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Model picks & player props
MLB
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC)
Outdoor
Thu 13 Aug 2026, 1:36 PM ET
Seattle Mariners
VS
New York Yankees

Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 70 markets for Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees and backs Over 4.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $230.

20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Over 4.5 total runs 1st 5 innings
Over 4.5 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings
You bet$10 If it wins$23.00Best price+130
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win46.2%
The price says42.6%

The model graded 70 markets for Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $230 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 13 Aug 2026, 1:36 PM ET at Yankee Stadium.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 4.5 Lean46% chance +130
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Members only Lean55% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Lean57% chance Members
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Members only Lean46% chance Members
Spread Members only Lean48% chance Members
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Members only Lean45% chance Members
Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings Members only Long-shot39% chance Members
Total Runs Members only Long-shot33% chance Members
Batter - Walks × 11 props Highup to 94% Members
Pitcher - Walks × 2 props Highup to 83% Members
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 9 props Highup to 84% Members
Batter - Singles × 6 props Highup to 87% Members
Batter - Total Bases × 2 props Highup to 89% Members
Pitcher - Earned Runs × 2 props Highup to 79% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Seattle Mariners and New York Yankees last met on Thu 13 Aug 2026: Seattle Mariners won 1-0. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings
Over
4.5
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 67,284+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle MarinersMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle MarinersSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle MarinersSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 1 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle MarinersSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle MarinersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle MarinersSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle MarinersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle MarinersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Seattle MarinersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Seattle Mariners

  • Josh Naylor 1BOut
  • Cal Raleigh COut
  • Michael Toglia 1BOut
  • Kade Anderson SPDay-to-day
  • Andres Munoz RPOut
  • Brock Rodden SSOut
  • Nick Davila RPOut
  • Matt Brash RPOut
  • Brendan Donovan 3BOut
  • Brennen Davis CFOut
  • Colt Emerson SSOut
  • Emerson Hancock SPOut
  • Luke Raley RFOut
  • Cole Wilcox RPOut
  • Will Wilson 3BOut
  • Logan Evans SPOut

New York Yankees

  • Aaron Judge RFOut
  • Clarke Schmidt SPOut
  • Fernando Cruz RPOut
  • Kervin Castro RPOut
Availability updated Oct 5, 6:37PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 20 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability20 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Taylor Ward LAA Batter - Walks
Max Fried NYY Pitcher - Walks
Heliot Ramos Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Heliot Ramos Batter - Singles
Trent Grisham SDP Batter - Walks

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNew York YankeesNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF5.6L5 RA4.2Home L54-1vs Seattle Mariners L52-3

New York Yankees moneyline form: last five 2-3, 5.6 runs/gm.

Run LineNew York Yankees run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF5.6L5 RA4.2Home L54-1vs Seattle Mariners L52-3

New York Yankees spread form: last five 2-3, 5.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · New York Yankees vs Seattle MarinersNo line posted

New York Yankees total runs form: last five 2-3, 5.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsNew York Yankees team totalNo line posted
5.4runs we expect
L5 RF5.6L5 RA4.2Home L54-1vs Seattle Mariners L52-3

New York Yankees team total runs form: last five 2-3, 5.6 runs/gm.

Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees — recent results

New York Yankees have won 2 of their last 5 games; Seattle Mariners have won 3 of their last 5.

New York Yankees — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–4TBHome
L2–5TBAway
L0–1TBAway
W9–2BOSHome
W9–0BOSHome
Seattle Mariners — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W8–4LAAHome
W7–3LAAHome
L5–7LAAHome
L4–6LAAHome
W6–5HOUHome

Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games New York Yankees are scoring 0.6 runs per game (1-4) while Seattle Mariners are at 0.2 (0-5); New York Yankees pitchers are allowing 0.8 earned runs per game versus 0.8 for Seattle Mariners.

0.6
New York Yankees runs/G
0.2
Seattle Mariners runs/G
Last 5 gamesNew York YankeesSeattle Mariners
Runs / game0.60.2
Hits / game2.42.6
Home runs / game0.20.0
Walks drawn / game1.40.6
Batter K / game2.22.0
Earned runs allowed / game0.80.8
Pitching K / game4.21.4
Walks allowed / game0.60.2
L5 record1-40-5

Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees — recent meetings

These two have met 6 times recently: New York Yankees won 4, Seattle Mariners won 2.

DateNew York YankeesSeattle MarinersWinner
Aug 1301Seattle Mariners
Aug 12105New York Yankees
Aug 1141New York Yankees
Apr 153New York Yankees
Apr 150New York Yankees
Mar 3112Seattle Mariners

Who’s out or in doubt

20 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New York Yankees
PlayerStatus
Aaron Judge RFOUT
Clarke Schmidt SPOUT
Fernando Cruz RPOUT
Kervin Castro RPOUT
Seattle Mariners
PlayerStatus
Josh Naylor 1BOUT
Cal Raleigh COUT
Michael Toglia 1BOUT
Kade Anderson SPDAY-TO-DAY
Andres Munoz RPOUT
Brock Rodden SSOUT
Nick Davila RPOUT
Matt Brash RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees — model preview

Our Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees prediction for August 13, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 13, 2026 our model has run Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Jazz Chisholm Jr. (MIA) Under 0.5 Walks (-263), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Mariners vs Yankees, or as Yankees vs Mariners. The most recent game between them was Thursday 13 August 2026 at Yankee Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees head-to-head record

Final scores · 25 meetings on record
New York Yankees 16–9 across the last 25 meetings · these games average 8.0 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Thu 13 Aug 2026, Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees: the Mariners won 1-0.

DateGameScoreWinner
13 Aug 2026Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees0–1Seattle Mariners
12 Aug 2026Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees10–5New York Yankees
11 Aug 2026Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees4–1New York Yankees
1 Apr 2026New York Yankees @ Seattle Mariners3–5New York Yankees
31 Mar 2026New York Yankees @ Seattle Mariners2–1Seattle Mariners
30 Mar 2026New York Yankees @ Seattle Mariners2–1Seattle Mariners
10 Jul 2025Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees6–5New York Yankees
9 Jul 2025Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees9–6New York Yankees
8 Jul 2025Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees10–3New York Yankees
14 May 2025New York Yankees @ Seattle Mariners2–3New York Yankees

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 25 meetings on file.

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