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Model picks & player props
St. Louis Cardinals
VS
New York Yankees

St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Yankees Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 26, 8:42AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC)
Outdoor
Wed 5 Aug 2026, 11:05PM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
St. Louis Cardinals Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings +1300

The model graded 20 markets for St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Yankees (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $1,400 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Wed 5 Aug 2026, 11:05PM at Yankee Stadium.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win46.3%
The price says7.1%
Best price+1300
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings St. Louis Cardinals Lean46% chance +1300
Moneyline Lean55% chance
Spread Long-shot17% chance
Spread Long-shot12% chance
Spread Long-shot9% chance
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Over 8.5 · $100 returned $740

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 933 of 1,879 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 26
Under 4.5
Pittsburgh Pirates @ San Diego Padres
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $440
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings
St. Louis Cardinals
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,052+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
St. Louis CardinalsMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

St. Louis Cardinals

  • Masyn Winn SSOut
  • Everson Pereira RFOut
  • Hunter Dobbins SPOut
  • Andre Pallante SPOut
  • Max Rajcic RPOut

Probable pitcher

Matthew Liberatore SP

New York Yankees

  • Aaron Judge RFOut
  • Max Fried SPOut
  • Giancarlo Stanton DHOut
  • Ryan Weathers SPOut
  • Ryan McMahon 3BOut
  • Clarke Schmidt SPOut
  • Kervin Castro RPOut

Probable pitcher

Will Warren SP
Availability updated Aug 25, 11:45PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Yankees: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 12 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability12 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNew York YankeesNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.2L5 RA0.4Home L51-4vs St. Louis Cardinals L53-2Free board17-16

New York Yankees moneyline form: last five 2-3, 1.2 runs/gm.

Run LineNew York Yankees run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.2L5 RA0.4Home L51-4vs St. Louis Cardinals L53-2

New York Yankees spread form: last five 2-3, 1.2 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · New York Yankees vs St. Louis CardinalsNo line posted

New York Yankees total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.2 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsNew York Yankees team totalNo line posted
2.0runs we expect
L5 RF1.2L5 RA0.4Home L51-4vs St. Louis Cardinals L53-2

New York Yankees team total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.2 runs/gm.

St. Louis Cardinals @ New York Yankees — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for St. Louis Cardinals at New York Yankees — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Yankees — recent results

New York Yankees have won 3 of their last 5 games; St. Louis Cardinals have won 1 of their last 5.

New York Yankees — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L7–9HOUHome
W8–3TORHome
L3–4TORHome
W3–1TORHome
W6–1BALAway
St. Louis Cardinals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–13BALHome
L4–6PHIAway
L3–12PHIAway
L6–7PHIAway
W10–9CINAway

St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Yankees — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games New York Yankees are scoring 1.4 runs per game (3-2) while St. Louis Cardinals are at 1.8 (2-3); New York Yankees pitchers are allowing 0.8 earned runs per game versus 0.6 for St. Louis Cardinals.

1.4
New York Yankees runs/G
1.8
St. Louis Cardinals runs/G
Last 5 gamesNew York YankeesSt. Louis Cardinals
Runs / game1.41.8
Hits / game2.64.2
Home runs / game1.00.2
Walks drawn / game0.41.8
Batter K / game3.01.4
Earned runs allowed / game0.80.6
Pitching K / game1.01.8
Walks allowed / game0.81.0
L5 record3-22-3

St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Yankees — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: New York Yankees won 1, St. Louis Cardinals won 2.

DateNew York YankeesSt. Louis CardinalsWinner
Aug 513St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 420New York Yankees
Aug 3713St. Louis Cardinals

Who’s out or in doubt

12 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New York Yankees
PlayerStatus
Aaron Judge RFOUT
Max Fried SPOUT
Giancarlo Stanton DHOUT
Ryan Weathers SPOUT
Ryan McMahon 3BOUT
Clarke Schmidt SPOUT
Kervin Castro RPOUT
St. Louis Cardinals
PlayerStatus
Masyn Winn SSOUT
Everson Pereira RFOUT
Hunter Dobbins SPOUT
Andre Pallante SPOUT
Max Rajcic RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

St. Louis Cardinals @ New York Yankees — model preview

Our St. Louis Cardinals at New York Yankees prediction for August 6, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 6, 2026 our model has run St. Louis Cardinals at New York Yankees and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Trent Grisham Under 0.5 RBIs (-303), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
05 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings St. Louis Cardinals 0.5 ✓ HIT
05 Aug 26 Spread St. Louis Cardinals -1 ✓ HIT
05 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 2.5 ✓ HIT
05 Aug 26 Spread St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 ✓ HIT
05 Aug 26 Spread St. Louis Cardinals +1 ✓ HIT
05 Aug 26 Moneyline St. Louis Cardinals ✓ HIT
05 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 1.5 ✓ HIT
05 Aug 26 Spread St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 ✓ HIT
05 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 3.5 ✓ HIT
05 Aug 26 Spread St. Louis Cardinals +2 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Yankees in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Cardinals vs Yankees, or as Yankees vs Cardinals. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 5 August 2026 at Yankee Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Last time they played

Final scores · last 3 meetings
St. Louis Cardinals 2–1 across the last 3 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
5 Aug 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ New York Yankees1–3St. Louis Cardinals
4 Aug 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ New York Yankees2–0New York Yankees
3 Aug 2026St. Louis Cardinals @ New York Yankees7–13St. Louis Cardinals
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