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Model picks & player props
Houston Astros
VS
New York Yankees

Houston Astros vs New York Yankees Picks & Predictions

Our model graded 70 markets for Houston Astros vs New York Yankees and backs Under 0.5 hardest, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $1,380.

MLB
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC)
Outdoor
Thu 27 Aug 2026, 11:16PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 0.5 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings +1280

The model graded 70 markets for Houston Astros vs New York Yankees (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $1,380 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 27 Aug 2026, 11:16PM at Yankee Stadium.

Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win4.6%
The price says6.6%
Best price+1280
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Under 0.5 Long-shot5% chance +1280
Moneyline Members only Lean43% chance Members
Spread Members only Lean59% chance Members
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Members only Long-shot24% chance Members
Total Runs Members only Long-shot19% chance Members
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Members only Lean55% chance Members
Batter - Walks × 9 props Highup to 98% Members
Pitcher - Walks × 1 prop Highup to 86% Members
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 7 props Highup to 64% Members
Batter - Hits × 2 props Highup to 66% Members
Pitcher - Hits Allowed × 1 prop Leanup to 56% Members
Pitcher - Earned Runs × 2 props Highup to 63% Members
Batter - Stolen Bases × 3 props Highup to 89% Members
Batter - Singles × 5 props Highup to 77% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Houston Astros and New York Yankees last met on Thu 27 Aug 2026: Houston Astros won 5-1. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings
Under
2.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosMoneylineThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Houston Astros

  • Enyel De Los Santos RPOut
  • Cristian Javier SPOut
  • Brice Matthews CFOut
  • Daulton Varsho CFOut
  • Mike Burrows SPOut
  • Jake Meyers CFOut
  • Carlos Correa SSOut
  • Brandon Walter SPOut

New York Yankees

  • Aaron Judge RFOut
  • Clarke Schmidt SPOut
  • Fernando Cruz RPOut
  • Kervin Castro RPOut

Probable pitcher

Cam Schlittler SP
Availability updated Oct 6, 12:00AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Houston Astros vs New York Yankees: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 12 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability12 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Austin Wells Batter - Walks
Gerrit Cole NYY Pitcher - Walks
Austin Wells Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Cody Bellinger CHC Batter - Walks
Yainer Diaz HOU Batter - Walks

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNew York YankeesNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF6.4L5 RA4.0Home L51-4vs Houston Astros L53-2

New York Yankees moneyline form: last five 3-2, 6.4 runs/gm.

Run LineNew York Yankees run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF6.4L5 RA4.0Home L51-4vs Houston Astros L53-2

New York Yankees spread form: last five 3-2, 6.4 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · New York Yankees vs Houston AstrosNo line posted

New York Yankees total runs form: last five 3-2, 6.4 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsNew York Yankees team totalNo line posted
5.1runs we expect
L5 RF6.4L5 RA4.0Home L51-4vs Houston Astros L53-2

New York Yankees team total runs form: last five 3-2, 6.4 runs/gm.

Houston Astros @ New York Yankees — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Houston Astros at New York Yankees — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Houston Astros vs New York Yankees — recent results

New York Yankees have won 3 of their last 5 games; Houston Astros have won 2 of their last 5.

New York Yankees — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L0–1TBAway
W9–2BOSHome
W9–0BOSHome
W6–3BALHome
L2–10BALHome
Houston Astros — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–7CHWHome
L3–6CHWHome
W13–2ATHAway
W9–0ATHAway
L5–6ATHAway

Houston Astros vs New York Yankees — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games New York Yankees are scoring 1.4 runs per game (2-3) while Houston Astros are at 1.8 (3-2); New York Yankees pitchers are allowing 0.6 earned runs per game versus 0.6 for Houston Astros.

1.4
New York Yankees runs/G
1.8
Houston Astros runs/G
Last 5 gamesNew York YankeesHouston Astros
Runs / game1.41.8
Hits / game1.82.6
Home runs / game0.20.4
Walks drawn / game1.41.2
Batter K / game2.02.0
Earned runs allowed / game0.60.6
Pitching K / game1.02.2
Walks allowed / game0.60.6
L5 record2-33-2

Houston Astros vs New York Yankees — recent meetings

These two have met 6 times recently: New York Yankees won 3, Houston Astros won 3.

DateNew York YankeesHouston AstrosWinner
Aug 2715Houston Astros
Aug 2693New York Yankees
Aug 2579Houston Astros
Apr 2647Houston Astros
Apr 25124New York Yankees
Apr 2583New York Yankees

Who’s out or in doubt

12 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New York Yankees
PlayerStatus
Aaron Judge RFOUT
Clarke Schmidt SPOUT
Fernando Cruz RPOUT
Kervin Castro RPOUT
Houston Astros
PlayerStatus
Enyel De Los Santos RPOUT
Cristian Javier SPOUT
Brice Matthews CFOUT
Daulton Varsho CFOUT
Mike Burrows SPOUT
Jake Meyers CFOUT
Carlos Correa SSOUT
Brandon Walter SPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Houston Astros @ New York Yankees — model preview

Our Houston Astros at New York Yankees prediction for August 28, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 28, 2026 our model has run Houston Astros at New York Yankees and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Jose Altuve (HOU) Under 0.5 RBIs (-323), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Houston Astros vs New York Yankees in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Astros vs Yankees, or as Yankees vs Astros. The most recent game between them was Thursday 27 August 2026 at Yankee Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Houston Astros vs New York Yankees head-to-head record

Final scores · 28 meetings on record
New York Yankees 18–10 across the last 28 meetings · these games average 10.1 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Thu 27 Aug 2026, Houston Astros at New York Yankees: the Astros won 5-1.

DateGameScoreWinner
27 Aug 2026Houston Astros @ New York Yankees1–5Houston Astros
26 Aug 2026Houston Astros @ New York Yankees9–3New York Yankees
25 Aug 2026Houston Astros @ New York Yankees7–9Houston Astros
26 Apr 2026New York Yankees @ Houston Astros7–4Houston Astros
25 Apr 2026New York Yankees @ Houston Astros4–12New York Yankees
24 Apr 2026New York Yankees @ Houston Astros4–12New York Yankees
4 Sep 2025New York Yankees @ Houston Astros4–8New York Yankees
3 Sep 2025New York Yankees @ Houston Astros8–7Houston Astros
2 Sep 2025New York Yankees @ Houston Astros1–7New York Yankees
10 Aug 2025Houston Astros @ New York Yankees1–7Houston Astros

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 28 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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