Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Today's bet is live / One clear pick a day / Tracked in public — wins & losses / Free to start, no card
MLB

Baltimore Orioles

Model-graded picks, player props and the edge on every market — with the full result history below.

Every pick graded — see verified results
Next Game: vs Boston Red Sox (Away) Mon 20 Jul, 11:10PM Fenway Park, Boston · Outdoor
Model updated Jul 20, 10:03PM UTC
Answer
The Baltimore Orioles model is leaning Baltimore Orioles on the spread in the Spread market vs Boston Red Sox.
exact probability, edge and line unlock with a subscription.

Today's Game Pick

Model edge
Spread
Baltimore Orioles -3
Odds: +392
Model prob: 28.3%
+8.0%
Free pick — today's headline game edge

You're seeing today's free headline pick. Unlock the full model write-up, every other game market and all player props for this team.

Bet Better Unlock full analysis

Cancel anytime.

Calibrated Edge — Game Markets

Calibrated vs fair
MarketModel output
Total Runs - 1st 1 InningsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
SpreadProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Total RunsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Runs - 1st 5 InningsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
SpreadProbability, fair odds & edge locked
MoneylineProbability, fair odds & edge locked

Full model-edge table — 6 game markets for this team with exact probability, fair odds and edge — is ready for subscribers.

Bet Better Unlock full edge table

Cancel anytime.

Availability

Roster status
Updated 19 Jul 2026, 18:45 UTC · may be stale
1B
Ryan MountcastleOUTinjury
3B
Blaze AlexanderOUTinjuryJordan WestburgOUTinjury
RP
Colin SelbyOUTinjuryFelix BautistaOUTinjuryKeegan AkinOUTinjuryRyan HelsleyOUTinjury
SP
Chris BassittOUTinjury
C
Samuel BasalloDAY-TO-DAYinjury

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions
Ballpark conditions (temperature, wind direction and roof state) can move MLB run totals, and matter most in open-air parks with strong prevailing winds.
Per-game ballpark weather is pending a file→table persistence job (owner). No live park weather is shown here until that data is in the database.

Model Performance History

All results →
0
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateOpponentMarketPickResult

Betting angles

3 markets live
Run LineBaltimore Orioles run line-3 +392+8.0% edge
-0.1proj. margin
L5 RF4.6L5 RA1.0Away L54-1ATS9-4

Baltimore Orioles spread vs Boston Red Sox is live with a model 28% read and a +8.0% model edge; proj. margin -0.1.

Total RunsGame total · Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red SoxUnder 6 +270+7.0% edge
7.9proj. runs
L5 RF4.6L5 RA1.0Away L54-1O/U9-13

Baltimore Orioles total runs vs Boston Red Sox is live with a model 34% read and a +7.0% model edge; proj. runs 7.9.

MoneylineBaltimore Orioles to win+122+2.0% edge
5-0L5 record
L5 RF4.6L5 RA1.0Away L54-1Win rec9-4

Baltimore Orioles moneyline vs Boston Red Sox is live with a model 47% read and a +2.0% model edge; L5 record 5-0.

Team Total RunsBaltimore Orioles team totalNo line posted
4.6L5 runs/gm
L5 RF4.6L5 RA1.0Away L54-1

Baltimore Orioles team total runs form: last five 5-0, 4.6 runs/gm.

Recent form (last 5 games)

Baltimore Orioles have gone 5-0 over their last 5 games, averaging 4.6 runs and 3.6 hits per game while allowing 1.0 earned runs.

5-0
Last 5
4.6
Runs / G
3.6
Hits / G
1.0
HR / G
2.8
RBI / G
1.0
ER Allowed / G
3.4
Ks / G

About This Team

Baltimore Orioles are tracked by the Bet Better model across MLB games. Their next game is against Boston Red Sox on Monday 20 July at Fenway Park. Use the data above to inform your MLB betting decisions for Baltimore Orioles.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks