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Model picks & player props
Los Angeles Dodgers
VS
New York Yankees

Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 26, 4:09PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC)
Outdoor
Sun 19 Jul 2026, 4:35PM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Over 0.5 Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings +100

The model graded 20 markets for Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $200 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 19 Jul 2026, 4:35PM at Yankee Stadium.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win61.8%
The price says50.0%
Best price+100
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings Over 0.5 High62% chance +100
Spread Long-shot25% chance
Spread Long-shot32% chance
Spread Long-shot19% chance
Spread Long-shot40% chance
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Lean51% chance
Spread Long-shot14% chance
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Lean57% chance
Moneyline Lean54% chance
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Over 9.5 · $100 returned $290

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 933 of 1,879 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 26
Under 4.5
Pittsburgh Pirates @ San Diego Padres
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $440
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings
Over
0.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal Runs - 1st 1 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Los Angeles Dodgers

  • Will Smith COut
  • Jake Cousins RPOut
  • Andy Pages CFOut
  • Justin Wrobleski SPOut
  • Edwin Diaz RPOut
  • Will Klein RPOut
  • Gavin Stone SPOut
  • Bobby Miller SPOut
  • Blake Treinen RPOut
  • Dalton Rushing COut
  • Kris Bubic SPOut
  • Ben Casparius RPOut
  • Brusdar Graterol RPOut

Probable pitcher

Tyler Glasnow SP

New York Yankees

  • Aaron Judge RFOut
  • Max Fried SPOut
  • Giancarlo Stanton DHOut
  • Ryan Weathers SPOut
  • Ryan McMahon 3BOut
  • Clarke Schmidt SPOut
  • Kervin Castro RPOut

Probable pitcher

Will Warren SP
Availability updated Aug 25, 11:15PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 20 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability20 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNew York YankeesNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.2L5 RA0.4Home L51-4vs Los Angeles Dodgers L53-2Free board17-16

New York Yankees moneyline form: last five 2-3, 1.2 runs/gm.

Run LineNew York Yankees run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.2L5 RA0.4Home L51-4vs Los Angeles Dodgers L53-2

New York Yankees spread form: last five 2-3, 1.2 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · New York Yankees vs Los Angeles DodgersNo line posted

New York Yankees total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.2 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsNew York Yankees team totalNo line posted
1.4runs we expect
L5 RF1.2L5 RA0.4Home L51-4vs Los Angeles Dodgers L53-2

New York Yankees team total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.2 runs/gm.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Yankees — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Yankees — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

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Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees — recent results

New York Yankees have won 3 of their last 5 games; Los Angeles Dodgers have won 4 of their last 5.

New York Yankees — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L7–9HOUHome
W8–3TORHome
L3–4TORHome
W3–1TORHome
W6–1BALAway
Los Angeles Dodgers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–4ATLAway
W4–0PITHome
W5–4PITHome
W4–3PITHome
W6–4COLAway

Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games New York Yankees are scoring 4.4 runs per game (4-1) while Los Angeles Dodgers are at 2.4 (4-1); New York Yankees pitchers are allowing 1.4 earned runs per game versus 1.8 for Los Angeles Dodgers.

4.4
New York Yankees runs/G
2.4
Los Angeles Dodgers runs/G
Last 5 gamesNew York YankeesLos Angeles Dodgers
Runs / game4.42.4
Hits / game5.42.6
Home runs / game0.80.6
Walks drawn / game2.21.0
Batter K / game3.42.2
Earned runs allowed / game1.41.8
Pitching K / game3.43.2
Walks allowed / game1.02.2
L5 record4-14-1

Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: New York Yankees won 1, Los Angeles Dodgers won 2.

DateNew York YankeesLos Angeles DodgersWinner
Jul 1921New York Yankees
Jul 1928Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 1712Los Angeles Dodgers

Who’s out or in doubt

20 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New York Yankees
PlayerStatus
Aaron Judge RFOUT
Max Fried SPOUT
Giancarlo Stanton DHOUT
Ryan Weathers SPOUT
Ryan McMahon 3BOUT
Clarke Schmidt SPOUT
Kervin Castro RPOUT
Los Angeles Dodgers
PlayerStatus
Will Smith COUT
Jake Cousins RPOUT
Andy Pages CFOUT
Justin Wrobleski SPOUT
Edwin Diaz RPOUT
Will Klein RPOUT
Gavin Stone SPOUT
Bobby Miller SPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Yankees — model preview

Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Dodgers. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Discover MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Dodgers stats and odds.

New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Dodgers : New York Yankees -0.5 (+122)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

As the New York Yankees prepare to host the Los Angeles Dodgers, there’s a palpable buzz around the Bronx. The Yankees have been showcasing their offensive prowess lately, with a lineup that’s hitting .275 over the past week, making them a nightmare for opposing pitchers. On the mound, they’re sending out their ace, who boasts a 2.90 ERA and has been particularly dominant at Yankee Stadium, allowing just a .210 batting average against him at home. The Dodgers, while formidable, have struggled on the road, winning only three of their last ten. Their batting lineup has been inconsistent, with several key players slumping. The combination of the Yankees' home-field advantage and stellar pitching gives them the edge. Betting on the Yankees to cover the run line at -0.5 feels like a savvy play—especially given their recent form and the Dodgers' road woes. Expect the Yankees to secure a tight victory in what should be an electrifying matchup.

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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
19 Jul 26 Total Runs Over 9.5 ✓ HIT
17 Jul 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Under 5.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Dodgers vs Yankees, or as Yankees vs Dodgers. The most recent game between them was Sunday 19 July 2026 at Yankee Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Last time they played

Final scores · last 3 meetings
Los Angeles Dodgers 2–1 across the last 3 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
19 Jul 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Yankees2–1New York Yankees
19 Jul 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Yankees2–8Los Angeles Dodgers
17 Jul 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Yankees1–2Los Angeles Dodgers
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