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MLB

Seattle Mariners

Model-graded picks, player props and the edge on every market — with the full result history below.

Every pick graded — see verified results
Next Game: vs Cincinnati Reds (Home) Tue 21 Jul, 1:40AM T-Mobile Park, Seattle · Indoor
Model updated Jul 20, 10:01PM UTC
Answer
The Seattle Mariners model is leaning the over in the Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings market vs Cincinnati Reds.
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Today's Game Pick

Model edge
Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings
Over 0.5
Odds: +106
Model prob: 63.7%
+15.1%
Free pick — today's headline game edge

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Calibrated Edge — Game Markets

Calibrated vs fair
MarketModel output
SpreadProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Total RunsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
MoneylineProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Runs - 1st 1 InningsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Total RunsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Spread - 1st 5 InningsProbability, fair odds & edge locked

Full model-edge table — 6 game markets for this team with exact probability, fair odds and edge — is ready for subscribers.

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Availability

Roster status
Updated 19 Jul 2026, 20:10 UTC · may be stale
3B
Brendan DonovanOUTinjuryWill WilsonOUTinjury
DH
Rob RefsnyderOUTinjury
RP
Carlos VargasOUTinjuryCooper CriswellOUTinjuryMatt BrashOUTinjury
SP
Logan EvansOUTinjury

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions
Ballpark conditions (temperature, wind direction and roof state) can move MLB run totals, and matter most in open-air parks with strong prevailing winds.
Per-game ballpark weather is pending a file→table persistence job (owner). No live park weather is shown here until that data is in the database.

Model Performance History

All results →
0
Total Picks
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Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateOpponentMarketPickResult

Betting angles

2 markets live
Run LineSeattle Mariners run line-3 +275+11.8% edge
+1.5proj. margin
L5 RF3.6L5 RA1.4Home L54-1ATS9-4

Seattle Mariners spread vs Cincinnati Reds is live with a model 38% read and a +11.8% model edge; proj. margin +1.5.

Total RunsGame total · Seattle Mariners vs Cincinnati RedsUnder 5 +321+5.2% edge
7.6proj. runs
L5 RF3.6L5 RA1.4Home L54-1O/U14-8

Seattle Mariners total runs vs Cincinnati Reds is live with a model 29% read and a +5.2% model edge; proj. runs 7.6.

MoneylineSeattle MarinersNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF3.6L5 RA1.4Home L54-1Win rec7-3

Seattle Mariners moneyline form: last five 3-2, 3.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsSeattle Mariners team totalNo line posted
3.6L5 runs/gm
L5 RF3.6L5 RA1.4Home L54-1

Seattle Mariners team total runs form: last five 3-2, 3.6 runs/gm.

Recent form (last 5 games)

Seattle Mariners have gone 3-2 over their last 5 games, averaging 2.6 runs and 4.2 hits per game while allowing 1.4 earned runs.

3-2
Last 5
2.6
Runs / G
4.2
Hits / G
0.4
HR / G
1.0
RBI / G
1.4
ER Allowed / G
2.6
Ks / G

About This Team

Seattle Mariners are tracked by the Bet Better model across MLB games. Their next game is against Cincinnati Reds on Tuesday 21 July at T-Mobile Park. Use the data above to inform your MLB betting decisions for Seattle Mariners.

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