankees have won 2 of their last 5 games; Baltimore Orioles have won 4 of their last 5.

New York Yankees — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–4TBHome
L2–5TBAway
L0–1TBAway
W9–2BOSHome
W9–0BOSHome
Baltimore Orioles — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–6NYYAway
W10–2NYYAway
W4–2TORHome
W4–2TORHome
W4–3TORHome

Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games New York Yankees are scoring 6.0 runs per game (2-3) while Baltimore Orioles are at 5.0 (3-2); New York Yankees pitchers are allowing 6.2 earned runs per game versus 3.6 for Baltimore Orioles.

6.0
New York Yankees runs/G
5.0
Baltimore Orioles runs/G
Last 5 gamesNew York YankeesBaltimore Orioles
Runs / game6.05.0
Hits / game10.49.4
Home runs / game2.02.0
Walks drawn / game4.04.6
Batter K / game14.613.2
Earned runs allowed / game6.23.6
Pitching K / game13.213.2
Walks allowed / game5.24.0
L5 record2-33-2

Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees — recent meetings

These two have met 10 times recently: New York Yankees won 7, Baltimore Orioles won 3.

DateNew York YankeesBaltimore OriolesWinner
Sep 2563New York Yankees
Sep 25210Baltimore Orioles
Aug 2061New York Yankees
Aug 1953New York Yankees
Aug 1831New York Yankees
May 1307Baltimore Orioles
May 1262New York Yankees
May 1123Baltimore Orioles
May 4121New York Yankees
May 3113New York Yankees

Who’s out or in doubt

18 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New York Yankees
PlayerStatus
Aaron Judge RFOUT
Clarke Schmidt SPOUT
Fernando Cruz RPOUT
Kervin Castro RPOUT
Baltimore Orioles
PlayerStatus
Jordan Westburg 3BOUT
Kyle Bradish SPOUT
Blaze Alexander 3BOUT
Tyler O'Neill RFOUT
Samuel Basallo COUT
Jackson Holliday 2BOUT
Ryan Helsley RPOUT
Ryan Mountcastle 1BOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees — model preview

Our Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees prediction for September 27, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On September 27, 2026 our model has run Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-286), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Orioles vs Yankees, or as Yankees vs Orioles. The most recent game between them was Sunday 27 September 2026 at Yankee Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees head-to-head record

Final scores · 59 meetings on record
New York Yankees 33–26 across the last 59 meetings · these games average 8.9 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Fri 25 Sep 2026, Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees: the Yankees won 6-3.

DateGameScoreWinner
25 Sep 2026Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees6–3New York Yankees
20 Aug 2026New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles1–6New York Yankees
19 Aug 2026New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles3–5New York Yankees
18 Aug 2026New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles1–3New York Yankees
13 May 2026New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles7–0Baltimore Orioles
12 May 2026New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles2–6New York Yankees
11 May 2026New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles3–2Baltimore Orioles
4 May 2026Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees12–1New York Yankees
3 May 2026Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees11–3New York Yankees
2 May 2026Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees9–4New York Yankees

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 59 meetings on file.

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