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Model picks & player props
Seattle Mariners
VS
New York Yankees

Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 31, 8:47AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC)
Outdoor
Thu 13 Aug 2026, 5:35PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Seattle Mariners Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings +135

The model graded 70 markets for Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $235 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 13 Aug 2026, 5:35PM at Yankee Stadium.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win45.7%
The price says41.9%
Best price+135
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Seattle Mariners Lean46% chance +135
Spread Long-shot6% chance
Spread Long-shot4% chance
Spread Long-shot16% chance
Spread Long-shot11% chance
Spread Long-shot14% chance
Spread Long-shot9% chance
Spread Long-shot7% chance
Spread Long-shot6% chance
Batter - Walks × 11 props Highup to 94%
Pitcher - Walks × 2 props Highup to 83%
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 9 props Highup to 84%
Batter - Singles × 6 props Highup to 87%
Batter - Total Bases × 2 props Highup to 89%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Seattle Mariners · $100 returned $224

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 935 of 1,976 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 29
Under 11.5
Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $130
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings
Seattle Mariners
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Seattle MarinersMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle MarinersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle MarinersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Seattle Mariners

  • Emerson Hancock SPOut
  • Matt Brash RPOut
  • Brendan Donovan 3BOut
  • Colt Emerson SSOut
  • Luke Raley RFOut
  • Cooper Criswell RPOut
  • Cole Wilcox RPOut
  • Will Wilson 3BOut
  • Logan Evans SPOut

Probable pitcher

Logan Gilbert SP

New York Yankees

  • Ryan McMahon 3BOut
  • George Lombard Jr. SSDay-to-day
  • Clarke Schmidt SPOut
  • Fernando Cruz RPOut
  • Kervin Castro RPOut
  • Aaron Judge RFOut
  • Giancarlo Stanton DHOut
  • Ryan Weathers SPOut

Probable pitcher

Will Warren SP
Availability updated Aug 30, 5:37PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 17 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability17 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Taylor Ward LAA Batter - Walks
Max Fried NYY Pitcher - Walks
Heliot Ramos Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Heliot Ramos Batter - Singles
Trent Grisham SDP Batter - Walks

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNew York YankeesNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.6L5 RA0.8Home L53-2vs Seattle Mariners L53-2Free board17-17

New York Yankees moneyline form: last five 2-3, 1.6 runs/gm.

Run LineNew York Yankees run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.6L5 RA0.8Home L53-2vs Seattle Mariners L53-2

New York Yankees spread form: last five 2-3, 1.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · New York Yankees vs Seattle MarinersNo line posted

New York Yankees total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsNew York Yankees team totalNo line posted
1.5runs we expect
L5 RF1.6L5 RA0.8Home L53-2vs Seattle Mariners L53-2

New York Yankees team total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.6 runs/gm.

Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees — recent results

New York Yankees have won 3 of their last 5 games; Seattle Mariners have won 1 of their last 5.

New York Yankees — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W16–1BOSHome
W9–2BOSHome
L0–6BOSHome
W1–0BOSHome
L1–5HOUHome
Seattle Mariners — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L0–7TORAway
L3–4TORAway
L1–8TORAway
W4–1PHIHome
L0–6PHIHome

Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games New York Yankees are scoring 0.6 runs per game (1-4) while Seattle Mariners are at 0.2 (0-5); New York Yankees pitchers are allowing 0.8 earned runs per game versus 0.8 for Seattle Mariners.

0.6
New York Yankees runs/G
0.2
Seattle Mariners runs/G
Last 5 gamesNew York YankeesSeattle Mariners
Runs / game0.60.2
Hits / game2.42.6
Home runs / game0.20.0
Walks drawn / game1.40.6
Batter K / game2.22.0
Earned runs allowed / game0.80.8
Pitching K / game4.21.4
Walks allowed / game0.60.2
L5 record1-40-5

Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees — recent meetings

These two have met 6 times recently: New York Yankees won 4, Seattle Mariners won 2.

DateNew York YankeesSeattle MarinersWinner
Aug 1301Seattle Mariners
Aug 12105New York Yankees
Aug 1141New York Yankees
Apr 150New York Yankees
Apr 153New York Yankees
Mar 3112Seattle Mariners

Who’s out or in doubt

17 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New York Yankees
PlayerStatus
Ryan McMahon 3BOUT
George Lombard Jr. SSDAY-TO-DAY
Clarke Schmidt SPOUT
Fernando Cruz RPOUT
Kervin Castro RPOUT
Aaron Judge RFOUT
Giancarlo Stanton DHOUT
Ryan Weathers SPOUT
Seattle Mariners
PlayerStatus
Emerson Hancock SPOUT
Matt Brash RPOUT
Brendan Donovan 3BOUT
Colt Emerson SSOUT
Luke Raley RFOUT
Cooper Criswell RPOUT
Cole Wilcox RPOUT
Will Wilson 3BOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees — model preview

Our Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees prediction for August 13, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 13, 2026 our model has run Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Jazz Chisholm Jr. (MIA) Under 0.5 Walks (-263), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
13 Aug 26 Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Seattle Mariners ✓ HIT
13 Aug 26 Spread Seattle Mariners +1 ✓ HIT
13 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Seattle Mariners -0.5 ✓ HIT
13 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Seattle Mariners 0.5 ✓ HIT
13 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Seattle Mariners 2.5 ✓ HIT
13 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Seattle Mariners 1.5 ✓ HIT
12 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 12.5 ✓ HIT
12 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 5.5 ✓ HIT
12 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 6.5 ✓ HIT
12 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 2.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Mariners vs Yankees, or as Yankees vs Mariners. The most recent game between them was Thursday 13 August 2026 at Yankee Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 25 meetings on record
New York Yankees 16–9 across the last 25 meetings · these games average 8.0 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
13 Aug 2026Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees0–1Seattle Mariners
12 Aug 2026Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees10–5New York Yankees
11 Aug 2026Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees4–1New York Yankees
1 Apr 2026New York Yankees @ Seattle Mariners3–5New York Yankees
31 Mar 2026New York Yankees @ Seattle Mariners2–1Seattle Mariners
30 Mar 2026New York Yankees @ Seattle Mariners2–1Seattle Mariners
10 Jul 2025Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees6–5New York Yankees
9 Jul 2025Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees9–6New York Yankees
8 Jul 2025Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees10–3New York Yankees
14 May 2025New York Yankees @ Seattle Mariners2–3New York Yankees

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 25 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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