Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Today's bets are live / Top performing picks daily / Tracked in public — wins & losses
Model picks & player props
Seattle Mariners
VS
New York Yankees

Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 10, 10:31PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC)
Outdoor
Tue 11 Aug 2026, 11:05PM
4
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Over 8 (Total Runs)
The model graded 4 markets for Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — GOOD confidence. A $100 bet returns about $190 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 65.9%, fair odds 1.52, book price -111, model edge +13.2%. Tip-off Tue 11 Aug 2026, 11:05PM at Yankee Stadium.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 546 of 996 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 10
Under 9.5
Houston Astros @ San Diego Padres
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $170

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Total Runs
Over
8.5
+ 3 more markets
Unlock with Pro
🔒

Unlock every graded pick for this game

See the full board for this matchup — every market, every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate.

Bet Better Unlock all game picks
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York YankeesSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

Bet Better Unlock calibrated edges
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market sharpened toward New York Yankees on this game.

Line movement

▲ moved toward New York Yankees
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Lowvig
on Over
Shop gain & value% 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Who's out

Injuries & availability

Seattle Mariners

  • Matt Brash RPOut
  • Cooper Criswell RPOut
  • J.P. Crawford SSOut
  • Carlos Vargas RPOut
  • Cole Wilcox RPOut
  • Luke Raley RFOut
  • Will Wilson 3BOut
  • Logan Evans SPOut

New York Yankees

  • Cody Bellinger LFOut
  • Giancarlo Stanton DHOut
  • Clarke Schmidt SPOut
  • Carlos Rodon SPOut
  • Aaron Judge RFOut
Availability updated Aug 9, 7:36PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 13 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability13 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

3 markets live
Total RunsGame total · New York Yankees vs Seattle MarinersOver 8 -111
66%over %
9.9proj. runs
L5 RF0.8L5 RA0.8Home L52-3vs Seattle Mariners L55-0

New York Yankees total runs vs Seattle Mariners is live and our model makes it 66% (HIGH); proj. runs 9.9.

MoneylineNew York Yankees to win-130
63%model win %
2-3L5 record
L5 RF0.8L5 RA0.8Home L52-3vs Seattle Mariners L55-0

New York Yankees moneyline vs Seattle Mariners is live and our model makes it 63% (LEAN); L5 record 2-3.

Run LineNew York Yankees run line-1.5 +162
+0.3proj. margin
L5 RF0.8L5 RA0.8Home L52-3vs Seattle Mariners L55-0

New York Yankees spread vs Seattle Mariners is live and our model makes it 41% (LONG-SHOT); proj. margin +0.3.

Team Total RunsNew York Yankees team totalNo line posted
0.8runs we expect
L5 RF0.8L5 RA0.8Home L52-3vs Seattle Mariners L55-0

New York Yankees team total runs form: last five 2-3, 0.8 runs/gm.

Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees — what the model found

Our model graded 4 betting markets for Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees — 4 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

4
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 4 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 3 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
Unlock every pick
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees — recent results

New York Yankees have won 3 of their last 5 games; Seattle Mariners have won 1 of their last 5.

New York Yankees — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–2ATLHome
W5–4ATLHome
W3–2ATLHome
L1–3STLHome
W2–0STLHome
Seattle Mariners — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–3TBHome
L1–4TBHome
L1–2TBHome
W4–2DETHome
L0–11DETHome

Who’s out or in doubt

13 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New York Yankees
PlayerStatus
Cody Bellinger LFOUT
Giancarlo Stanton DHOUT
Clarke Schmidt SPOUT
Carlos Rodon SPOUT
Aaron Judge RFOUT
Seattle Mariners
PlayerStatus
Matt Brash RPOUT
Cooper Criswell RPOUT
J.P. Crawford SSOUT
Carlos Vargas RPOUT
Cole Wilcox RPOUT
Luke Raley RFOUT
Will Wilson 3BOUT
Logan Evans SPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees — where the money went

Since betting opened on Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees, the market has moved toward New York Yankees across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Spread — New York Yankees -1.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — New York Yankees -1▲ Money came for this
Spread — Seattle Mariners 1▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Seattle Mariners 1.5▼ Money drifted off this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees — model preview

Our Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees prediction for August 11, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 11, 2026 our model has run Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is New York Yankees vs Seattle Mariners: New York Yankees Win (-130), which we rate LEAN confidence. We walk through all 2 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
Unlock the full write-up
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Mariners vs Yankees, or as Yankees vs Mariners. The next scheduled game is Tuesday 11 August 2026 at Yankee Stadium. The model has generated 4 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.