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Model picks & player props
Tennis
Mon 2 Nov 2026, 5:00 AM ET
Rafael Jodar
VS
Alejandro Tabilo

Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo Prediction & Picks · Mon 2 Nov

Our model graded 5 markets for Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo and backs Alejandro Tabilo 3 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $275.

4
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Alejandro Tabilo
with a 3-game head start
Alejandro Tabilo 3 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$27.50Best price+175
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win44.1%
The price says34.8%

The model graded 5 markets for Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo (Tennis) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $275 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Mon 2 Nov 2026, 5:00 AM ET.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Alejandro Tabilo 3 Lean44% chance +175
Spread Members only Lean57% chance Members
Moneyline × 1 prop Highup to 80% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Alejandro Tabilo
+3
+ 3 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Alejandro TabiloSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Alejandro TabiloSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Alejandro TabiloSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Alejandro TabiloSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market sharpened toward Alejandro Tabilo on this game.

Line movement

▲ moved toward Alejandro Tabilo
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Closing line

Snapshot logged
We store the closing number to grade every pick's CLV.
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Rafael Jodar

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Alejandro Tabilo

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo: Tennis weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Tennis on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

The preview

Written 1 Nov

Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar Prediction & Picks

On November 02, 2026 our model has run Rafael Jodar at Alejandro Tabilo and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Rafael Jodar to win the match (-417), which we rate strong confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar: Rafael Jodar to win the match (-417)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Alejandro Tabilo faces Rafael Jodar at Paris Masters on Monday 2 November 2026. They are playing on a hard court. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Rafael Jodar wins the match. It was priced at -417 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.40 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Rafael Jodar is favored to win against Alejandro Tabilo because he has been performing well lately, winning 80% of his last matches. His first serve success is strong at nearly 68%, helping him win points effectively. Jodar's solid numbers on hard courts give him an advantage on this surface. Bet only what you can afford to lose.

Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar: Alejandro Tabilo +4 Game Handicap (+104)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Alejandro Tabilo faces Rafael Jodar, and this matchup presents a real challenge for Tabilo. Jodar has been playing well, but Tabilo has a good chance to keep it close or even win. Betting on Tabilo +4 means he can lose by up to four games, which seems reasonable given how evenly matched they are. Tabilo's recent form shows he can hang tough against strong opponents. The risk here is that Jodar might pull away if he finds his rhythm, but overall, Tabilo has a solid shot to cover the handicap. At these odds, it's worth considering.

That is our read - no bet on this board is a sure thing. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Bet Better model desk · Every pick for that day

Betting angles

1 market live
Game HandicapNext match · Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael JodarAlejandro Tabilo 3 +175
52%model cover %
2.87fair price
PickAlejandro Tabilo 3Model51.7%Fair2.87Odds+175ConfidenceLEAN

Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar — Game Handicap (tennis). A line is currently posted: Alejandro Tabilo 3 at +175, fair price 2.87; our model makes it 51.7% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Total GamesAlejandro Tabilo vs Rafael JodarNo line posted
2.20fair price
PickUnder 21.5Model48.1%Fair2.20Odds+112Free board11-4
Free board · recent overs and unders11 / 12 recent

Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar — Total Games (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Under 21.5 at +112, fair price 2.20; our model makes it 48.1% (LONG-SHOT). On our free board this total games call has landed 11 of 15 times in this matchup.

Set 1 Total GamesAlejandro Tabilo vs Rafael JodarNo line posted
80%model over %
1.34fair price
PickOver 8.5Model79.6%Fair1.34Odds-417

Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar — Set 1 Total Games (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Over 8.5 at -417, fair price 1.34; our model makes it 79.6% (HIGH). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 Game HandicapAlejandro Tabilo vs Rafael JodarNo line posted
53%model cover %
2.10fair price
PickAlejandro Tabilo 1.5Model53.0%Fair2.10Odds-105

Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar — Set 1 Game Handicap (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Alejandro Tabilo 1.5 at -105, fair price 2.10; our model makes it 53.0% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 WinnerAlejandro Tabilo vs Rafael JodarNo line posted
2.97fair price
PickAlejandro Tabilo set 1Model42.3%Fair2.97Odds+180

Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar — Set 1 Winner (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Alejandro Tabilo set 1 at +180, fair price 2.97; our model makes it 42.3% (LONG-SHOT). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 2 WinnerAlejandro Tabilo vs Rafael JodarNo line posted
2.85fair price
PickAlejandro Tabilo set 2Model42.3%Fair2.85Odds+172

Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar — Set 2 Winner (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Alejandro Tabilo set 2 at +172, fair price 2.85; our model makes it 42.3% (LONG-SHOT). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Rafael Jodar @ Alejandro Tabilo — what the model found

Our model graded 5 betting markets for Rafael Jodar at Alejandro Tabilo — 4 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

4
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 5 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 4 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Rafael Jodar @ Alejandro Tabilo — where the money went

Since betting opened on Rafael Jodar at Alejandro Tabilo, the market has moved toward Alejandro Tabilo across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Moneyline — Alejandro Tabilo▲ Money came for this
Spread — Rafael Jodar -4.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Alejandro Tabilo 4.5▲ Money came for this
Moneyline — Rafael Jodar▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Over 22.5▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Under 22.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Under 21.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Over 21.5▲ Money came for this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

Rafael Jodar @ Alejandro Tabilo — model preview

Alejandro Tabilo v Rafael Jodar, 2 November 2026. Top of the list: Rafael Jodar to win the match. Our model likes one bet in this game.

On November 02, 2026 our model has run Rafael Jodar at Alejandro Tabilo and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Rafael Jodar to win the match (-417), which we rate strong confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo in the Tennis. You may also see this matchup written as Jodar vs Tabilo, or as Tabilo vs Jodar. The next scheduled game is Monday 2 November 2026. The model has generated 4 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Tennis betting strategy for this matchup.

Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo: game facts

When it starts and how they have been going

Rafael Jodar plays Alejandro Tabilo on Monday 2 November 2026. It is listed for about 5:00 AM ET in Paris. It is part of the Paris Masters.

Where they last met

  • 27 Oct 2026Rafael Jodar beat Alejandro Tabilo 6-4 6-2 at Swiss Indoors Basel
  • 17 Aug 2026Rafael Jodar beat Alejandro Tabilo 6-2 6-1 at Western & Southern Financial Group Masters
  • 2 Aug 2026Rafael Jodar beat Alejandro Tabilo 6-7 6-4 6-4 at Citi Open

Rafael Jodar: last 5 matches

  1. 29 Oct 2026Lostvs Valentin Vacherot 7-6 2-6 7-6Swiss Indoors Basel · 2nd Round
  2. 27 Oct 2026Wonvs Alejandro Tabilo 6-4 6-2Swiss Indoors Basel · 1st Round
  3. 18 Oct 2026Lostvs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 1-6 7-6 6-4Shanghai Masters · Final · Hard
  4. 17 Oct 2026Wonvs Daniil Medvedev 6-3 6-4Shanghai Masters · Semifinals · Hard
  5. 16 Oct 2026Wonvs Casper Ruud 4-6 6-4 6-3Shanghai Masters · Quarterfinals · Hard

Alejandro Tabilo: last 5 matches

  1. 27 Oct 2026Lostvs Rafael Jodar 6-4 6-2Swiss Indoors Basel · 1st Round
  2. 10 Oct 2026Lostvs Pablo Carreno Busta 4-6 7-6 6-4Shanghai Masters · 2nd Round · Hard
  3. 3 Oct 2026Lostvs Denis Shapovalov 7-5 3-6 6-4Japan Open Tennis Championships · 2nd Round · Hard
  4. 30 Sep 2026Wonvs Tommy Paul 6-1 6-2Japan Open Tennis Championships · 1st Round · Hard
  5. 25 Sep 2026Lostvs Adrian Mannarino 6-4 6-4Chengdu Open · 2nd Round · Hard

Quick answers

When is Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo? Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo is on Monday 2 November 2026. It is listed for about 5:00 AM ET in Paris.

Who won the last Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar match? Rafael Jodar won their last meeting 6-4 6-2 at Swiss Indoors Basel on 27 October 2026.

How have Rafael Jodar and Alejandro Tabilo done lately? Rafael Jodar won 3 and lost 2 of the last 5 matches we hold. Alejandro Tabilo won 1 and lost 4 of the last 5 matches we hold.

Main-tour matches only. Qualifying and most smaller events are left out.

Head-to-head record

Completed matches · last 4 meetings
Rafael Jodar 3–1 across the last 4 meetings
DateWinnerScoreTournamentSurface
27 Oct 2026Rafael Jodar6-4 6-2Swiss Indoors Basel · 1st Round
17 Aug 2026Rafael Jodar6-2 6-1Western & Southern Financial Group Masters · 3rd RoundHard
2 Aug 2026Rafael Jodar6-7 6-4 6-4Citi Open · SemifinalsHard
6 Mar 2026Alejandro Tabilo6-1 6-2BNP Paribas Open · 1st RoundHard

More from the Paris Masters: matches and past winners

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