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Model picks & player props
Alejandro Tabilo
VS
Rafael Jodar

Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 21, 4:51PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Tennis
Mon 17 Aug 2026, 5:40PM
20
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Alejandro Tabilo 3 Spread +123

The model graded 21 markets for Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar (Tennis) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $223 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Mon 17 Aug 2026, 5:40PM.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win43.8%
The price says43.3%
Best price+123
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Alejandro Tabilo 3 Lean44% chance +123
Spread Long-shot39% chance —
Spread Long-shot35% chance —
Set 2 Winner Long-shot33% chance —
Set 2 Total Games High85% chance —
Total Games Lean58% chance —
Set 2 Total Games High61% chance —
Total Games High62% chance —
Total Games Lean57% chance —
Moneyline × 1 prop Highup to 80% —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Tennis game on today's board →
This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Under 21.5 · $100 returned $215

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Alejandro Tabilo
+1.5
+150
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Alejandro TabiloSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Alejandro TabiloSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Alejandro TabiloSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Alejandro TabiloSet 2 WinnerThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Alejandro TabiloSet 1 Game HandicapThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Alejandro Tabilo

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Rafael Jodar

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar: Tennis weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Tennis on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Moneyline

+ 1 player prop graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total GamesRafael Jodar vs Alejandro TabiloNo line posted
64%model under %
1.73fair price
PickUnder 24.5Model64.0%Fair1.73Odds-164

Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo — Total Games (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Under 24.5 at -164, fair price 1.73; our model makes it 64.0% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Game HandicapRafael Jodar vs Alejandro TabiloNo line posted
2.75fair price
PickAlejandro Tabilo 1.5Model44.2%Fair2.75Odds+150

Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo — Game Handicap (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Alejandro Tabilo 1.5 at +150, fair price 2.75; our model makes it 44.2% (LONG-SHOT). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 Total GamesRafael Jodar vs Alejandro TabiloNo line posted
80%model over %
1.34fair price
PickOver 8.5Model79.6%Fair1.34Odds-417

Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo — Set 1 Total Games (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Over 8.5 at -417, fair price 1.34; our model makes it 79.6% (HIGH). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 Game HandicapRafael Jodar vs Alejandro TabiloNo line posted
53%model cover %
2.10fair price
PickAlejandro Tabilo 1.5Model53.0%Fair2.10Odds-105

Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo — Set 1 Game Handicap (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Alejandro Tabilo 1.5 at -105, fair price 2.10; our model makes it 53.0% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 WinnerRafael Jodar vs Alejandro TabiloNo line posted
2.97fair price
PickAlejandro Tabilo set 1Model42.3%Fair2.97Odds+180

Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo — Set 1 Winner (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Alejandro Tabilo set 1 at +180, fair price 2.97; our model makes it 42.3% (LONG-SHOT). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 2 WinnerRafael Jodar vs Alejandro TabiloNo line posted
2.85fair price
PickAlejandro Tabilo set 2Model42.3%Fair2.85Odds+172

Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo — Set 2 Winner (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Alejandro Tabilo set 2 at +172, fair price 2.85; our model makes it 42.3% (LONG-SHOT). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Alejandro Tabilo @ Rafael Jodar — what the model found

Our model graded 21 betting markets for Alejandro Tabilo at Rafael Jodar — 20 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 21 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 20 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
17 Aug 26 Total Games Under 24.5 ✓ HIT
17 Aug 26 Total Games Under 25.5 ✓ HIT
17 Aug 26 Total Games Under 23.5 ✓ HIT
17 Aug 26 Set 1 Total Games Over 7.5 ✓ HIT
17 Aug 26 Set 1 Total Games Under 12.5 ✓ HIT
17 Aug 26 Set 2 Total Games Over 6.5 ✓ HIT
17 Aug 26 Total Games Under 23 ✓ HIT
17 Aug 26 Total Games Under 22.5 ✓ HIT
17 Aug 26 Total Games Under 22 ✓ HIT
17 Aug 26 Total Games Under 21.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar in the Tennis. You may also see this matchup written as Tabilo vs Jodar, or as Jodar vs Tabilo. The most recent game between them was Monday 17 August 2026. The model has generated 20 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Tennis betting strategy for this matchup.

Last time they played

Completed matches · last 2 meetings
Even at 1–1 across the last 2 meetings
DateWinnerScoreTournamentSurface
2 Aug 2026Rafael Jodar6-7 6-4 6-4Citi Open · SemifinalsHard
6 Mar 2026Alejandro Tabilo6-1 6-2BNP Paribas Open · 1st RoundHard
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