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Model picks & player props
Los Angeles Dodgers
VS
New York Yankees

Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 6, 2:17PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC)
Outdoor
Sun 19 Jul 2026, 4:35PM
20
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Over 0.5 (Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings)
For Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees (MLB), model win probability 61.8%, fair odds 1.62, book price +100, model edge +11.8%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Sun 19 Jul 2026, 4:35PM at Yankee Stadium.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings
Over
0.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal Runs - 1st 1 InningsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpread - 1st 5 InningsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Los Angeles Dodgers

  • Freddie Freeman 1BDay-to-day
  • Tyler Glasnow SPOut
  • Blake Snell SPOut
  • Dalton Rushing COut
  • Kris Bubic SPOut
  • Ben Casparius RPOut
  • Will Klein RPOut
  • Will Smith COut
  • Brock Stewart RPOut
  • Blake Treinen RPOut
  • Bobby Miller SPOut
  • Gavin Stone SPOut
  • Brusdar Graterol RPOut
  • Jake Cousins RPOut

Probable pitcher

Eric Lauer SP

New York Yankees

  • Clarke Schmidt SPOut
  • Aaron Judge RFOut
  • Carlos Rodon SPOut
  • Cody Bellinger LFOut
  • Giancarlo Stanton DHOut

Probable pitcher

Will Warren SP
Availability updated Aug 5, 11:05PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 19 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability19 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNew York YankeesNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.4L5 RA1.0Home L53-2vs Los Angeles Dodgers L53-2

New York Yankees moneyline form: last five 2-3, 1.4 runs/gm.

Run LineNew York Yankees run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.4L5 RA1.0Home L53-2vs Los Angeles Dodgers L53-2

New York Yankees spread form: last five 2-3, 1.4 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · New York Yankees vs Los Angeles DodgersNo line posted

New York Yankees total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.4 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsNew York Yankees team totalNo line posted
2.2runs we expect
L5 RF1.4L5 RA1.0Home L53-2vs Los Angeles Dodgers L53-2

New York Yankees team total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.4 runs/gm.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games New York Yankees are scoring 4.4 runs per game (4-1) while Los Angeles Dodgers are at 2.4 (4-1); New York Yankees pitchers are allowing 1.4 earned runs per game versus 1.8 for Los Angeles Dodgers.

4.4
New York Yankees runs/G
2.4
Los Angeles Dodgers runs/G
Last 5 gamesNew York YankeesLos Angeles Dodgers
Runs / game4.42.4
Hits / game5.42.6
Home runs / game0.80.6
Walks drawn / game2.21.0
Batter K / game3.42.2
Earned runs allowed / game1.41.8
Pitching K / game3.43.2
Walks allowed / game1.02.2
L5 record4-14-1

Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Yankees — model preview

<p>Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Dodgers. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Discover MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Dodgers stats and odds.</p>

New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Dodgers : New York Yankees -0.5 (+122)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

As the New York Yankees prepare to host the Los Angeles Dodgers, there’s a palpable buzz around the Bronx. The Yankees have been showcasing their offensive prowess lately, with a lineup that’s hitting .275 over the past week, making them a nightmare for opposing pitchers. On the mound, they’re sending out their ace, who boasts a 2.90 ERA and has been particularly dominant at Yankee Stadium, allowing just a .210 batting average against him at home. The Dodgers, while formidable, have struggled on the road, winning only three of their last ten. Their batting lineup has been inconsistent, with several key players slumping. The combination of the Yankees' home-field advantage and stellar pitching gives them the edge. Betting on the Yankees to cover the run line at -0.5 feels like a savvy play—especially given their recent form and the Dodgers' road woes. Expect the Yankees to secure a tight victory in what should be an electrifying matchup.

New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Dodgers : New York Yankees h2h_1st_5_innings (-114)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

As the Yankees take the field against the Dodgers, consider the recent surge in New York’s performance. The Bronx Bombers have been lighting up opposing pitchers with an impressive team batting average that ranks among the top in the league. Their lineup is firing on all cylinders, powered by a blend of speed and power that’s tough to contain. On the mound, the Yankees’ ace has shown remarkable poise, consistently shutting down lineups with his strikeout ability. The Dodgers, while formidable, have struggled against right-handed pitching lately, often leaving runners stranded in crucial moments. Moreover, the Yankees have been dominant at home, thriving in front of their passionate fans. With their recent form and the pitching matchup favoring them, backing New York on the moneyline feels like a smart play in this anticipated showdown. Expect the Yankees to capitalize on their home advantage and continue their winning ways.

New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Dodgers : New York Yankees Win (-104)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

As the Yankees welcome the Dodgers to the Bronx, this matchup is shaping up to favor the home team. New York has been on a tear lately, boasting a 25-10 record over their last 35 games, showcasing a potent offense that’s averaging over five runs per game. Their bats have been particularly hot against left-handers, a category where they've shown a knack for exploiting pitching missteps. On the mound, the Yankees are sending out a reliable starter who has been adept at neutralizing opposing lineups. The Dodgers, while formidable, have struggled to find consistency in their rotation, especially when facing high-octane offenses. With the Yankees’ recent form and the crowd behind them, it feels like the perfect storm for a New York win. The combination of home-field advantage and a potent lineup gives them the edge to take this one, making them a compelling choice on the moneyline.

New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Dodgers : Over 4.5 totals_1st_5_innings (+108)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

As the Yankees square off against the Dodgers, expect an offensive showcase that will easily push the total runs over 4.5. Both teams have been flexing their bats lately, with the Yankees showcasing a potent lineup that thrives on power, while the Dodgers have been consistent in generating runs, averaging over five per game in their last ten. On the mound, while neither team boasts a shutdown ace today, the starters have shown vulnerability. The Yankees’ pitcher has struggled with command, allowing a few more hits and walks than usual lately. The Dodgers' lineup, with their knack for exploiting such opportunities, is poised to capitalize. With both offenses rolling and the potential for a high-scoring affair, the stars align for an exhilarating Sunday filled with runs. Keep your eyes glued to the scoreboard; the over on 4.5 feels like a smart play here.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
12
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
19 Jul 26 Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings New York Yankees ✗ MISS
19 Jul 26 Moneyline New York Yankees ✗ MISS
19 Jul 26 Spread New York Yankees -2.5 ✗ MISS
19 Jul 26 Spread New York Yankees -3.5 ✗ MISS
19 Jul 26 Spread New York Yankees -6.5 ✗ MISS
19 Jul 26 Spread New York Yankees -4.5 ✗ MISS
19 Jul 26 Spread New York Yankees -1.5 ✗ MISS
19 Jul 26 Spread New York Yankees -5.5 ✗ MISS
19 Jul 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings New York Yankees -0.5 ✗ MISS
19 Jul 26 Total Runs Over 9.5 ✓ HIT
19 Jul 26 Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings Over 0.5 ✗ MISS
19 Jul 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 4.5 ✗ MISS

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Dodgers vs Yankees, or as Yankees vs Dodgers. The most recent game between them was Sunday 19 July 2026 at Yankee Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

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