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Model picks & player props
St. Louis Cardinals
VS
New York Yankees

St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Yankees Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 6, 5:47AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC)
Outdoor
Wed 5 Aug 2026, 11:05PM
20
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: St. Louis Cardinals (Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings)
For St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Yankees (MLB), model win probability 46.3%, fair odds 2.16, book price +1300, model edge +39.1%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Wed 5 Aug 2026, 11:05PM at Yankee Stadium.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings
St. Louis Cardinals
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
St. Louis CardinalsMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St. Louis CardinalsMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from St. Louis Cardinals on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward St. Louis Cardinals
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Closing line

Snapshot logged
We store the closing number to grade every pick's CLV.
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Who's out

Injuries & availability

St. Louis Cardinals

  • Jordan Walker RFDay-to-day
  • Ramon Urias 3BOut
  • Max Rajcic RPOut

Probable pitcher

Andre Pallante SP

New York Yankees

  • Clarke Schmidt SPOut
  • Aaron Judge RFOut
  • Carlos Rodon SPOut
  • Cody Bellinger LFOut
  • Giancarlo Stanton DHOut

Probable pitcher

Will Warren SP
Availability updated Aug 5, 11:05PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Yankees: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 8 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability8 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNew York YankeesNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.4L5 RA1.0Home L53-2vs St. Louis Cardinals L53-2

New York Yankees moneyline form: last five 2-3, 1.4 runs/gm.

Run LineNew York Yankees run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.4L5 RA1.0Home L53-2vs St. Louis Cardinals L53-2

New York Yankees spread form: last five 2-3, 1.4 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · New York Yankees vs St. Louis CardinalsNo line posted

New York Yankees total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.4 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsNew York Yankees team totalNo line posted
1.2runs we expect
L5 RF1.4L5 RA1.0Home L53-2vs St. Louis Cardinals L53-2

New York Yankees team total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.4 runs/gm.

St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Yankees — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games New York Yankees are scoring 1.4 runs per game (3-2) while St. Louis Cardinals are at 1.8 (2-3); New York Yankees pitchers are allowing 0.8 earned runs per game versus 0.6 for St. Louis Cardinals.

1.4
New York Yankees runs/G
1.8
St. Louis Cardinals runs/G
Last 5 gamesNew York YankeesSt. Louis Cardinals
Runs / game1.41.8
Hits / game2.64.2
Home runs / game1.00.2
Walks drawn / game0.41.8
Batter K / game3.01.4
Earned runs allowed / game0.80.6
Pitching K / game1.01.8
Walks allowed / game0.81.0
L5 record3-22-3

St. Louis Cardinals @ New York Yankees — model preview

<p>Our St. Louis Cardinals at New York Yankees prediction for August 6, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.</p>

On August 6, 2026 our model has run St. Louis Cardinals at New York Yankees and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Trent Grisham Under 0.5 RBIs (-303), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

Jazz Chisholm Jr. (MIA) Under 0.5 RBIs (-263)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

New York Yankees play St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Jazz Chisholm Jr. (MIA) Under 0.5 RBIs (-263). That is a RBIs bet. It was priced at -263 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. (MIA) Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-179)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

New York Yankees play St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Jazz Chisholm Jr. (MIA) Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-179). That is a Runs Scored bet. It was priced at -179 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.59 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Trent Grisham Under 0.5 RBIs (-303)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

New York Yankees play St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Trent Grisham Under 0.5 RBIs (-303). That is a RBIs bet. It was priced at -303 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

New York Yankees vs St. Louis Cardinals: Over 0.5 totals 1st 1 innings (-108)

Odds correct at time of publishing

New York Yankees play St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is New York Yankees vs St. Louis Cardinals: Over 0.5 totals 1st 1 innings (-108). That is a totals 1st 1 innings bet. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.26 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

New York Yankees vs St. Louis Cardinals: St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 (-156)

Odds correct at time of publishing

New York Yankees play St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is New York Yankees vs St. Louis Cardinals: St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 (-156). That is a spreads bet. It was priced at -156 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.41 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

New York Yankees vs St. Louis Cardinals: St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 (-161)

Odds correct at time of publishing

New York Yankees play St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is New York Yankees vs St. Louis Cardinals: St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 (-161). That is a alternate spreads bet. It was priced at -161 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.21 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the whole read. Every bet above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Yankees in the MLB. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Wednesday 5 August 2026 at Yankee Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

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