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MLB

Seattle Mariners

Model-graded picks, player props and the edge on every market — with the full result history below.

Next Game: vs Los Angeles Angels (Home) Fri 25 Sep, 1:40AM T-Mobile Park, Seattle · Indoor
The recordOur formula’s best MLB market: mlb total-runs unders · 498 of 903 · +$16,484
Model updated Aug 10, 1:12AM UTC
Answer
The Seattle Mariners model is leaning Seattle Mariners on the spread in the Spread market vs Los Angeles Angels.
exact probability, edge and line unlock with a subscription.

Today's Game Pick

Model edge
Spread
Seattle Mariners -3
Odds: +525
Model prob: 81.5%
+65.5%
Free pick — today's headline game edge

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Calibrated Edge — Game Markets

Calibrated vs fair
MarketModel output
SpreadProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Total RunsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
MoneylineProbability, fair odds & edge locked

Full model-edge table — 3 game markets for this team with exact probability, fair odds and edge — is ready for subscribers.

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Availability

Roster status
Updated 9 Aug 2026, 20:10 UTC
3B
Will WilsonOUTinjury
RF
Luke RaleyOUTinjury
RP
Carlos VargasOUTinjuryCole WilcoxOUTinjuryCooper CriswellOUTinjuryMatt BrashOUTinjury
SP
Logan EvansOUTinjury
SS
J.P. CrawfordOUTinjury

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions
Ballpark conditions (temperature, wind direction and roof state) can move MLB run totals, and matter most in open-air parks with strong prevailing winds.
Per-game ballpark weather is pending a file→table persistence job (owner). No live park weather is shown here until that data is in the database.

Closing Line Value

Beat-the-close proof
Beat-Close Rate
58%
Avg CLV
+25.28%
Our tracked Seattle Mariners picks beat the market's closing line 58% of the time, averaging +25.28% of closing-line value. Beating the close is the sharpest available proof that a pick had genuine edge.
Closing line value vs the market's fair closing price (derived signal).

Model Performance History

All results →
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateOpponentMarketPickResult

Betting angles

3 markets live
Run LineSeattle Mariners run line-3.5 +750
78%cover %
+6.8proj. margin
L5 RF2.6L5 RA1.4Home L54-1Free board11-9

Seattle Mariners spread vs Los Angeles Angels is live and our model makes it 78% (HIGH); proj. margin +6.8.

Total RunsGame total · Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles AngelsOver 7 +600
75%over %
10.0proj. runs
L5 RF2.6L5 RA1.4Home L54-1Free board18-15

Seattle Mariners total runs vs Los Angeles Angels is live and our model makes it 75% (HIGH); proj. runs 10.0.

MoneylineSeattle Mariners to win-233
100%model win %
3-2L5 record
L5 RF2.6L5 RA1.4Home L54-1

Seattle Mariners moneyline vs Los Angeles Angels is live and our model makes it 109% (LONG-SHOT); L5 record 3-2.

Team Total RunsSeattle Mariners team totalNo line posted
2.6L5 runs/gm
L5 RF2.6L5 RA1.4Home L54-1

Seattle Mariners team total runs form: last five 3-2, 2.6 runs/gm.

Recent form (last 5 games)

Seattle Mariners have gone 3-2 over their last 5 games, averaging 2.6 runs and 4.2 hits per game while allowing 1.4 earned runs.

3-2
Last 5
2.6
Runs / G
4.2
Hits / G
0.4
HR / G
1.0
RBI / G
1.4
ER Allowed / G
2.6
Ks / G

About This Team

Seattle Mariners are tracked by the Bet Better model across MLB games. Their next game is against Los Angeles Angels on Friday 25 September at T-Mobile Park. Use the data above to inform your MLB betting decisions for Seattle Mariners.

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