Everton vs Newcastle United Prediction & Picks

On Monday 2 November 2026, Newcastle United play Everton in the EPL. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Newcastle United +0 Goal Handicap, priced at -164 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Newcastle United vs Everton: Newcastle United +0 Goal Handicap (-164)

Sure, their recent home record shows a mixed bag (2-2-1 in their last five), but their offensive output has been steadily improving, averaging 1.8 goals at home. On the flip side, Everton has struggled mightily on the road, failing to secure a single win in their last five away fixtures. They're averaging a measly 0.6 goals per game, a stark contrast to Newcastle's home resilience. Considering Newcastle's xG of 0 in recent games suggests they may be due for a breakthrough, especially against an Everton defense that has shown vulnerabilities. The historical matchup leans toward Newcastle, who have not lost to Everton in their last five encounters (1-2-2). With the crowd behind them and momentum building, a handicap bet on Newcastle at 0 seems a savvy move.

Newcastle United vs Everton: Newcastle United -0.25 Goal Handicap (-115)

As Newcastle United prepares to host Everton, there's a palpable sense of opportunity in the air. The Magpies have shown resilience at St. James' Park, averaging 1.8 goals per home game, while Everton has struggled offensively, mustering just 0.6 goals on the road in their last five outings. Recent trends indicate that Newcastle's attack, despite a few hiccups, has the firepower to break down defenses, evidenced by their average of 12.8 shots per game. Meanwhile, Everton's away form is concerning, having failed to score in three of their last five away matches. With Newcastle's home advantage and Everton's away woes, backing Newcastle at -0.25 appears a compelling play. The home side's motivation to secure a much-needed win against a familiar opponent could very well tip the scales in their favor, making this bet an enticing prospect.

Newcastle United vs Everton: Newcastle United Moneyline (+130)

As Newcastle United gears up to face Everton, the Magpies present a compelling case for victory. Despite a mixed home record of 2-2-1 in their last five, they've averaged a commendable 1.8 goals at St. James' Park, a stark contrast to Everton's struggles, where they've scored just 0.6 goals per away match. Recent form shows Newcastle creating opportunities with a solid 12.8 shots on average, while Everton is floundering with only 11.6. The xG numbers further highlight Newcastle's edge; they've consistently converted chances at home, while Everton's offense seems out of sync. The Toffees have not secured a win in their last five away matches, making this an uphill battle. With Newcastle's attacking prowess and Everton's dwindling form, backing the Magpies for the win feels like a savvy move. Expect Newcastle to capitalize on their home advantage and secure the three points.

Newcastle United vs Everton: Newcastle United +0.25 Goal Handicap (-213)

As Newcastle United gears up to face Everton, the home side's recent form offers a compelling narrative for a handicap bet at -0.25. While their last five home games show a mixed bag with two wins, they've still managed to score an average of 1.8 goals per game at St. James' Park. This contrasts sharply with Everton, who have been struggling, averaging a mere 0.6 goals in their last five away outings, and failing to find the net consistently. Newcastle's attacking prowess is reflected in their ability to create 12.8 shots per game at home, while Everton's numbers reveal a meager 11.6 shots on the road. With Newcastle's xG hinting at potential, and Everton's inability to convert chances, the odds lean towards the Magpies securing a solid win, making this handicap bet an enticing prospect. Expect a determined Newcastle to capitalize on their home advantage, aiming for all three points.

Vitaliy Mykolenko (Everton) Over 0.5 Shots (+165)

As Everton gears up to face Newcastle, all eyes should be on Vitaliy Mykolenko to break the mold with at least one shot. While his recent stats show a lack of output-averaging just 0.2 shots overall and none away from home-this matchup presents a unique opportunity. Newcastle's aggressive style often leaves space for the opposition to exploit, particularly on the flanks where Mykolenko operates. With Everton expected to defend and counter, Mykolenko could find himself in advanced positions, especially if they look to capitalize on transition play. The 2.65 price for him to take over 0.5 shots feels enticing, given that he might be overlooked by many. Sometimes, a player can surprise in a big match, and Mykolenko has the potential to turn his fortunes around. With the odds slightly leaning in our favor, it's a calculated risk worth taking.

That is how our model reads Newcastle United v Everton. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

On Monday 2 November 2026, Newcastle United play Everton in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 1.5 Total Goals, priced at -417 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Newcastle United vs Everton: Over 1.5 Total Goals (-417)

As Newcastle United hosts Everton, the stage is set for a goal-fest, making the 'Over 1.5 goals' bet quite appealing. In their last five home matches, Newcastle has averaged 1.8 goals while conceding 1.4, which hints at both attacking prowess and defensive vulnerabilities. On the flip side, Everton has struggled on the road, scoring just 0.6 goals per game in their last five outings. However, they've managed to find the back of the net against Newcastle in previous encounters, with both teams combining to exceed this total in four of their last five meetings. The xG data underscores this narrative; Newcastle's solid shot average of 12.8 creates ample opportunities, while Everton's away form suggests they could capitalize on any defensive lapses. With both teams eager to bounce back from recent form, expect this match to deliver at least two goals, making the 'Over 1.5' a savvy pick.

Newcastle United vs Everton: Newcastle United Moneyline (+130)

As Newcastle United gears up to face Everton, the Magpies present a compelling case for victory. Despite a mixed home record of 2-2-1 in their last five, they've averaged a commendable 1.8 goals at St. James' Park, a stark contrast to Everton's struggles, where they've scored just 0.6 goals per away match. Recent form shows Newcastle creating opportunities with a solid 12.8 shots on average, while Everton is floundering with only 11.6. The xG numbers further highlight Newcastle's edge; they've consistently converted chances at home, while Everton's offense seems out of sync. The Toffees have not secured a win in their last five away matches, making this an uphill battle. With Newcastle's attacking prowess and Everton's dwindling form, backing the Magpies for the win feels like a savvy move. Expect Newcastle to capitalize on their home advantage and secure the three points.

That is how our model reads Newcastle United v Everton. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.