Here are our NFL picks for Sunday 13 September 2026. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Cam Ward (TEN) Under 202.5 Passing Yards, priced at -111 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Cam Ward (TEN) Under 202.5 Passing Yards (-111)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Tennessee Titans play New York Jets in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Cam Ward (TEN) Under 202.5 Passing Yards. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Ashton Jeanty (LV) Under 59.5 Rushing Yards (-111)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Las Vegas Raiders play Miami Dolphins in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Ashton Jeanty (LV) Under 59.5 Rushing Yards. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Chuba Hubbard (CAR) Over 2.5 Receptions (+146)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Carolina Panthers play Chicago Bears in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Chuba Hubbard (CAR) Over 2.5 Receptions. It was priced at +146 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $24.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Alec Pierce (IND) Under 2.5 Receptions (+120)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Indianapolis Colts play Baltimore Ravens in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Alec Pierce (IND) Under 2.5 Receptions. It was priced at +120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $22 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Tyler Warren (IND) Over 47.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Indianapolis Colts play Baltimore Ravens in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Tyler Warren (IND) Over 47.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Bryce Young (CAR) Under 226.5 Player pass rush yds (-112)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Carolina Panthers play Chicago Bears in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Bryce Young (CAR) Under 226.5 Player pass rush yds. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the model's read on today's NFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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