Of our last 647 graded player prop tips, 52% got a better price than where the market closed.
NFL Player Props · Updated daily in season
NFL Player Props Today — Free Prop Bets for Every Game
NFL player props today: every prop bet on the board, priced and ranked best first. All 285 are below, 50 to a page. Top prop free.
The NFL prop lines are on the board
Books have priced 96 players across 9 prop markets for the 2 games ahead. These are the most widely priced lines right now — our model's ranked picks land here the day it has enough to say.
| Player | Market | Line | Best price | Books |
|---|
| Rachaad White | Receptions | 2.5 | +130 | 19 |
| Treylon Burks | Receptions | 1.5 | +400 | 18 |
| Stefon Diggs | Receptions | 3.5 | +132 | 18 |
| Dallas Goedert | Receptions | 4.5 | +120 | 18 |
| Chig Okonkwo | Receptions | 3.5 | +115 | 18 |
| Makai Lemon | Receptions | 4.5 | -114 | 18 |
| Antonio Williams | Receptions | 3.5 | +135 | 17 |
| Dyami Brown | Receptions | 1.5 | +135 | 17 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | Receptions | 7.5 | +115 | 17 |
| Darius Cooper | Receptions | 2.5 | +104 | 17 |
| Tory Horton | Receptions | 1.5 | +160 | 16 |
| Cooper Kupp | Receptions | 2.5 | +150 | 16 |
| Saquon Barkley | Receptions | 1.5 | +150 | 16 |
| Kalif Raymond | Receptions | 1.5 | +148 | 16 |
| D'Andre Swift | Receptions | 2.5 | +140 | 16 |
| AJ Barner | Receptions | 3.5 | +138 | 16 |
| Rome Odunze | Receptions | 3.5 | +135 | 16 |
| Luther Burden III | Receptions | 4.5 | +120 | 16 |
Compare every book’s price on the live NFL odds board, screen hot streaks in the prop screener, or start with our free NFL pick.
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Members
20
ML models
10k+
Sims per game
See verified results
285 props on the board, and the 3 strongest are free
The prop we'd back first · Chicago Bears at Seattle Seahawks
Zach Charbonnet Under 1.5 receptions -175
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win65.1%
The price says63.7%
$50 returns$78.50
The rest of the boardfull reasoning on each prop below
| CHI v SEA |
Zach Charbonnet Under 1.5 receptions |
High65% chance |
-175 |
| PHI v WAS |
Jayden Daniels Over 229.5 passing yards (alt) |
Lean45% chance |
+182 |
| CHI v SEA |
Kalif Raymond Over 1.5 receptions (alt) |
High83% chance |
-222 |
| PHI v WAS |
Rushing yards |
High63% chance |
Members |
| PHI v WAS |
Rush + rec yards |
High63% chance |
Members |
| PHI v WAS |
Passing yards (alt) |
High98% chance |
Members |
| PHI v WAS |
Receiving yards |
Lean51% chance |
Members |
| PHI v WAS |
Rush + rec yards |
High61% chance |
Members |
| PHI v WAS |
Receiving yards |
Lean51% chance |
Members |
| PHI v WAS |
Receptions |
High63% chance |
Members |
| PHI v WAS |
Rushing yards |
Lean59% chance |
Members |
| PHI v WAS |
Receptions |
High62% chance |
Members |
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
No props match that.
Try another game or market, or .
+155 best over price · 10 books
Chance to win:
65.1%
The price says 63.7%
Why we like it
Zach Charbonnet (SEA) Under 1.5 Receptions (-175)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Seattle Seahawks play Chicago Bears in the NFL on Tuesday 3 November 2026. The bet we are looking at is Zach Charbonnet (SEA) Under 1.5 Receptions. It was priced at -175 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Chance to win:
45.2%
The price says 35.5%
Why we like it
Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles: Jayden Daniels Over 229.5 Passing Yards (Alt) (+182)
Odds correct at time of publishing
You can get good odds at +182 for Jayden Daniels to throw over 229.5 passing yards. Our numbers think this is a pretty even matchup, but Daniels has shown he can handle the pressure, facing extra rushers often. In the last season, he managed to get good results from his passes, and Washington's offense has relied more on throwing than running.
The biggest risk here is that both teams are pretty balanced when it comes to their defense against the pass. Philadelphia's defense can create challenges, and it could be tough for Daniels to find his rhythm at times. Still, with how well he performed last season, this bet has a solid chance to hit.
-208 best over price · 1 book
Chance to win:
82.8%
The price says 69.0%
Why we like it
Kalif Raymond (CHI) Over 1.5 Player receptions alternate (-222)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Seattle Seahawks play Chicago Bears in the NFL on Tuesday 3 November 2026. The bet we are looking at is Kalif Raymond (CHI) Over 1.5 Player receptions alternate. It was priced at -222 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 53.2%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 81.3%
-114 best over price · 4 books
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 53.2%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 52.6%
-115 best over price · 7 books
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 53.2%
+150 best over price · 14 books
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 61.4%
-114 best over price · 2 books
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 53.2%
+135 best over price · 17 books
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 61.7%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 44.6%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 53.2%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 53.2%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 62.1%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 29.9%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 28.6%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 82.6%
+400 best over price · 1 bookQuestionable
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 27.4%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 78.7%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 76.9%
-114 best over price · 17 booksQuestionable
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 53.2%
-114 best over price · 17 booksQuestionable
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 53.2%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 78.1%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 16.8%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 64.9%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 90.9%
+135 best over price · 17 books
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 20.6%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 82.6%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 73.5%
+400 best over price · 1 bookQuestionable
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 13.0%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 53.2%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 76.3%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 91.7%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 88.5%
+1100 best over price · 1 book
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 6.3%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 72.5%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 87.7%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 80.7%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 4.8%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 3.6%
+135 best over price · 17 books
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 43.5%
+135 best over price · 17 books
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 43.9%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 88.5%
-102 best over price · 8 books
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 53.2%
-110 best over price · 4 books
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 53.2%
-110 best over price · 4 books
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 53.2%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 25.1%
+135 best over price · 17 books
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 8.6%
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Quick answer
What is an NFL player prop bet?
An NFL player prop bet is a wager on a single player statistic, such as passing yards, receptions, or touchdowns.
It is settled independently of the game winner, which makes props useful when you want to target a specific role,
matchup, or usage trend rather than the final score.
Probability vs odds
Edge calculation
Bankroll discipline
| Market |
What it measures |
Typical intent |
| Passing yards | QB volume and efficiency | Matchup driven |
| Receptions | Target share and route role | Usage driven |
| Rushing yards | Carry volume and game script | Game flow driven |
| Anytime TD | Scoring opportunity | Red zone driven |
Why our props have an edge
20
ML Models
Our edge is built in house. Each model is trained and evaluated per league.
10k+
Simulations
Games are simulated at scale to estimate distributions and probabilities.
AI
Reasoning
Every pick pairs the model's chance and value call with plain-English AI analysis.
How we decide which NFL props are worth a look
Every price a sportsbook posts is really a guess about how often something happens. Our model makes its own guess from the player's recent games, his role, the defence he faces and the weather, then compares the two. When the model thinks something happens more often than the price says, that prop makes the board. The board shows every line, the best price across the books, and how often the player has cleared it lately, for free. Which side the model backs, and why, is for Pro members.
If you want the deeper framework, see our actuarial sports betting methodology.
Example in plain English
Say a receiver's line is 59.5 yards at a price that means "about a coin flip". If our model makes it closer to 6 chances in 10, that is a gap worth knowing about. A gap is not a guarantee. It is the thing we grade in public, week after week, so you can see whether the gaps were real.
Related NFL pages
Continue exploring:
NFL Picks,
NFL Picks,
NFL Parlays,
NFL Odds.
Click any team name on a prop card to view that team's full profile, upcoming pick, and player directory.
Click any player name to view their individual pick history, value calls, and AI analysis.
Transparency and responsible betting
Betting involves risk. Model outputs are informational and are not a guarantee of profit. Use consistent staking, avoid chasing losses, and only bet what you can afford to lose.
NFL prop guide
What NFL players
really average
An NFL player prop is a bet on what one player does in a game, like his passing yards or catches. Today's props are at the top of this page. Below is what players did across all 272 games of the 2025 regular season, so you can tell if a line looks high or low.
Per game2025 regular season
| Prop | Who we counted | Average |
|---|
| Passing yards | QBs with 15+ passes | 221.8 |
| Passing touchdowns | QBs with 15+ passes | 1.5 |
| Pass completions | QBs with 15+ passes | 20.3 |
| Pass attempts | QBs with 15+ passes | 31.5 |
| Rushing yards | Running backs with 10+ carries | 68.8 |
| Rushing attempts | Running backs with 10+ carries | 15.5 |
| Receptions | Wide receivers with 4+ targets | 4.3 |
| Receiving yards | Wide receivers with 4+ targets | 54.7 |
| Receptions | Tight ends with 4+ targets | 4.4 |
| Receiving yards | Tight ends with 4+ targets | 45.8 |
We counted only players who got real work that game, so backups do not drag the numbers down. A running back, receiver or tight end with 5 or more carries and targets scored a touchdown in about 1 game in 3 (771 of 2,234). Books also post interceptions, last touchdown scorer, and combos like rushing plus receiving yards.
How to read a prop
- 1Find the numberOver 249.5 passing yards wins at 250 or more. Under wins at 249 or less.
- 2Check the playerLeague averages are a start. Quarterbacks averaged 222 yards, yet 194 of 537 hit 250. See his own numbers on NFL stats.
- 3Check the gameLook at the defense he faces, injuries and the weather.
Prop questions
How many passing yards does an NFL quarterback average?
About 222 a game. That is every quarterback who threw 15 or more passes in a game in the 2025 regular season.
How often does an NFL player score a touchdown?
A running back, receiver or tight end with 5 or more carries and targets scored in about 1 game in 3 in 2025. Top scorers do it more often and role players less.
What does an alternate line mean?
It is the same stat with a different number and a different price. An easier number pays less. A harder number pays more.
What happens to a prop if the player does not play?
Most books cancel the bet and give your stake back. Rules differ from book to book, so check yours before you bet.
Check before you bet
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