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Model picks & player props
Tennis
Mon 2 Nov 2026, 5:00 AM ET
Alexander Blockx
VS
Daniel Merida Aguilar

Alexander Blockx vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Prediction & Picks · Mon 2 Nov

Our model graded 5 markets for Alexander Blockx vs Daniel Merida Aguilar and backs Daniel Merida Aguilar 2 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $196.

4
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Daniel Merida Aguilar
with a 2-game head start
Daniel Merida Aguilar 2 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$19.62Best price-104
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win50.3%
The price says48.8%

The model graded 5 markets for Alexander Blockx vs Daniel Merida Aguilar (Tennis) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $196 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Mon 2 Nov 2026, 5:00 AM ET.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Daniel Merida Aguilar 2 Lean50% chance -104
Spread Members only Lean53% chance Members
Moneyline × 1 prop Leanup to 59% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Daniel Merida Aguilar
+2
+ 3 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Daniel Merida AguilarSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Daniel Merida AguilarSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Daniel Merida AguilarSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Daniel Merida AguilarSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Daniel Merida Aguilar on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Daniel Merida Aguilar
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Lowvig
on Over
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Alexander Blockx

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Daniel Merida Aguilar

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Alexander Blockx vs Daniel Merida Aguilar: Tennis weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Tennis on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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The preview

Written 1 Nov

Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alexander Blockx Prediction & Picks

On November 02, 2026 our model has run Alexander Blockx at Daniel Merida Aguilar and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Alexander Blockx to win the match (-149), which we rate lean confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alexander Blockx: Alexander Blockx to win the match (-149)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Daniel Merida Aguilar faces Alexander Blockx at Paris Masters on Monday 2 November 2026. They are playing on a hard court. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Alexander Blockx wins the match. It was priced at -149 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.70 if it lands. Our model leans this way without loving it. Alexander Blockx is favored to win against Daniel Merida Aguilar because he has a solid recent win rate of 60% and performs well on hard surfaces. His first serve success rate is nearly 60%, and he wins a good number of points on his serve, making him tough to beat. Remember, betting can be risky, so only bet what you can afford to lose.

Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alexander Blockx: Daniel Merida Aguilar +2.5 Game Handicap (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Daniel Merida Aguilar is facing Alexander Blockx in a match that looks pretty even, almost like a coin flip. Playing at home gives Aguilar a slight boost, and he has shown he can keep things competitive. With this bet, a little cushion of 2.5 games should help us out if the match goes down to the wire. The biggest risk here is how closely matched these two players are. Blockx has his strengths, and if he catches fire, it could be tough for Aguilar. Still, I like the chances of Aguilar staying close enough to cover that handicap.

That is the whole read on this one. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Bet Better model desk · Every pick for that day

Betting angles

1 market live
Game HandicapNext match · Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alexander BlockxDaniel Merida Aguilar 2 -104
57%model cover %
2.05fair price
PickDaniel Merida Aguilar 2Model57.3%Fair2.05Odds-104ConfidenceLEAN

Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alexander Blockx — Game Handicap (tennis). A line is currently posted: Daniel Merida Aguilar 2 at -104, fair price 2.05; our model makes it 57.3% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Alexander Blockx @ Daniel Merida Aguilar — what the model found

Our model graded 5 betting markets for Alexander Blockx at Daniel Merida Aguilar — 4 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

4
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 5 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 4 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Alexander Blockx @ Daniel Merida Aguilar — where the money went

Since betting opened on Alexander Blockx at Daniel Merida Aguilar, the market has moved away from Daniel Merida Aguilar across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Moneyline — Daniel Merida Aguilar▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Daniel Merida Aguilar 0.5▼ Money drifted off this
Moneyline — Alexander Blockx▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Over 22.5▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Under 22.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Alexander Blockx -0.5▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Over 23.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Under 23.5▲ Money came for this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

Alexander Blockx @ Daniel Merida Aguilar — model preview

Daniel Merida Aguilar v Alexander Blockx, 2 November 2026. Top of the list: Alexander Blockx to win the match. Our model likes one bet in this game.

On November 02, 2026 our model has run Alexander Blockx at Daniel Merida Aguilar and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Alexander Blockx to win the match (-149), which we rate lean confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Alexander Blockx vs Daniel Merida Aguilar in the Tennis. You may also see this matchup written as Blockx vs Aguilar, or as Aguilar vs Blockx. The next scheduled game is Monday 2 November 2026. The model has generated 4 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Tennis betting strategy for this matchup.

Alexander Blockx vs Daniel Merida Aguilar: game facts

When it starts and how they have been going

Alexander Blockx plays Daniel Merida Aguilar on Monday 2 November 2026. It is listed for about 5:00 AM ET. It is part of the Paris Masters.

Alexander Blockx: last 5 matches

  1. 9 Oct 2026Lostvs Quentin Halys 4-6 7-6 6-4Shanghai Masters · 2nd Round · Hard
  2. 30 Sep 2026Lostvs Valentin Vacherot 7-6 7-6Japan Open Tennis Championships · 1st Round · Hard
  3. 9 Sep 2026Lostvs Karen Khachanov 6-2 7-5 3-2 stopped earlyUS Open · Quarterfinals · Hard
  4. 7 Sep 2026Wonvs Francisco Cerundolo 6-3 4-6 7-5 7-5US Open · 4th Round · Hard
  5. 5 Sep 2026Wonvs Flavio Cobolli 6-7 6-3 6-0 6-3US Open · 3rd Round · Hard

Daniel Merida Aguilar: last 5 matches

  1. 28 Oct 2026Lostvs Daniil Medvedev 7-6 6-1Erste Bank Open · 1st Round
  2. 8 Oct 2026Lostvs Botic van de Zandschulp 1-6 6-3 6-4Shanghai Masters · 1st Round · Hard
  3. 4 Sep 2026Lostvs Alex Michelsen 7-6 6-4 6-3US Open · 3rd Round · Hard
  4. 2 Sep 2026Wonvs Andrey Rublev 6-7 6-2 6-4 6-4US Open · 2nd Round · Hard
  5. 30 Aug 2026Wonvs Marton Fucsovics 6-4 6-4 6-2US Open · 1st Round · Hard

Quick answers

When is Alexander Blockx vs Daniel Merida Aguilar? Alexander Blockx vs Daniel Merida Aguilar is on Monday 2 November 2026. It is listed for about 5:00 AM ET.

How have Alexander Blockx and Daniel Merida Aguilar done lately? Alexander Blockx won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 matches we hold. Daniel Merida Aguilar won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 matches we hold.

Main-tour matches only. Qualifying and most smaller events are left out.

More from the Paris Masters: matches and past winners

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