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Model picks & player props
Fiorentina
VS
Sassuolo

Fiorentina vs Sassuolo Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 30, 10:28PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia
Outdoor
Sat 6 Dec 2025, 2:00PM
6
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Fiorentina Moneyline +145

The model graded 6 markets for Fiorentina vs Sassuolo (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $245 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 6 Dec 2025, 2:00PM at Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win49.5%
The price says40.8%
Best price+145
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Fiorentina Lean49% chance +145
Head to Head (3-Way) Lean49% chance —
Both Teams to Score Lean60% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Soccer game on today's board →
This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Yes · $100 returned $177

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 34 of 77 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeAug 29
Frosinone
Frosinone @ Fiorentina
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $420
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Fiorentina
+145
+ 5 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
FiorentinaMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
FiorentinaHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
YesBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Fiorentina

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Sassuolo

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Fiorentina vs Sassuolo: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineFiorentina @ SassuoloNo line posted
3-2-3past meetings (last 8)
Draw45%Fiorentina49%Home form3-5-12Away form8-4-8
past meetings, home wins3 / 8 home

In their last 8 meetings, Sassuolo have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 3. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Both Teams to ScoreFiorentina @ SassuoloNo line posted
60%both teams score %
7 / 8past meetings, both scored
Sassuolo50%Fiorentina55%Free board18-13
past meetings, both scored7 / 8 both scored

Both teams scored in 50% of Sassuolo's and 55% of Fiorentina's recent matches; our model makes both teams scoring 60% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Total GoalsFiorentina @ SassuoloNo line posted
6 / 8past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.550%Away ov2.565%past meetings avg3.4
past meetings, over 2.56 / 8 over

The last 8 meetings averaged 3.4 goals, over 2.5 in 6 of them. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Fiorentina @ Sassuolo — what the model found

Our model graded 6 betting markets for Fiorentina at Sassuolo — 6 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

6
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 6 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 5 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Fiorentina @ Sassuolo — model preview

Unlock potential winning soccer bets for Sassuolo playing Fiorentina. Featuring picks like NA player props. Analysis includes same game parlay, SGP picks, Serie A parlay odds, soccer parlay.

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina: Both Teams To Score: Yes (-130)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The 'Yes' bet on Both Teams to Score in the Sassuolo vs Fiorentina game is backed by a few key statistics. Firstly, both teams have shown a consistent scoring trend in their last five games, with Sassuolo averaging 0.8 goals and Fiorentina 1.2. Secondly, Sassuolo's home record shows they have scored in every game, averaging 1 goal. Fiorentina's away scoring record also supports this, with an average of 1 goal per game. Finally, the expected goals (xG) data further validates the scoring potential of both teams. Sassuolo's home xG is 0.66, while Fiorentina's away xG is 1.1. These figures suggest that both teams are likely to score, making this a statistically sound bet.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
06 Dec 25 Both Teams to Score Yes ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Fiorentina vs Sassuolo in the Soccer. The most recent game between them was Saturday 6 December 2025 at Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore. The model has generated 6 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Even at 0–0 across the last meeting · 1 draw
DateGameScoreWinner
26 Apr 2026Sassuolo @ Fiorentina0–0Draw
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