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Model picks & player props
Houston Astros
VS
New York Yankees

Houston Astros vs New York Yankees Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 24, 11:50PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC)
Outdoor
Tue 25 Aug 2026, 11:05PM
2
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Houston Astros Moneyline +123

The model graded 2 markets for Houston Astros vs New York Yankees (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $223 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Tue 25 Aug 2026, 11:05PM at Yankee Stadium.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win45.9%
The price says44.8%
Best price+123
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Houston Astros Lean46% chance +123
Spread Lean59% chance
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 902 of 1,825 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 23
Under 5.5
Tampa Bay Rays @ Baltimore Orioles
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $412
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Houston Astros
+ 1 more market
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All 2 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 55,863+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Houston AstrosMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from New York Yankees on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward New York Yankees
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

PointsBet
on Houston Astros
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Who's out

Injuries & availability

Houston Astros

  • Mike Burrows SPOut
  • Brice Matthews CFOut
  • Carlos Correa SSOut
  • Brandon Walter SPOut

New York Yankees

  • Ryan Weathers SPOut
  • Ryan McMahon 3BOut
  • Clarke Schmidt SPOut
  • Giancarlo Stanton DHOut
  • Max Fried SPOut
  • Aaron Judge RFOut
  • Kervin Castro RPOut
Availability updated Aug 24, 2:59AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Houston Astros vs New York Yankees: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 11 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability11 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

2 markets live
MoneylineHouston Astros to win+123
3-2L5 record
L5 RF2.4L5 RA2.4Away L51-4vs New York Yankees L53-2Free board13-11

Houston Astros moneyline vs New York Yankees is live and our model makes it 46% (LONG-SHOT); L5 record 3-2.

Run LineHouston Astros run line+1.5 -164
59%cover %
-0.6proj. margin
L5 RF2.4L5 RA2.4Away L51-4vs New York Yankees L53-2Free board14-12

Houston Astros spread vs New York Yankees is live and our model makes it 59% (LEAN); proj. margin -0.6.

Total RunsGame total · New York Yankees vs Houston AstrosNo line posted

New York Yankees total runs form: last five 3-2, 1.8 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsNew York Yankees team totalNo line posted
2.1runs we expect
L5 RF1.8L5 RA0.4Home L51-4vs Houston Astros L54-1

New York Yankees team total runs form: last five 3-2, 1.8 runs/gm.

Houston Astros @ New York Yankees — what the model found

Our model graded 2 betting markets for Houston Astros at New York Yankees — 2 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

2
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 2 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 1 graded call for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Houston Astros vs New York Yankees — recent results

New York Yankees have won 4 of their last 5 games; Houston Astros have won 2 of their last 5.

New York Yankees — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W8–3TORHome
L3–4TORHome
W3–1TORHome
W6–1BALAway
W5–3BALAway
Houston Astros — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L6–7ATHHome
W4–0ATHHome
L3–4ATHHome
L3–18LAAHome
W3–2LAAHome

Houston Astros vs New York Yankees — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: New York Yankees won 2, Houston Astros won 1.

DateNew York YankeesHouston AstrosWinner
Apr 2647Houston Astros
Apr 2583New York Yankees
Apr 25124New York Yankees

Who’s out or in doubt

11 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New York Yankees
PlayerStatus
Ryan Weathers SPOUT
Ryan McMahon 3BOUT
Clarke Schmidt SPOUT
Giancarlo Stanton DHOUT
Max Fried SPOUT
Aaron Judge RFOUT
Kervin Castro RPOUT
Houston Astros
PlayerStatus
Mike Burrows SPOUT
Brice Matthews CFOUT
Carlos Correa SSOUT
Brandon Walter SPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Houston Astros @ New York Yankees — where the money went

Since betting opened on Houston Astros at New York Yankees, the market has moved away from New York Yankees across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Spread — New York Yankees -1.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Under 9▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Over 9▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Houston Astros 1.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — New York Yankees -1▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Houston Astros 1▲ Money came for this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

Houston Astros @ New York Yankees — model preview

Our Houston Astros at New York Yankees prediction for August 25, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 25, 2026 our model has run Houston Astros at New York Yankees and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is New York Yankees vs Houston Astros: Houston Astros +1.5 (-164), which we rate LEAN confidence. We walk through all 2 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Houston Astros vs New York Yankees in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Astros vs Yankees, or as Yankees vs Astros. The next scheduled game is Tuesday 25 August 2026 at Yankee Stadium. The model has generated 2 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Last time they played

Final scores · last 3 meetings
New York Yankees 2–1 across the last 3 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
26 Apr 2026New York Yankees @ Houston Astros7–4Houston Astros
25 Apr 2026New York Yankees @ Houston Astros4–12New York Yankees
25 Apr 2026New York Yankees @ Houston Astros3–8New York Yankees
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